332 Crawford Mill Ln · Martinez, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- ARV discount +4.3/15.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GA BANK AND TRUST 1ST RIGHT MANY OTHER LOTS AVAILABLE FOR PRESOLDS EACH HAS BREAKRFAST NOOK.
Key facts
- Separate dining room
- Breakfast area
- Covered back porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 36 x 142; Zoning: 2CO; Subdivision: Crawford Mill
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Annual association fee of $480 (about $40/month); Association amenities: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water connected
- Home design: Townhouse; One-level / single-story; Entry level: 1; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as townhouse (year built not provided)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Wood fencing; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Forced air heating; Fireplace(s)
- Interior features: Tray ceilings; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-182/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $187k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Martinez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#23 in GA, #3,514 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Brookwood Elementary School (math 50% / reading 41%, grade D-, #323 of 1,228 statewide, top 26%, 696 students, 52% FRL); Columbia Middle School (math 37% / reading 48%, grade D-, #122 of 470 statewide, top 26%, 993 students, 33% FRL); Evans High School (math 12% / reading 31%, grade F, #218 of 424 statewide, top 53%, 1,887 students, 30% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 737 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $190k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.34%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,422
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 Crawford Mill Ln | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,102 (0%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $172 | 93 |
| 4758 Creek Mill Crk | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,102 (0%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $159 | 75 |
| 301 Crawford Mill Ln | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,180 (+7%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $161 | 75 |
| 4776 W Creek Mill Ct | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,102 (0%) | 14mo | $183,000 | $166 | 75 |
| 323 Crawford Mill Ln | 0.03mi | 2/2.5 | 1,152 (+4%) | 17mo | $184,900 | $161 | 75 |
| 300 Beech Ln | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (-1%) | 9mo | $171,900 | $157 | 69 |
| 1611 Bradley Way | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (-1%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $169 | 63 |
| 102 Ginkgo Ln | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (-1%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $160 | 62 |
| 210 Sassafras Ln | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (-1%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $147 | 60 |
| 240 Sassafras Ln | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (-1%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $151 | 60 |
| 131 Ginkgo Ln | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (-1%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $114 | 59 |
| 1127 Bison Way | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,092 (-1%) | 15mo | $176,000 | $161 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-34,645
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-42,851
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30813
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 737
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,579 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,767/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $-15
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $92 | -5% $39 | +0% $-15 | +5% $-69 | +10% $-123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-140 | -5% $-78 | +0% $-15 | +5% $47 | +10% $110 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $33 | base $-15 | +0.5pp $-64 | +1.0pp $-114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 Crawford Mill Ln Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 4763 W Creek Mill Ct Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1102 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 301 Beech Ln Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1802 Honeysuckle Way Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,995 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1802 Honeysuckle Way Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,995 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2000 Kennesaw Way Unit 01 2202 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $1,590 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2000 Kennesaw Way Unit 01 2220 Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $1,590 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2207 Jasmine Way Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2207 Jasmine Way Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1191 Bison Way Grovetown, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 801 Trailside Ct Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1478 | $1,770 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 336 Deerwood Ct Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,525 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 402 Ridge Xing Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 916 | $1,125 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-15$190,000 Active
-
2020-10-26soldstatus $82,000
-
1999-11-19soldstatus $69,100 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
GA BANK AND TRUST 1ST RIGHT MANY OTHER LOTS AVAILABLE FOR PRESOLDS EACH HAS BREAKRFAST NOOK.
-
1999-11-19soldstatus $69,100
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
GA BANK AND TRUST 1ST RIGHT MANY OTHER LOTS AVAILABLE FOR PRESOLDS EACH HAS BREAKRFAST NOOK.
-
1998-10-08$65,900 92-char remark
Show marketing remark (92 chars)
GA BANK AND TRUST 1ST RIGHT MANY OTHER LOTS AVAILABLE FOR PRESOLDS EACH HAS BREAKRFAST NOOK.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,767 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,767 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,767
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,516
- − Management
- −$1,516
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$3,448
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$827
- After-tax cash flow
- $646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia County
- NCES district ID
- 1301410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,358
- Composite
- 45.04/100
- National rank
- #2695
- State rank
- #13 of 174 in GA
Livability — Martinez
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #3514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Columbia County · 154,184 people
- City population
- 46,975
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,466
- Household income
- $86,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,073 people
- By 2030
- 212,277 · +12.3%
- By 2040
- 259,480 · +37.2%
- By 2050
- 306,991 · +62.4%
- By 2075
- 421,213 · +122.8%
- By 2100
- 496,722 · +162.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.24%
- Current HPI
- 233.821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+188.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $190,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $69,100 Public Records
- 1999-11-19 Sold (MLS) $69,100 Hive MLS
- 1998-10-08 Listed $65,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,767 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…