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2308 Stonesthrow Ct 🌊 Lakefront
D Composite 42.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

2308 Stonesthrow Ct · Raleigh, NC 27610
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,559 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1989 7,405 sqft lot $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3BR/2BA single-family home minutes from Enloe High School and WakeMed. Property requires full renovation--no working HVAC/heat, active mold present. Enter with caution and wear a mask. Roof replaced 2018; prior roof failure caused interior water damage. Do not access back porch. All showings must be accompanied by a licensed real estate agent. No sign on property. Seller makes no representations as to current condition. PROPERTY SOLD AS IS. Excellent opportunity in a sought-after area. HOA dues are $300 a year. Please verify all information. Note road is private maintained by the HOA. PRIVATE ROADS. See covenants.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1989

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in Wake County; Not a senior community
  • HOA & community: Association: Victoria Place Homeowners' Association, Inc.; Annual association fee $300; Association covers insurance, road maintenance, and storm water maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 space); Total 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Site-built property; Two levels
  • Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built as site-built structure
  • Exterior features: Private maintained road; Lot approx. 0.17 acres; Lot dimensions: see plat; Zoned R-4

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: see remarks; No central cooling; other/none listed
  • Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; See remarks for additional interior details

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($0/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (0.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (14.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.7% in Raleigh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in NC, #1,028 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Hunter Elementary (math 65% / reading 74%, grade A-, #95 of 1,410 statewide, top 7%, 607 students, 27% FRL); Ligon Middle (math 58% / reading 71%, grade A-, #30 of 475 statewide, top 7%, 893 students, 31% FRL); Enloe High (math 64% / reading 75%, grade B, #121 of 535 statewide, top 24%, 2,502 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 594 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $204,693 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.00%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$559,837
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2432 Calvert Dr 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,331 (-15%) 2mo $315,000 $237 68
472 Dickens Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,415 (-9%) 23mo $367,400 $260 59
2428 Derby Dr 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,690 (+8%) 22mo $449,000 $266 51
2404 Boswell Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,683 (+8%) 16mo $590,000 $351 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.4%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-44,497
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-19.2%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-60,493
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27610

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
594
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,047 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$234 /mo · $2,802/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$-0

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,047
Max offer price $239,995
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $136 -5% $68 +0% $0 +5% $-68 +10% $-136
Rent -10% $-162 -5% $-81 +0% $0 +5% $81 +10% $162
Rate -1.0pp $121 -0.5pp $61 base $0 +0.5pp $-62 +1.0pp $-125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
460 Dickens Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,950 $1.37 12d 1 0.10mi
212 N Peartree Ln Raleigh, NC 3.0 1.5 1379 $1,545 $1.12 22d 1 0.43mi
2325 K Wesley Way Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1136 $2,099 $1.85 4d 1 0.67mi
2804 Donovan Pl Raleigh, NC 3.0 1.5 1125 $1,697 $1.51 14d 1 0.68mi
2200 Glascock St Apt G Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,200 $1.09 25d 1 0.84mi
1129 Marlborough Rd Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1101 $2,050 $1.86 25d 1 0.87mi
1939 Robin Hill Ln Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.5 1643 $2,200 $1.34 5d 1 0.95mi
2110 Birkhall St Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.0–2.0 929 $2,200 $2.37 3d 93 0.99mi
420 Sustainable Way Raleigh, NC 4.0 3.5 2238 $2,395 $1.07 21d 1 1.01mi
3211 Pridwen Cir Raleigh, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1103 $1,594 $1.45 3d 17 1.08mi
1105 Glascock St Unit 101 Raleigh, NC 4.0 4.0 1870 $2,997 $1.60 23d 1 1.10mi
1105 Glascock St Unit 102 Raleigh, NC 4.0 4.0 1870 $2,997 $1.60 4d 1 1.10mi
1000 Addison Pl Unit 101 Raleigh, NC 4.0 4.0 1870 $2,897 $1.55 25d 1 1.11mi
1000 Addison Pl #102 Raleigh, NC 3.0 3.5 1870 $2,797 $1.50 23d 1 1.11mi
709 Glenbrook Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 1.0 1185 $1,550 $1.31 25d 1 1.13mi
1704 Sundial Pl Raleigh, NC 4.0 2.0 1554 $1,800 $1.16 5d 1 1.16mi
1701 E Lenoir St Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,900 $2.64 25d 1 1.17mi
713 Grantland Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 3.0 1323 $1,995 $1.51 19d 1 1.20mi
3369 Bridgeville Rd Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,699 $1.42 5d 1 1.23mi
825 Rawls Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,845 $1.23 14d 1 1.23mi
825 Rawls Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,845 $1.23 22d 1 1.23mi
503 Erie Rd Unit 503 Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1470 $1,650 $1.12 16d 1 1.23mi
1309 E Jones St Unit 1309 Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 25d 1 1.24mi
817 Dalewood Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1110 $1,595 $1.44 16d 1 1.27mi
802 Star Ridge Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1447 $1,800 $1.24 18d 1 1.29mi
649 Sunnybrook Rd Raleigh, NC 3.0 1.0 2100 $800 $0.38 21d 1 1.33mi
804 Oak Center Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1447 $1,900 $1.31 21d 1 1.34mi
832 Brigham Rd Raleigh, NC 3.0 1.5 1107 $1,595 $1.44 25d 1 1.34mi
133 S Tarboro St Raleigh, NC 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,495 $1.30 25d 1 1.35mi
838 Oak Center Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.5 1463 $1,995 $1.36 25d 1 1.37mi
1950 N Raleigh Blvd Unit C Raleigh, NC 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,249 $1.19 22d 1 1.40mi
530 Banks St Raleigh, NC 3.0 1.5 1241 $2,399 $1.93 25d 1 1.40mi
1051 Topsail Sound Dr Raleigh, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 980 $1,504 $1.53 5d 1 1.45mi
3322 Bell Dr Raleigh, NC 3.0 2.0 1569 $2,100 $1.34 25d 1 1.45mi
1805 Bennett St Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 25d 1 1.47mi
907 E Edenton St Raleigh, NC 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,195 $1.09 25d 1 1.48mi
2080 Brentmoor Dr Raleigh, NC 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,625 $1.54 23d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-06
    listed $240,000 Active
  3. 2025-08-29
    historical
  4. 2025-07-25
    status Pending
  5. 2025-07-21
    listed $350,000 Active
  6. 2025-06-06
    historical
  7. 2025-05-16
    price $319,000
  8. 2025-05-10
    listed $329,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,802 · $234/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,802 · $234/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,563
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$2,802
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,965
− Management
−$1,965
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$4,095
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$983
After-tax cash flow
$982/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wake County Schools
NCES district ID
3704720
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$67,509
Composite
49.41/100
National rank
#2010
State rank
#35 of 178 in NC

Livability — Raleigh

Score
83/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#1028

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Raleigh, NC
County
Wake County · 1,216,256 people
City population
569,344
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
81,419
Household income
$67,932
Rent vs Own
40.0% rent · 60.0% own
Severe rent burden
3499.0

Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,293,152 people
By 2030
1,428,223 · +10.4%
By 2040
1,698,188 · +31.3%
By 2050
1,955,807 · +51.2%
By 2075
2,520,273 · +94.9%
By 2100
2,893,335 · +123.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 20% White 15% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 18% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wake

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.88%
Current HPI
237.704
Rent YoY
▲ 0.20%
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $240,000 TMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2025-07-25 Pending TMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Listed $350,000 TMLS
  • 2025-06-06 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $319,000 TMLS
  • 2025-05-10 Listed $329,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,802 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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