1306 W Dallas Ave · Artesia, NM
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AWESOME REMODELED HOME! This 3-Bedroom 2 Bath 1713 Sq Ft 1 car garage home sits on 82" X 120" Lot is a MUST SEE. The Large living room Welcomes You, The Amazing Kitchen features NEW cabinets, granite countertops, sink, facet, stove & refrigerator. Family/ Dining room has a fireplace.
Key facts
- Two living areas
- Large open kitchen
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 covered/1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story / One level
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Block fence; Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Disposal; Free‑standing range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fan(s) and electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Wood-burning fireplace in family room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $295k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#75 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
- Artesia Public Schools (town): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #17 of 95 in NM (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Yeso Elementary (493 students, 40% FRL); Artesia Zia Intermediate (546 students, 50% FRL); Artesia High (math 44% / reading 74%, grade C+, #27 of 110 statewide, top 28%, 766 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+24 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Artesia Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 156 units permitted in Eddy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,215/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 159% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Eddy County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.39%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,318
- List price
- $295,000
- Delta
- 203.13%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,317
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $56,321
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88210
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,215 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,849/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$675
- Net cashflow
- $715
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1402 W Briscoe Ave Artesia, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2106 W Bullock Ave Artesia, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11$295,000 Active 535-char remark
-
2023-07-13soldstatus Closed 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
AWESOME REMODELED HOME! This 3-Bedroom 2 Bath 1713 Sq Ft 1 car garage home sits on 82" X 120" Lot is a MUST SEE. The Large living room Welcomes You, The Amazing Kitchen features NEW cabinets, granite countertops, sink, facet, stove & refrigerator. Family/ Dining room has a fireplace.
-
2023-06-27status Pending 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
AWESOME REMODELED HOME! This 3-Bedroom 2 Bath 1713 Sq Ft 1 car garage home sits on 82" X 120" Lot is a MUST SEE. The Large living room Welcomes You, The Amazing Kitchen features NEW cabinets, granite countertops, sink, facet, stove & refrigerator. Family/ Dining room has a fireplace.
-
2023-01-13$269,000 Active 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
AWESOME REMODELED HOME! This 3-Bedroom 2 Bath 1713 Sq Ft 1 car garage home sits on 82" X 120" Lot is a MUST SEE. The Large living room Welcomes You, The Amazing Kitchen features NEW cabinets, granite countertops, sink, facet, stove & refrigerator. Family/ Dining room has a fireplace.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,849 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,360 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- +$511/yr (+$43/mo · 27.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,574
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$1,849
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,086
- − Management
- −$3,086
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable income
- $3,972
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$953
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant investment is needed to improve its condition and increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — No photos of kitchen
- Major Bathroom fixtures — No photos of bathrooms
- Major Roof — No photos of roof
- Major Exterior siding — No photos of exterior
- Major Flooring — No photos of flooring
- Major Interior walls/paint — No photos of interior walls/paint
- Major Windows — No photos of windows
- Major Foundation/structure — No photos of foundation/structure
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of HVAC/mechanicals
- Major Landscaping — No photos of landscaping/curb appeal
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modern kitchen design enhances appeal
- Resale New flooring throughout — Fresh flooring improves home's appearance
- Resale New roof and siding — Structural repairs improve home's value
- Resale New windows and doors — Energy-efficient windows and doors reduce utility costs
- Resale Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances home's curb appeal
- Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Well-maintained landscaping improves home's curb appeal
- Rental HVAC system upgrade — Modern HVAC system improves tenant comfort and reduces maintenance costs
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · No photos of kitchen | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · No photos of bathrooms | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Roof · No photos of roof | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · No photos of exterior | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · No photos of flooring | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls/paint · No photos of interior walls/paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · No photos of windows | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Foundation/structure · No photos of foundation/structure | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of HVAC/mechanicals | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · No photos of landscaping/curb appeal | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 10 items | $150,000–500,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modern kitchen design enhances appeal ↑
- Resale New flooring throughout — Fresh flooring improves home's appearance ↑
- Resale New roof and siding — Structural repairs improve home's value ↑
- Resale New windows and doors — Energy-efficient windows and doors reduce utility costs ↑
- Resale Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances home's curb appeal ↑
- Resale Landscaping and curb appeal — Well-maintained landscaping improves home's curb appeal ↑
- Rental HVAC system upgrade — Modern HVAC system improves tenant comfort and reduces maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Artesia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500120
- Math proficiency
- 29% —
- Reading proficiency
- 42% —
- Median HH income
- $51,397
- Composite
- 33.48/100
- National rank
- #10522
- State rank
- #17 of 95 in NM
Livability — Artesia
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #15300
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Artesia, NM
- County
- Eddy County · 58,370 people
- City population
- 18,542
- Metro
- Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,542
- Household income
- $79,632
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 159.0
Population outlook (Eddy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,505 people
- By 2030
- 69,797 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 79,191 · +20.9%
- By 2050
- 89,199 · +36.2%
- By 2075
- 115,829 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 129,336 · +97.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 40% Two or more races 19% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 50%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Eddy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.9) · D 21.4% · R 77.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -55.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.9 2020: R+51.8 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -238.85%
- Current HPI
- 115.6107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+9.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — NMMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $295,000 NMMLS
- 2023-07-13 Sold (MLS) — NMMLS
- 2023-06-27 Pending — NMMLS
- 2023-01-13 Listed $269,000 NMMLS
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,849 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…