Triplex
10 Smith St · Monticello, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great Investment Opportunity! Well-kept triplex located at 10 Smith Street in Monticello. This income-generating property includes three separate units, offering excellent potential for steady cash flow. Two of the units are currently ready and active, while the one-bedroom unit needs some updates—creating a great opportunity for an investor to add value and boost future rental income. Conveniently situated close to shopping, dining, and local amenities. A strong addition to any investment portfolio—don’t miss out!
Key facts
- Close to dining
- Triplex
- Three separate units
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tax year 2025
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer; Utilities: See remarks
- Home design: Triplex
- Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/0.7-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $457/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $325k).
- Recommended offer: $315k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.4% in Monticello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#899 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Monticello Central School District (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #577 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: George L Cooke School (592 students, 71% FRL); Robert J Kaiser Middle School (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 595 students, 66% FRL); Monticello High School (math 82% / reading 34%, grade C, #879 of 1,100 statewide, top 80%, 844 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 50% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $325k implies a 983% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.07%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $300,696
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Landfield Ave | 0.21mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,240 (-0%) | 22mo | $300,000 | $134 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $264,416
- Equity at exit
- $292,786
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.80×
- Total profit
- $710,236
- Equity at exit
- $631,404
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12701
- Home prices YoY
- 16.7%
- Active inventory
- 186
- Price-to-rent
- 17.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,667 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$477 /mo · $5,718/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$980
- Net cashflow
- $1,371
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 0.7 | $4,668 |
| #1 | 2 | 0.7 | $1,556 |
| #2 | 2 | 0.7 | $1,556 |
| #3 | 2 | 0.7 | $1,556 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,667 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Clinton Ave Apt 1 Monticello, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,300 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-12status Active
-
2026-03-09$325,000 Active
-
2026-02-16status Pending
-
2026-02-16historical
-
2025-12-17$325,000 Active
-
2011-07-08soldstatus $30,000
-
2010-08-20soldstatus $30,000
-
2010-07-30historical
-
2010-03-09$39,000
-
2006-11-28soldstatus $200,000
-
2004-02-09soldstatus $51,000
-
1998-04-03soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,718 · $477/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,718 · $477/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$5,718
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,480
- − Management
- −$4,480
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable income
- $12,041
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,890
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monticello Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619740
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,696
- Composite
- 25.28/100
- National rank
- #7491
- State rank
- #577 of 590 in NY
Livability — Monticello
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #899
- US rank
- #17510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Monticello, NY
- County
- Sullivan County · 12,197 people
- City population
- 12,197
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,197
- Household income
- $57,222
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 814.0
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,974 people
- By 2030
- 65,609 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 58,878 · -14.6%
- By 2050
- 52,500 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 39,941 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 28,880 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Hispanic / Latino 31% Black 15% Two or more races 15% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 19% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 20% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 72.71%
- Current HPI
- 507.739
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+983.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-12 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Listed $325,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-16 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-17 Listed $325,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2010-08-20 Sold (MLS) $30,000 HGMLS
- 2010-07-30 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2010-03-09 Listed $39,000 HGMLS
- 2006-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,718 · +74.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…