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1200 S Ethel St
A- Composite 80.01
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$54,900

1200 S Ethel St · Detroit, MI 48217
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 927 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1953 5,227 sqft lot Est $85k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 927 sq ft of living space plus a full basement and detached 2-car garage. This home features a functional layout, spacious backyard, and solid potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Property offers a great opportunity to add your personal touch and updates over time. Conveniently located near major roads, schools, parks, and local amenities. Don't miss this affordable opportunity to own a single-family home in Detroit. Sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Full basement
  • 5,227 sq ft lot

Tags

FULL BASEMENTSPACIOUS BACKYARDDETACHED 2-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Natural gas water heater; Public water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1953
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Living area approximately 1827
  • Exterior features: Corner lot with sidewalk; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Michigan-style basement; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $440 of equity ($380 loan paydown + $60 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,076 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.69%
Cash-on-cash
37.13%
DSCR
2.65
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$85,284
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1320 S Bassett St 0.13mi 3/1.0 900 (-3%) 8mo $82,000 $91 82
1288 S Liddesdale St 0.24mi 3/1.0 922 (-0%) 9mo $94,000 $102 80
42 E Henry St 0.70mi 3/1.0 916 (-1%) 0mo $115,000 $126 65
319 Polk Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (-2%) 6mo $38,500 $42 64
1688 S Ethel St 0.33mi 3/1.0 849 (-8%) 10mo $78,000 $92 62
285 Campbell St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,029 (+11%) 6mo $125,000 $121 62
1680 S Ethel St 0.33mi 3/1.5 849 (-8%) 11mo $35,500 $42 59
349 Frazier St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,036 (+12%) 2mo $120,000 $116 52
111 Burke St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (+8%) 5mo $24,000 $24 44
413 Frazier St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,021 (+10%) 10mo $95,000 $93 44
123 Burke St 0.71mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,032 (+11%) 1mo $45,625 $44 42
150 Division St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-15%) 9mo $59,800 $76 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.7%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$25,470
Equity at exit
$16,239
10-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
5.18×
Total profit
$64,318
Equity at exit
$19,760

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48217

Home prices YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,064 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $648/yr
Insurance
$23
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $532
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $436 +0% $420 +5% $405 +10% $389
Rent -10% $336 -5% $378 +0% $420 +5% $462 +10% $504
Rate -1.0pp $448 -0.5pp $434 base $420 +0.5pp $406 +1.0pp $391

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,120 $1.21 44d 1 0.10mi
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,050 $1.13 25d 1 0.10mi
17 W James St Unit 17 W James Lower River Rouge, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 16d 1 0.56mi
97 Batavia St Unit 1 River Rouge, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 25d 1 0.86mi
3748 15th St Ecorse, MI 2.0 1.0 528 $1,099 $2.08 17d 1 1.15mi
764 Woodmere St Apt 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $1,100 $1.11 44d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $54,900 Pending 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,900 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,900 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,900 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,900 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,900 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $54,900 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,900 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,900 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,900 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $54,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 927 sq ft of living space plus a full basement and detached 2-car garage. This home features a functional layout, spacious backyard, and solid potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Property offers a great opportunity to add your personal touch and updates over time. Conveniently located near major roads, schools, parks, and local amenities. Don't miss this affordable opportunity to own a single-family home in Detroit. Sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.

  15. 2026-05-22
    listed $54,900 Active 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 927 sq ft of living space plus a full basement and detached 2-car garage. This home features a functional layout, spacious backyard, and solid potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Property offers a great opportunity to add your personal touch and updates over time. Conveniently located near major roads, schools, parks, and local amenities. Don't miss this affordable opportunity to own a single-family home in Detroit. Sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.

  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $54,900 Active 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow offering 927 sq ft of living space plus a full basement and detached 2-car garage. This home features a functional layout, spacious backyard, and solid potential for an owner-occupant or investor. Property offers a great opportunity to add your personal touch and updates over time. Conveniently located near major roads, schools, parks, and local amenities. Don't miss this affordable opportunity to own a single-family home in Detroit. Sold as-is. Buyer to verify all information.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$648 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$747 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$99/yr (+$8/mo · 15.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,765
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$648
− Insurance
−$941
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,021
− Management
−$1,021
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$4,462
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,071
After-tax cash flow
$3,970/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
6,437

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.11%
Current HPI
366.479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $54,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $648 · -37.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…