CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3134 S Ohara
B Composite 74.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

3134 S Ohara · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31204
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,125 sqft · SingleFamily · 63 Days on market
Built 1965 Fair condition 10,454 sqft lot $47/sqft · 40% below area Est $166k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment. This large home offers a nice split floor plan , 4 nice size bedrooms including the massive lower level Bedroom with full bath and sitting room area also offered is 2 full Baths , formal Living room , formal dining room, kitchen with lots of cabinet and counter space, hardwood and tile flooring, rocking chair front porch and a massive back yard. this home needs some TLC

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1965
  • Listed 63 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,485/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 2674% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.08%
Cash-on-cash
20.67%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,250
List price
$100,000
Delta
-39.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3165 Ohara Dr N 0.07mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,928 (-9%) 3mo $166,500 $86 70
106 Shiloh Ct 0.62mi 4/2.5 2,080 (-2%) 1mo $215,000 $103 64
258 Beaumont Hts 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,050 (-4%) 13mo $217,000 $106 51
3401 Ohara Dr N 0.57mi 4/1.5 1,813 (-15%) 4mo $166,000 $92 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$16,987
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$64,812
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31204

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,485 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$482

Break-even live

Break-even rent $875
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3733 Lindsey Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1645 $1,350 $0.82 13d 1 0.10mi
1868 Sussex Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,500 $1.03 43d 1 0.98mi
1334 Dewey St Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1942 $1,300 $0.67 20d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $100,000 Pending 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 58 DOM
  7. 2026-05-01
    status Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Great investment. This large home offers a nice split floor plan , 4 nice size bedrooms including the massive lower level Bedroom with full bath and sitting room area also offered is 2 full Baths , formal Living room , formal dining room, kitchen with lots of cabinet and counter space, hardwood and tile flooring, rocking chair front porch and a massive back yard. this home needs some TLC

  8. 2026-04-10
    status Pending 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Great investment. This large home offers a nice split floor plan , 4 nice size bedrooms including the massive lower level Bedroom with full bath and sitting room area also offered is 2 full Baths , formal Living room , formal dining room, kitchen with lots of cabinet and counter space, hardwood and tile flooring, rocking chair front porch and a massive back yard. this home needs some TLC

  9. 2026-03-12
    listed $100,000 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Great investment. This large home offers a nice split floor plan , 4 nice size bedrooms including the massive lower level Bedroom with full bath and sitting room area also offered is 2 full Baths , formal Living room , formal dining room, kitchen with lots of cabinet and counter space, hardwood and tile flooring, rocking chair front porch and a massive back yard. this home needs some TLC

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,825
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,500
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,426
− Management
−$1,426
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,462
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,071
After-tax cash flow
$4,718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate renovations, focusing on bathrooms, paint, and landscaping to significantly improve its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major bathroom fixtures — old and in poor condition
  • Major paint — peeling and damaged
  • Minor windows — some screens missing

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernize and improve functionality
  • Resale paint job — enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — improve curb appeal and attract tenants

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
bathroom fixtures · old and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
paint · peeling and damaged Major $15,000–50,000
windows · some screens missing Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $30,500–103,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernize and improve functionality
  • Resale paint job — enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscaping — improve curb appeal and attract tenants

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
32,421
Household income
$38,784
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
2674.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.44%
Current HPI
194.5459
Rent YoY
▲ 4.61%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted CGMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending CGMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $100,000 CGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…