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4504 Delray Dr
D- Composite 39.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

4504 Delray Dr · Montgomery, AL 36116
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,629 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1962 0.56 ac lot $83/sqft · 12% above area Est $120k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sale in "As Is" condition. Nice corner lot; 3rd bedroom has been converted to office. Good investment.

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Generous lot
  • Mature trees

Tags

FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANPRACTICAL KITCHEN LAYOUTGENEROUS LOTMATURE TREESESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Monthly garbage fee ($22)
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking; 1-car carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Electric water heater; Internet availability unknown
  • Home design: Single-family existing home; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick over foundation; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator; Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level; Walk-in closets
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms with tub/shower combos
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air); Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Split bedroom floor plan; Attic with pull-down access; Laminate kitchen countertops; Oven (electric) and refrigerator included
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (12.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Johnson Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #568 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 352 students, 87% FRL); Lanier Senior High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #265 of 305 statewide, top 89%, 798 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 70% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,700 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.72%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,309
List price
$134,900
Delta
12.13%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1712 Marlowe Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,530 (-6%) 2mo $150,000 $98 81
743 Leicester Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,610 (-1%) 6mo $124,000 $77 78
4512 Delray Rd 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-8%) 9mo $125,000 $83 74
829 Leicester Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,774 (+9%) 3mo $50,000 $28 71
651 Seibles Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,611 (-1%) 10mo $126,000 $78 69
4712 Falcon Ln 0.37mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,636 (+0%) 9mo $132,000 $81 69
731 Leicester Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,743 (+7%) 7mo $140,000 $80 67
4348 Rainbow Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,590 (-2%) 18mo $122,500 $77 66
1160 Queensbury Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,734 (+6%) 8mo $115,000 $66 64
4506 Narrow Lane Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,784 (+10%) 10mo $21,100 $12 45
540 Seibles Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,833 (+12%) 20mo $165,000 $90 41
1426 Marlowe Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,402 (-14%) 16mo $118,000 $84 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-13,192
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$9,480
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36116

Home prices YoY
-9.7%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,187 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,062/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,079
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4342 Sunshine Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1323 $1,250 $0.94 13d 1 0.29mi
1114 Druid Hills Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1192 $1,250 $1.05 21d 1 0.84mi
548 Winston Dr Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.5 1396 $1,000 $0.72 43d 1 0.94mi
3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3737 Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,280 $1.22 43d 1 1.10mi
3708 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1749 $900 $0.51 21d 1 1.12mi
3737 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,280 $1.22 43d 1 1.13mi
3649 Princeton Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1266 $1,200 $0.95 21d 1 1.18mi
3735 Bridlewood Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1386 $895 $0.65 43d 1 1.26mi
2230 Woodley Sq W Montgomery, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 902 $898 $1.00 13d 11 1.32mi
3212 Herbert Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1180 $1,425 $1.21 21d 1 1.46mi
3608 Wilmington Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1160 $950 $0.82 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,900 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,900 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,900 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,900 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $134,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $134,900 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,900 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,900 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,900 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,900 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,900 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $134,900 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    listed $134,900 Active 478-char remark
  17. 2021-09-02
    soldstatus $270,000
  18. 2015-06-05
    listed $29,900
  19. 2014-06-06
    soldstatus $23,500
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Sale in "As Is" condition. Nice corner lot; 3rd bedroom has been converted to office. Good investment.

  20. 2013-11-19
    listed $30,000
    Show marketing remark (112 chars)

    Sale in "As Is" condition. Nice corner lot; 3rd bedroom has been converted to office. Good investment.

  21. 2011-05-27
    listed $35,000
  22. 2008-08-13
    listed $89,900
  23. 2007-11-14
    soldstatus $12,250
  24. 2007-07-26
    listed $24,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,062 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,062 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,244
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$1,062
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,140
− Management
−$1,140
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$1,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$301
After-tax cash flow
$1,328/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
45,250
Household income
$55,160
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
2786.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 80% White 12% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -16.31%
Current HPI
151.8598
Rent YoY
▲ 5.65%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+450.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $134,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records
  • 2015-06-05 Listed $29,900 MAAR
  • 2014-06-06 Sold (MLS) $23,500 MAAR
  • 2013-11-19 Listed $30,000 MAAR
  • 2011-05-27 Listed $35,000 MAAR
  • 2008-08-13 Listed $89,900 MAAR
  • 2007-11-14 Sold (MLS) $12,250 MAAR
  • 2007-07-26 Listed $24,500 MAAR

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,062 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…