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4026 Davis St
C+ Composite 62.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

4026 Davis St · Emporia, VA 23847
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,520 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 2007 0.35 ac lot $82/sqft · 44% below area Est $223k · 44% under ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious single-family home offering over 1,500 square feet of potential in the heart of Emporia, Virginia. Conveniently located just minutes from local restaurants, the hospital, schools, and all the amenities Emporia has to offer, this property combines location with opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home is ideal for buyers looking to add their personal touch. With a little tender love and care, it can be transformed into a charming first home or a profitable investment property. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer ready to build equity or an investor searching for your next project, this property presents a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Don't miss your chance to turn this diamond in the rough into something special! Home is sold as is seller will make no repairs.

Key facts

  • Heart of emporia
  • Minutes from schools
  • 0.35 acre lot

Tags

SPACIOUS SINGLE-FAMILY HOMEHEART OF EMPORIAMINUTES FROM LOCAL RESTAURANTSMINUTES FROM THE HOSPITALMINUTES FROM SCHOOLS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Off-street parking; Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Drywall interior walls; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Deck; Unpaved driveway; Level topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first level; Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on the first level; Bedroom 3 on the first level; Main level primary bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Partially carpeted
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Full bath with tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Dining area; Laminate counters; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the first level; Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.3% in Emporia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#370 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Emporia city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Emporia County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.02%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$222,896
List price
$125,000
Delta
-43.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
507 Gowin St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-11%) 21mo $65,000 $48 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-7,227
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$10,443
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23847

Home prices YoY
-22.8%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,217/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$205

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,024
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $125,000 Pending 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 53 DOM
    Show marketing remark (836 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious single-family home offering over 1,500 square feet of potential in the heart of Emporia, Virginia. Conveniently located just minutes from local restaurants, the hospital, schools, and all the amenities Emporia has to offer, this property combines location with opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home is ideal for buyers looking to add their personal touch. With a little tender love and care, it can be transformed into a charming first home or a profitable investment property. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer ready to build equity or an investor searching for your next project, this property presents a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Don't miss your chance to turn this diamond in the rough into something special! Home is sold as is seller will make no repairs.

  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 51 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $125,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $125,000 836-char remark
    Show marketing remark (836 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious single-family home offering over 1,500 square feet of potential in the heart of Emporia, Virginia. Conveniently located just minutes from local restaurants, the hospital, schools, and all the amenities Emporia has to offer, this property combines location with opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home is ideal for buyers looking to add their personal touch. With a little tender love and care, it can be transformed into a charming first home or a profitable investment property. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer ready to build equity or an investor searching for your next project, this property presents a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Don't miss your chance to turn this diamond in the rough into something special! Home is sold as is seller will make no repairs.

  17. 2026-05-11
    price $125,000 951-char remark
  18. 2026-04-25
    listed $165,000 Active 836-char remark
    Show marketing remark (836 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious single-family home offering over 1,500 square feet of potential in the heart of Emporia, Virginia. Conveniently located just minutes from local restaurants, the hospital, schools, and all the amenities Emporia has to offer, this property combines location with opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, this home is ideal for buyers looking to add their personal touch. With a little tender love and care, it can be transformed into a charming first home or a profitable investment property. Whether you're a first-time homebuyer ready to build equity or an investor searching for your next project, this property presents a great opportunity to bring your vision to life. Don't miss your chance to turn this diamond in the rough into something special! Home is sold as is seller will make no repairs.

  19. 2026-04-19
    listed $165,000 Active 951-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,217 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,217 · $101/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,400
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,217
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,232
− Management
−$1,232
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$455
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$109
After-tax cash flow
$2,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Emporia

Score
64/100
State rank
#370
US rank
#14846

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Emporia, VA
Population (ZIP)
13,346

Population outlook (Emporia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,078 people
By 2030
4,892 · -3.7%
By 2040
4,580 · -9.8%
By 2050
4,335 · -14.6%
By 2075
3,899 · -23.2%
By 2100
3,646 · -28.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Emporia

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.0) · D 65.2% · R 34.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 31.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.0 2020: D+36.0 2016: D+31.2 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+30.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.80%
Current HPI
165.052
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Pending RVLG
  • 2026-06-17 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $125,000 RVLG
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $125,000 CVRMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $165,000 RVLG
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $165,000 CVRMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,217 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…