3240 Lake Osborne Dr Apt 104 · Lake Worth Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
You will LOVE this central location in Palm Beach County. 3.5 miles to beach. Coveted King size 1 bedrm unit on 1st floor next to lake! New impact windows, new AC (Dec 2025), upgraded bathroom w/ walk-in shower, hi-end luxury vinyl wood flooring, Vintage Florida bamboo furniture throughout. Across from 750-acre John Prince park w/ 350-acre Lake Osborne, biking trails, golf driving range, etc. 1 minute to Tri-Rail station. 2 min to 95 freeway. 5 min to cute dwntwn Lake Worth Beach. 8 minutes to beach/ocean. 15 min to both downtown WPB & Delray Beach w/ their many restaurants & shopping. Just feet from recreation bldg w/ pool, gyms, pickleball/shuffleboard/bocce ball courts, billi
Key facts
- Upgraded bathroom
- Walk-in shower
- New impact windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community; Pets not allowed in this community; Community contains 518 units
- Financial info: Not a land lease community
- HOA & community: Murry Hills Association Inc; Monthly HOA includes cable TV, internet, grounds maintenance, pest control, security, common areas, common real estate tax, reserve funds, roof repairs, recreation facilities, and pool service; Community amenities: heated pool, pool, fitness center, billiard room, game room, laundry, management, picnic area, car wash area, shuffleboard court, workshop area, on-site manager, bike storage, bocce ball, hobby room, internet included, library, maintained community, pickleball courts, putting green, security, recreation facilities, parking
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned deeded parking; Asphalt parking; Guest parking; Permit-required parking; One open parking space
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Owned security system
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Condominium; One-level living; Entry at front door (entry level 1); Faces south; Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Concrete block with stucco (CBS) construction; Concrete and stucco materials; Second/third floor concrete; Built-up, flat, mansard, rolled/hot mop and shingle roof options; Permanent slab foundation
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Glass-enclosed porch; Landscaped grounds; Irregular-shaped lot; Lake access (not waterfront)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating (individual); Central air conditioning (individual); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Partially furnished; Blinds; Double-pane windows; Storm windows; Tinted windows; Sliding windows
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $122 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Barton Elementary School (math 25% / reading 20%, grade F, #2,073 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 1,064 students, 80% FRL); Lake Worth Community Middle (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 1,249 students, 75% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $90k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.80%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-11,165
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-16,466
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33461
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $373/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$602
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $122
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3000 Lake Osborne Dr #107 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,350 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3322 Cynthia Ln #207 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,400 | $2.29 | 1d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2960 Lake Osborne Dr #209 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,395 | $2.28 | 13d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2920 Cynthia Ln #203 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,350 | $1.84 | 1d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2920 Cynthia Ln #203 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $1,400 | $1.91 | 16d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3362 Cynthia Ln Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $2,388 | $3.90 | 21d | 2 | 0.16mi |
| 2960 Lake Osborne Dr Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,342 | $2.19 | 24d | 2 | 0.16mi |
| 2840 Cynthia Ln #203 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,220 | $1.69 | 12d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2880 Lake Osborne Dr #209 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,150 | $1.88 | 7d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2880 Lake Osborne Dr #209 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,299 | $2.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2840 Lake Osborne Dr Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 819 | $1,338 | $1.63 | 16d | 2 | 0.22mi |
| 644 S Ridge St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1980 Sunset Ave #12 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 773 | $1,500 | $1.94 | 1d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2020 Lake Osborne Dr #11 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 894 | $1,850 | $2.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1420 Barton Rd Unit 1420w Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $2,000 | $2.02 | 10d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 717 S B St Unit 715 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $2,295 | $4.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1029 S D St Apt 2 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 560 | $1,675 | $2.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1029 S D St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,715 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 911 S D St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1023 | $2,300 | $2.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 606 S C St #103 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 608 | $1,500 | $2.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2566 South Dr Unit 306 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,850 | $2.49 | 7d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2640 South Dr Unit 301 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2640 South Dr Unit 301 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,500 | $1.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 136 Akron St Apt B2 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 599 | $2,175 | $3.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 136 Akron St Unit A1 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 599 | $2,075 | $3.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 123 Erie St Apt 10 Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,325 | $2.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 835 Andrew Redding Rd #1 Lantana, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $2,800 | $3.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 517 S F St Unit 1 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,750 | $2.50 | 10d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4611 S Congress Ave Palm Springs, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 601 | $1,399 | $2.33 | 3d | 6 | 1.01mi |
| 2220 Lake Worth Rd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,779 | $2.54 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3195 Mcsherry Dr Unit 3195 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $2,300 | $2.44 | 16d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2571 Lake Worth Rd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $1,378 | $1.84 | 1d | 2 | 1.14mi |
| 1101 S K St Unit 16 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,550 | $2.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 12 N B St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,700 | $2.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1409 Lake Ave Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 799 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1741 3rd Ave N #6 Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 775 | $1,550 | $2.00 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1001 Water Tower Way Hypoluxo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,934 | $1.97 | 2d | 25 | 1.21mi |
| 1001 Water Tower Way Hypoluxo, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,897 | $1.93 | 24d | 25 | 1.21mi |
| 905 S L St Lake Worth Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 893 | $3,300 | $3.70 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 900 Water Tower Way Lantana, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1176 | $2,076 | $1.77 | 3d | 20 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $602 · $7,224/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $89,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$95,000 Active
-
2010-05-04soldstatus $45,000
-
2010-02-20historical
-
2009-10-20$48,500
-
1998-02-02soldstatus $30,000
-
1990-11-19soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $373 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $746 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$373/yr (+$31/mo · 99.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$373
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − HOA
- −$7,224
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $425
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$102
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,357/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Worth Beach
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Worth Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 129,577
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,443
- Household income
- $61,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2663.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% Two or more races 26% White 20% Black 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 16% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 9% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 31% English-only · Spanish 54% French/Haitian/Cajun 10% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -269.03%
- Current HPI
- 493.0041
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.47%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+150.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $95,000 Beaches MLS
- 2010-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2010-02-20 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2009-10-20 Listed $48,500 Beaches MLS
- 1998-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1990-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $373 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…