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A- Composite 82.74
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$194,998

5479 Double Eagle Cir #3613 · Ave Maria, FL 34142
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,154 sqft · Townhouse · 1 Days on market
Built 2026 Est $304k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This single-level condominium features an open kitchen, dining room and living room, with lanai access for outdoor living. Near the foyer is the luxe owner's suite and a comfortable spare bedroom perfect for younger residents or guests. Tee off on the 18-hole Gordon Lewis-designed course and relax at the nearly 17,000 sq. ft. clubhouse with on-site dining. Enjoy the vastness of the fitness and spa amenities and resort-style pool area for ultimate relaxation. Bundled social memberships available!

Key facts

  • 18-hole course
  • 000 sq ft clubhouse
  • Luxe owner's suite

Tags

OPEN KITCHENLANAI ACCESSLUXE OWNER'S SUITE18-HOLE COURSE17000 SQ FT CLUBHOUSE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $194,998

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-story residence (Birkdale plan); Address: 5479 Double Eagle Cir #3613, Ave Maria, FL 34142
  • Exterior features: Living area of 1,154 (listing)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Spec home (Birkdale plan); Active listing

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 449 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,196/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1093% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $194,998

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.64%
Cap rate
13.54%
Cash-on-cash
25.87%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$303,502
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5555 Double Eagle Cir #3935 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,120 (-3%) 1mo $295,000 $263 86

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.05% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
1.92×
Total profit
$50,154
Equity at exit
$46,619
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$143,095
Equity at exit
$48,570

Cash invested: $54,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34142

Home prices YoY
-0.5%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
449
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,196 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax est. 1.5%
$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
Insurance
$81
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$671
Net cashflow
$1,025

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,898
Max offer price $194,998
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5479 Double Eagle Cir #3626 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,200 $1.91 13d 1 0.03mi
5491 Double Eagle Cir #3728 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $2,195 $1.69 14d 1 0.04mi
5454 Double Eagle Cir #3325 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,495 $1.84 23d 1 0.07mi
5466 Double Eagle Cir #3425 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $5,995 $4.42 23d 1 0.11mi
5478 Double Eagle Cir #3515 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,395 $1.77 23d 1 0.11mi
5527 Double Eagle Cir Unit 3815 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $5,795 $5.17 23d 1 0.12mi
5527 Double Eagle Cir Unit 3838 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $2,295 $1.76 23d 1 0.12mi
5433 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $3,295 $2.41 23d 1 0.15mi
5555 Double Eagle Cir #3914 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $5,795 $5.17 23d 1 0.16mi
5555 Double Eagle Cir #3936 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,100 $1.82 14d 1 0.16mi
5555 Double Eagle Cir #3913 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,100 $1.82 23d 1 0.16mi
5555 Double Eagle Cir #3918 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $5,995 $4.61 23d 1 0.16mi
5555 Double Eagle Cir Unit 3916 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,950 $5.16 23d 1 0.16mi
5433 Double Eagle Cir #2915 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $6,295 $4.61 21d 1 0.17mi
5427 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,995 $2.21 23d 1 0.18mi
5427 Double Eagle Cir #2812 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,395 $1.77 14d 1 0.18mi
5427 Double Eagle Cir #2822 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $5,795 $4.28 23d 1 0.21mi
5427 Double Eagle Cir #2825 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $6,295 $4.65 23d 1 0.21mi
5445 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,995 $2.21 23d 1 0.21mi
5427 Double Eagle Cir #2815 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $2,700 $1.93 23d 1 0.21mi
5445 Double Eagle Cir #3013 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1366 $2,595 $1.90 21d 1 0.22mi
5583 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1239 $2,495 $2.01 23d 1 0.22mi
5428 Double Eagle Cir #2517 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,695 $1.99 23d 1 0.23mi
5583 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4118 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $4,700 $3.61 23d 1 0.24mi
5583 Double Eagle Cir #4137 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,795 $5.02 21d 1 0.24mi
5583 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4143 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $5,795 $5.17 23d 1 0.24mi
5583 Double Eagle Cir #4135 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,195 $1.96 23d 1 0.24mi
5835 Double Eagle Cir Unit 4742 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,795 $5.02 23d 1 0.24mi
5807 Double Eagle Cir #4631 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $5,695 $4.38 23d 1 0.24mi
5410 Double Eagle Cir #2222 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1355 $2,395 $1.77 23d 1 0.25mi
5629 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $5,495 $4.91 23d 1 0.27mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $2,495 $2.16 23d 1 0.28mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir #4323 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,795 $5.02 21d 1 0.29mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir Unit 1545996P Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1280 $2,581 $2.02 14d 1 0.29mi
5651 Double Eagle Cir #4318 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $2,200 $1.69 21d 1 0.29mi
5715 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $3,295 $2.94 23d 1 0.30mi
5807 Double Eagle Cir #4635 Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $5,195 $4.64 23d 1 0.31mi
5835 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $5,495 $4.76 23d 1 0.31mi
5807 Double Eagle Cir Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $2,995 $2.30 23d 1 0.31mi
5807 Double Eagle Cir #4621 Ave Maria, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $6,295 $4.84 23d 1 0.31mi

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,348
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,925
− Insurance
−$2,799
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,068
− Management
−$3,068
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable income
$9,892
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,374
After-tax cash flow
$9,925/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ave Maria

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Ave Maria, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,149
Household income
$62,333
Rent vs Own
48.7% rent · 51.3% own
Severe rent burden
1093.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 39% Black 19% White 16% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 53% French/Haitian/Cajun 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.05%
Current HPI
226.9105
Rent YoY
▲ 2.95%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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