1621 Union St · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$126,580
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Updated electrical
- New water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $127k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,448/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 311% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $875 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask is 15% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.37%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,025
- List price
- $126,580
- Delta
- -63.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1415 Union St | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 2,177 (-4%) | 1mo | $439,000 | $202 | 78 |
| 29 E Palmer St | 0.04mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,520 (+11%) | 0mo | $375,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 2117 Webb St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,138 (-6%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $28 | 60 |
| 818 Iowa St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,187 (-3%) | 1mo | $146,000 | $67 | 59 |
| 2165 S Meridian St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,398 (+6%) | 2mo | $68,500 | $29 | 58 |
| 1602 Leonard St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,288 (+1%) | 0mo | $275,000 | $120 | 56 |
| 325 Sanders St | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,042 (-10%) | 1mo | $359,000 | $176 | 51 |
| 519 Lincoln St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,510 (+11%) | 1mo | $323,500 | $129 | 51 |
| 515 Orange St | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,462 (+9%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $126 | 50 |
| 826 E Minnesota St | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,347 (+4%) | 1mo | $450,000 | $192 | 49 |
| 719 Terrace Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 2,559 (+13%) | 0mo | $279,900 | $109 | 46 |
| 373 E Morris St | 0.52mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,478 (+10%) | 1mo | $342,900 | $138 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $59,003
- Equity at exit
- $18,873
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.53×
- Total profit
- $196,121
- Equity at exit
- $10,944
Cash invested: $35,442 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46225
- Home prices YoY
- -8.2%
- Rents YoY
- 11.0%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,448 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$664
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$514
- Net cashflow
- $1,045
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,645
- Closing costs
- $3,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 Terrace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1669 | $2,700 | $1.62 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 350 Terrace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2552 | $3,000 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 350 Terrace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2552 | $3,000 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 406 Parkway Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2481 | $2,250 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 406 Orange St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,250 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1830 Orleans St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1586 | $1,995 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 728 Cottage Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1831 | $2,550 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 743 Cottage Ave Indianapolis, IN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2233 | $1,995 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1835 Applegate St Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2024 | $2,300 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 734 Parkway Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $2,299 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 518 Prospect St Unit 1357365P Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,594 | $1.61 | 7d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 518 Prospect St Unit 1353834P Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $2,442 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2283 Union St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $1,820 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1247 Wright St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1809 | $1,750 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 822 Union St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2384 | $3,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 818 Union St Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2624 | $3,900 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1301 Ringgold Ave Unit 1303750P Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2884 | $6,514 | $2.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1337 Barth Ave Unit NA Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2468 | $1,700 | $0.69 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1337 Barth Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2468 | $1,700 | $0.69 | 7d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1337 Barth Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2468 | $1,700 | $0.69 | 16d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1337 Barth Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2468 | $1,700 | $0.69 | 10d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1205 Cottage Ave Unit 1372938P Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2680 | $6,638 | $2.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1258 E Naomi St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1608 | $1,450 | $0.90 | 7d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1409 Linden St Unit 1028898P Indianapolis, IN | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2895 | $14,651 | $5.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1330 Laurel St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1911 | $2,250 | $1.18 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 229 S Delaware St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1207 | $4,758 | $3.94 | 2d | 54 | 1.27mi |
| 1140 Hoyt Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1831 | $1,895 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1135 Spann Ave Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1836 | $2,495 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1528 E Tabor St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2200 | $1,550 | $0.70 | 15d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1641 Iowa St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1938 | $1,900 | $0.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1399 Hoefgen St Indianapolis, IN | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2122 | $2,100 | $0.99 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-19status $126,580 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-05-19status Pending 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2026-04-04status Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2026-02-12status Pending 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2026-01-30price $126,580 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2026-01-30status Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2026-01-16status Pending 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2026-01-04status Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2025-12-26historical 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2025-12-03status Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2025-11-08status Pending 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2025-09-30$110,000 Active 236-char remark
Show marketing remark (236 chars)
Four bedrooms plus bonus room ready for your decorator's touch. Near Bates-Hendricks and convenient access to highways and downtown. Fenced rear yard, covered porch and rear patio. New water heater, furnace 2yrs, updated electrical.
-
2001-02-18historical
-
2000-08-18$55,202
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,075 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,075 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,090
- − Property taxes
- −$2,075
- − Insurance
- −$633
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,350
- − Management
- −$2,350
- − Depreciation
- −$3,682
- Taxable income
- $11,197
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,687
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,848/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,037
- Household income
- $55,190
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 311.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.19%
- Current HPI
- 403.9271
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.98%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+129.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-12 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $126,580 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-04 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-26 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-08 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Listed $110,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-02-18 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-08-18 Listed $55,202 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,075 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…