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31111 Us 264 Hwy
C+ Composite 60.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,000

31111 Us 264 Hwy · Belhaven, NC 27810
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,488 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1946 2.00 ac lot Est $71k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hardwood floors, screen porch. Formal DR. Big lvg rm. 1 bed down, 2 up. Two acres of land. Sold as is. Seller makes no repairs. HUD, its agents and/or assigns make no representation as to the existence of mold, radon, or lead-based paint and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof

Key facts

  • 2-acre property
  • Rural setting
  • 2 acre lot

Tags

2-ACRE PROPERTYFRONTAGE ALONG US 264 HWY ERURAL SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-site concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Utilities: see remarks
  • Home design: Single-family residential home; One and one-half levels; Entry at level 1; Brick and frame construction
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Flat and shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; No additional exterior features listed; Property has a view

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedroom count not explicitly listed)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Wood heating and fireplace(s); Has cooling; Wall/window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Unfurnished; No built-in appliances listed; Crawl space basement (no finished basement)
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-505/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $81k (8.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 0.8% in Belhaven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#127 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Beaufort County Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #112 of 178 in NC (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Northeast Elementary (math 33% / reading 31%, grade F, #908 of 1,410 statewide, top 67%, 388 students, 99% FRL); Northside High (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C-, #280 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 376 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 67% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 216 units permitted in Beaufort County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaufort County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $88k implies a 315% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,572 (8.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.54%
Cash-on-cash
18.73%
DSCR
1.83
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$71,424
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
996 Pamlico St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+5%) 8mo $75,000 $48 75
240 E Old County Rd 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,425 (-4%) 21mo $46,000 $32 59
374 Cedar St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-5%) 9mo $167,500 $119 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-16,685
Equity at exit
$13,121
10-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-16,950
Equity at exit
$7,609

Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27810

Home prices YoY
-24.1%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$461
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $784/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$-42

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,253
Max offer price $80,572
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $8 -5% $-17 +0% $-42 +5% $-67 +10% $-92
Rent -10% $-137 -5% $-89 +0% $-42 +5% $5 +10% $53
Rate -1.0pp $2 -0.5pp $-20 base $-42 +0.5pp $-65 +1.0pp $-88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,000
Closing costs
$2,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
728 Elm St Belhaven, NC 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 22d 1 0.37mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $88,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $88,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $88,000 Active 18 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,000 Active 17 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $88,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $88,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $88,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $88,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $88,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $88,000 Active 7 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $88,000 Active 6 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $88,000 Active 5 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $88,000 Active 4 DOM
  18. 2026-05-26
    listed $88,000 Active
  19. 2014-04-08
    soldstatus $21,200 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Hardwood floors, screen porch. Formal DR. Big lvg rm. 1 bed down, 2 up. Two acres of land. Sold as is. Seller makes no repairs. HUD, its agents and/or assigns make no representation as to the existence of mold, radon, or lead-based paint and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof

  20. 2014-02-14
    listed $22,000 299-char remark
    Show marketing remark (299 chars)

    Hardwood floors, screen porch. Formal DR. Big lvg rm. 1 bed down, 2 up. Two acres of land. Sold as is. Seller makes no repairs. HUD, its agents and/or assigns make no representation as to the existence of mold, radon, or lead-based paint and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$784 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$784 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,400
− Mortgage interest
−$4,929
− Property taxes
−$784
− Insurance
−$5,558
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$2,560
Taxable loss
−$1,736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$417
After-tax cash flow
$-88/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaufort County Schools
NCES district ID
3700330
Math proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$40,486
Composite
33.99/100
National rank
#5320
State rank
#112 of 178 in NC

Livability — Belhaven

Score
70/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#7447

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,637

Population outlook (Beaufort County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,069 people
By 2030
46,417 · -1.4%
By 2040
44,455 · -5.6%
By 2050
42,239 · -10.3%
By 2075
37,349 · -20.7%
By 2100
32,434 · -31.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Serbian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaufort

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
-13.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.3 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.05%
Current HPI
173.3725
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+300.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $88,000 Hive MLS
  • 2014-04-08 Sold (MLS) $21,200 Hive MLS
  • 2014-02-14 Listed $22,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $784 · +89.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…