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3518 Macarthur Dr
D Composite 41.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

3518 Macarthur Dr · Fort Smith, AR 72904
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 961 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1945 0.26 ac lot Est $97k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT HOME IN SUPER NEIGHBORHOOD. HARDWOOD FLRS AND VINYL. VERY NEAT AND CLEAN. NEW A/C UNIT. HAS BONUS ROOM-GREAT FOR CRAFTS, SEWING OR 3RD BDRM. GREAT INVESTMENT PROPERTY OR 1ST TIME HOMEBUYER PROP. ALARM SYS LEASED.

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • Tile floors
  • Bonus room

Tags

REMODELEDBONUS ROOMTILE FLOORSLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORSCHAINLINK FENCED YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 3-car covered parking
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Sewer available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Single-story; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Crawlspace
  • Exterior features: Porch; Chain link fencing; Gravel driveway; Corner lot; Public paved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Range hood
  • Flooring: Tile flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Radiant heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($557/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Fort Smith — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Smith School District (urban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #106 of 238 in AR (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Sunnymede Elementary School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #345 of 454 statewide, top 76%, 468 students, 93% FRL); Dora Kimmons Jr. High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 201 statewide, top 78%, 841 students, 91% FRL); Northside High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #239 of 292 statewide, top 85%, 2,433 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 64% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 24% at this address vs 37% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Smith School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 388 units permitted in Sebastian County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sebastian County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $53k; list at $100k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,579 (15.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.99%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$97,061
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1435 N 35th St 0.22mi 2/1.0 956 (-0%) 2mo $51,700 $54 87
3210 N O St 0.25mi 2/1.0 992 (+3%) 3mo $117,000 $118 81
4001 Macarthur Dr 0.31mi 2/1.0 952 (-1%) 6mo $137,500 $144 79
1441 N 36th St 0.19mi 2/1.0 917 (-5%) 8mo $75,000 $82 76
1220 N 35th St 0.37mi 2/1.0 907 (-6%) 1mo $53,000 $58 72
1123 N 35th St 0.44mi 2/1.0 990 (+3%) 4mo $44,000 $44 71
1540 N 33rd St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-10%) 6mo $35,000 $41 64
1449 N 36th St 0.17mi 2/1.0 1,088 (+13%) 8mo $110,000 $101 63
1319 N 38th St 0.35mi 2/1.0 1,069 (+11%) 7mo $85,000 $80 59
2131 Churchill Rd 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,064 (+11%) 8mo $135,000 $127 52
808 N 34th St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,064 (+11%) 6mo $114,000 $107 42
2037 N 30th St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,099 (+14%) 8mo $148,000 $135 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-13,259
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-7,855
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72904

Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$846 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $674/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $103 -5% $75 +0% $46 +5% $18 +10% $-10
Rent -10% $-20 -5% $13 +0% $46 +5% $80 +10% $113
Rate -1.0pp $97 -0.5pp $72 base $46 +0.5pp $21 +1.0pp $-6

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1453 N 35th St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 913 $900 $0.99 22d 1 0.18mi
1117 N 32nd St Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 744 $850 $1.14 15d 1 0.53mi
1224 N Albert Pike Ave Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0 735 $695 $0.95 15d 6 0.58mi
3510 Alabama Ave Unit 1 Fort Smith, AR 1.0 1.0 532 $500 $0.94 15d 1 0.70mi
2905 Alabama Ave Fort Smith, AR 1.0 1.0 711 $795 $1.12 5d 1 0.79mi
3711 Birnie Ave Unit 8 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 600 $700 $1.17 22d 1 0.85mi
3600 Kinkead Ave Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0 797 $1,490 $1.87 15d 15 0.92mi
4515 Kinkead Ave Apt 7 Fort Smith, AR 1.0 1.0 750 $650 $0.87 22d 1 1.07mi
501 N May Ave Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 1022 $825 $0.81 22d 1 1.10mi
3605 Barry Ave Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 562 $845 $1.50 22d 3 1.11mi
2520 N E St Fort Smith, AR 1.0 1.0 550 $675 $1.23 4d 1 1.18mi
3014 Presley St Unit FB44 Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.5 1040 $925 $0.89 22d 1 1.29mi
3014 Presley St Fort Smith, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 782 $925 $1.18 15d 4 1.29mi
1218 D St N Unit 1218 Fort Smith, AR 1.0 1.0 726 $550 $0.76 22d 1 1.42mi
1801 Wirsing Ave Unit B Fort Smith, AR 2.0 1.0 896 $995 $1.11 15d 1 1.44mi
802 S 25th St Fort Smith, AR 1.0 1.0 716 $745 $1.04 13d 2 1.46mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $99,900 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 230-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    listed $99,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$674 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$674 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,149
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$674
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$812
− Management
−$812
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$1,151
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$276
After-tax cash flow
$834/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Smith School District
NCES district ID
0506330
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,066
Composite
30.66/100
National rank
#6183
State rank
#106 of 238 in AR

Livability — Fort Smith

Score
65/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#13185

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Smith, AR
County
Sebastian County · 99,312 people
City population
94,356
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
Population (ZIP)
21,296
Household income
$41,909
Rent vs Own
46.9% rent · 53.1% own
Severe rent burden
851.0

Population outlook (Sebastian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
133,992 people
By 2030
136,620 · +2.0%
By 2040
140,832 · +5.1%
By 2050
143,301 · +6.9%
By 2075
147,964 · +10.4%
By 2100
145,848 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 31% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Asian 9% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Iranian 0%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sebastian

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.6pp · 2024: -37.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.5 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+34.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.65%
Current HPI
146.2281
Rent YoY
Metro
Fort Smith, AR-OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+95.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $99,900 NWARMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $109,900 WRVBOR
  • 2025-09-21 Listed $130,000 WRVBOR
  • 2020-11-13 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 2014-07-21 Sold (MLS) $45,000 WRVBOR
  • 2014-06-04 Listed $49,000 WRVBOR
  • 2008-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $674 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…