277 NE Conifer Blvd #132 · Corvallis, OR
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.1/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Warm, welcoming, & full of possibility, this well maintained home is perfect for those who love to putter, tinker, garden, or always have a project in the works. Natural light pours through vinyl windows into the inviting living spaces, while the built-in entertainment center under the kitchen bar adds charm & function. Stay comfortable year-round with central A/C. Covered deck, accessibility ramp, hobby/shop space, & plenty of parking for multiple vehicles make this home as practical as it is comfortable. There’s something special about a home that invites you to slow down a little, step outside with a cup of coffee, and spend the afternoon working on a favorite hobby
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Hobby shop space
- Accessibility ramp
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Assessments/Liens noted (details withheld)
- Financial info: Financial details such as taxes and assessments are available but excluded
- HOA & community: Park rent includes water, sewer, garbage, and cable; Adult park
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; Parking for multiple vehicles
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer; Electric water heater; Park rent includes water, sewer, garbage, and cable
- Home design: Double-wide mobile home; Adult park community; Exterior color: brown; Entry features a covered front deck
- Construction: Built in 1981; T111 siding; Aluminum siding; Pier foundation; Roof: other (refer to remarks)
- Exterior features: Covered deck at the front; Accessibility ramp; Low-maintenance landscaping; Shed and separate shop/outbuilding; RV/Camper pad/area available; Floodplain: property is in a floodplain
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range (convection); Range included; Dishwasher; Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level (11.8 x 13.2); Second bedroom on the main level (9.11 x 8.11)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Bathroom information not provided
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed communication available; Built-in entertainment center beneath the kitchen bar
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Utility room on the main level (5.0 x 5.6)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 2.6% in Corvallis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#45 in OR, #1,113 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Corvallis SD 509J (urban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #15 of 183 in OR (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Crescent Valley High School (931 students, 19% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 116 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Benton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.47%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,409
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- 3.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 277 NE Conifer Blvd #79 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (0%) | 3mo | $79,000 | $85 | 94 |
| 277 NE Conifer Blvd #139 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 3mo | $39,999 | $42 | 91 |
| 277 NE Conifer Blvd Unit 21 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $63 | 85 |
| 277 NE Conifer Blvd #125 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (-13%) | 23mo | $58,500 | $73 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $17,760
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.01×
- Total profit
- $71,545
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97330
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 229
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,714 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $386/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3312 NE Lancaster St Unit 1 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,450 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 213 NE Conifer Blvd Corvallis, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1020 | $1,899 | $1.86 | 44d | 7 | 0.27mi |
| 1126 NE Conser Pl Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1026 | $2,200 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2675 NE Lancaster St Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,730 | $2.04 | 44d | 17 | 0.59mi |
| 2418 NW 9th St Unit 2420 Corvallis, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,895 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 958 NW Sycamore Ave Corvallis, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,425 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2145 NW Highland Dr Apt 2 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 918 | $1,795 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 991 NW Circle Blvd Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,395 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 935 NW Hobart Ave Apt 37 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 960 NW Cleveland Ave #6 Corvallis, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,150 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2380 NW Green Cir Corvallis, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $2,195 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2380 NW Rolling Green Dr Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 746 | $1,845 | $2.47 | 44d | 8 | 1.47mi |
| 1635 NW Division St Apt 1 Corvallis, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $1,195 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$84,900 Active 2093-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $386 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $824 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$437/yr (+$36/mo · 113.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$386
- − Insurance
- −$5,543
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,646
- − Management
- −$1,646
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $4,123
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$990
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,988/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corvallis SD 509J
- NCES district ID
- 4103480
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,820
- Composite
- 48.62/100
- National rank
- #4584
- State rank
- #15 of 183 in OR
Livability — Corvallis
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #1113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corvallis, OR
- County
- Benton County · 98,484 people
- City population
- 67,812
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,878
- Household income
- $70,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3416.0
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,963 people
- By 2030
- 101,658 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 110,157 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 119,275 · +23.0%
- By 2075
- 145,172 · +49.7%
- By 2100
- 165,349 · +70.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 3% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.6) · D 68.1% · R 28.5% · Other 3.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.1pp toward D · 2008: 31.5pp · 2024: 39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.6 2020: D+39.7 2016: D+33.8 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+31.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -420.12%
- Current HPI
- 298.7746
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.74%
- Metro
- Corvallis, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $84,900 WVMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $386 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…