1351 NE Miami Gardens Dr Unit 501E · Ojus, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.26%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 1/1 converted with the den. Beautiful open kitchen, renovated bathroom. Partial water view Tenant occupied.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Easy access to i-95
- Partial water view
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association pool available
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or possible restrictions (conditional)
- HOA & community: Association fee $370 monthly; Association covers management, amenities, common areas, hot water, insurance, laundry, grounds maintenance, building maintenance, pest control, pool(s), recreation facilities, sewer, trash, and water; Association amenities include pool and elevators
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One assigned space
- Security: Complex is fenced
- Utilities: Water provided; Sewer provided; Power available
- Home design: Condominium unit in a 17-story building; Entry level: 5th floor; Has attached property; Has a view
- Construction: Block construction; Resale unit
- Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio; Fenced complex
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Elevator; First-floor entry; Bedroom on main level; Vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Laundry included in association amenities
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $167k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $167k).
- Recommended offer: $147k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 8.7% in Ojus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,172/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 3123% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $142k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.37%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $30,007
- Equity at exit
- $24,900
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $77,910
- Equity at exit
- $14,439
Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33179
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 572
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,172 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$876
- Tax from tax record
- −$163 /mo · $1,951/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$370
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$666
- Net cashflow
- $1,028
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,750
- Closing costs
- $5,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $370 · $4,440/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $167,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $167,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $167,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $167,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $167,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $167,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $167,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $167,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $167,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $167,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $167,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $167,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $167,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $170,000
-
2026-02-05$175,000 Active
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2025-09-12historical $1,600
-
2025-08-19$1,600
-
2025-08-14historical $1,650
-
2025-08-05historical $1,650
-
2025-08-02$1,650
-
2025-07-25price $1,700
-
2025-06-22price $175,000
-
2025-06-10price $1,650
-
2025-06-09price $178,000
-
2025-06-07price $1,700
-
2025-06-06price $180,000
-
2025-04-10price $1,800
-
2025-04-09price $185,000
-
2025-03-27price $1,850
-
2025-03-27$190,000 Active
-
2025-03-25price $2,000
-
2025-03-12$2,100
-
2022-06-17soldstatus $142,000
-
2022-05-27soldstatus $142,000 Closed 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Nice 1/1 converted with the den. Beautiful open kitchen, renovated bathroom. Partial water view Tenant occupied.
-
2022-05-06status Pending 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Nice 1/1 converted with the den. Beautiful open kitchen, renovated bathroom. Partial water view Tenant occupied.
-
2022-03-31$139,000 Active 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Nice 1/1 converted with the den. Beautiful open kitchen, renovated bathroom. Partial water view Tenant occupied.
-
2003-01-24soldstatus $42,000
-
1978-08-01soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,951 · $163/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,951 · $163/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,059
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,951
- − Insurance
- −$835
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,045
- − Management
- −$3,045
- − HOA
- −$4,440
- − Depreciation
- −$4,858
- Taxable income
- $10,532
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,528
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,805/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ojus
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #1031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ojus, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,591
- Household income
- $65,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3123.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -608.34%
- Current HPI
- 328.1733
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+466.7% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $170,000 MARMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-09-12 Rental Removed $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-08-19 Listed for Rent $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-08-14 Rental Removed $1,650 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-08-05 Rental Removed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2025-08-02 Listed for Rent $1,650 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $1,700 MARMLS
- 2025-06-22 Price Changed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $1,650 MARMLS
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $178,000 MARMLS
- 2025-06-07 Price Changed $1,700 MARMLS
- 2025-06-06 Price Changed $180,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $1,800 MARMLS
- 2025-04-09 Price Changed $185,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-27 Price Changed $1,850 MARMLS
- 2025-03-27 Listed $190,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-25 Price Changed $2,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-12 Listed for Rent $2,100 MARMLS
- 2022-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-27 Sold (MLS) $142,000 MARMLS
- 2022-05-06 Pending — MARMLS
- 2022-03-31 Listed $139,000 MARMLS
- 2003-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 1978-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+33.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,951 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…