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1500 W Villa Ave N Spc 7
B+ Composite 76.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,500

1500 W Villa Ave N Spc 7 · Clovis, CA 93612
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · Manufactured public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1969 Est $65k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MAKE YOUR OFFER!!! Clovis 55+ Park Arabian Villa Nice smaller double wide with 2 bed, living room and dinning room. Home has central air/heat, inside washer and gas dryer hook-ups. If your looking for a affordable home in a mature adult only environment, then this is the home for you. Nice front deck as well as a large covered patio in the back.

Key facts

  • Carport
  • Covered patio
  • Walk in closets

Tags

WALK IN CLOSETSINSIDE LAUNDRYLARGE PORCHCOVERED PATIOTWO SHEDSCARPORT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport; Has carport
  • Utilities: Electric service on; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Mobile home; Park space rented
  • Construction: Metal siding; Wood subfloor foundation; Rolled/hot mop roof; International MH Calif make
  • Exterior features: One level; Covered patio/porch; Shed(s); Urban setting; Private pool (fenced, in-ground, community access); Community spa

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating and cooling; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Range/oven and refrigerator included; Tub/shower
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry area; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $952 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.5% vs local median 3.0% in Clovis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in CA, #3,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety D, cost of living F.
  • Clovis Unified (suburban): math 58% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #152 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sierra Vista Elementary (503 students, 87% FRL); Clark Intermediate (1,462 students, 61% FRL); Clovis High (2,905 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 32% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,426 units permitted in Fresno County in 2024 (296 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $411 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fresno County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,930 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.77%
Cap rate
25.48%
Cash-on-cash
68.54%
DSCR
4.05
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,800
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1500 W Villa Ave N Spc 7 0.00mi 2/1.0 800 (0%) 1mo $59,500 $74 99
1272 Villa Ave #28 0.10mi 2/1.0 784 (-2%) 1mo $85,000 $108 91
1500 Villa Ave #146 0.01mi 2/1.0 700 (-12%) 4mo $99,000 $141 76
1724 Minnewawa Ave #215 0.39mi 2/1.0 800 (0%) 9mo $72,500 $91 75
1001 Sylmar Ave #230 0.43mi 2/1.0 800 (0%) 9mo $95,000 $119 72
1724 Minnewawa Ave #227 0.40mi 2/2.0 800 (0%) 6mo $65,200 $82 72
1500 Villa Ave #143 0.00mi 2/2.0 720 (-10%) 12mo $54,000 $75 69
1724 Minnewawa #8 0.39mi 2/1.0 712 (-11%) 1mo $54,800 $77 63
1724 Minnewawa Ave #94 0.39mi 2/1.0 720 (-10%) 8mo $58,500 $81 58
1724 Minnewawa Ave #32 0.40mi 2/1.8 756 (-6%) 12mo $55,900 $74 58
1001 Sylmar #128 0.43mi 2/2.0 872 (+9%) 4mo $40,000 $46 58
1724 Minnewawa Ave #166 0.41mi 2/1.0 900 (+12%) 4mo $53,900 $60 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
67.6%
Equity multiple
4.02×
Total profit
$50,371
Equity at exit
$8,872
10-year hold
IRR
71.6%
Equity multiple
8.17×
Total profit
$119,490
Equity at exit
$5,144

Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93612

Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,647 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$312
Tax from tax record
$12 /mo · $150/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$952

Break-even live

Break-even rent $442
Max offer price $59,500
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $985 -5% $968 +0% $952 +5% $935 +10% $918
Rent -10% $821 -5% $886 +0% $952 +5% $1,017 +10% $1,082
Rate -1.0pp $981 -0.5pp $967 base $952 +0.5pp $936 +1.0pp $920

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,875
Closing costs
$1,785
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
322 W Barstow Ave Unit 101 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,150 $1.95 44d 1 0.15mi
1108 Villa Ave Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 651 $1,300 $2.00 24d 1 0.23mi
1108 Villa Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,500 $1.67 44d 1 0.23mi
69 W Beverly Ave Unit Advertising Unit Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,650 $1.94 44d 1 0.30mi
1099 Sylmar Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 965 $1,750 $1.81 24d 3 0.35mi
139 W Portals Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,600 $1.58 44d 1 0.35mi
50 W 9th St Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 24d 1 0.50mi
563 W Alamos Ave Unit D Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,195 $1.71 4d 1 0.55mi
361 W Santa Ana Ave Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 735 $1,150 $1.56 44d 1 0.55mi
189 W Santa Ana Ave Apt F Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 4d 1 0.57mi
1038 Tollhouse Rd Unit 1038 Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,800 $1.64 3d 1 0.58mi
707 Bush Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,575 $1.66 44d 1 0.59mi
2243 Helm Ave Unit 102 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,925 $1.75 22d 1 0.61mi
740 Villa Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 922 $1,950 $2.11 22d 1 0.61mi
33 W Santa Ana Ave Apt A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,450 $1.61 4d 1 0.64mi
139 Santa Ana Ave Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 620 $1,365 $2.20 11d 3 0.74mi
434 W Stuart Ave Unit 2 Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 860 $1,575 $1.83 4d 1 0.80mi
55 W Bullard Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,771 $2.21 2d 13 0.81mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 204A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,600 $1.77 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 215B Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,780 $1.79 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 208A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 220A Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 714 $1,350 $1.89 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 143A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,650 $1.83 22d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 206B Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 24d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 101A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,580 $1.75 24d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 145A Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 714 $1,500 $2.10 24d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 116B Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,795 $1.81 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Apt 223A Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,700 $1.71 44d 1 0.86mi
400 W Gettysburg Ave Unit 243A Clovis, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $1,500 $1.66 4d 1 0.86mi
5082 Primitivo Way Fresno, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 847 $1,945 $2.30 12d 2 0.93mi
2777 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 812 $1,769 $2.18 2d 8 0.93mi
835 W Pico Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 761 $1,595 $2.10 3d 3 0.96mi
3143 Matoian Way Fresno, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,960 $2.02 44d 1 1.00mi
2967 Terry Ave Clovis, CA 3.0 1.5 1099 $2,095 $1.91 24d 1 1.00mi
537 W Escalon Ave Apt 101 Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 1.03mi
2810 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 928 $1,623 $1.75 24d 1 1.03mi
2810 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 1.0 1.0 621 $1,389 $2.24 4d 1 1.03mi
2810 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 2.0 890 $1,572 $1.77 11d 1 1.03mi
2800 Willow Ave Clovis, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 774 $1,633 $2.11 2d 7 1.06mi
251 Minnewawa Ave Clovis, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $2,100 $1.91 15d 1 1.08mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    soldstatus $59,500 Sold
  2. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  3. 2026-04-16
    historical Pending Accepting Backups
  4. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  5. 2026-04-08
    status Active
  6. 2026-04-04
    status Pending
  7. 2026-03-25
    price $59,500
  8. 2026-01-26
    listed $65,000 Active
  9. 2010-01-29
    soldstatus $13,000 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    MAKE YOUR OFFER!!! Clovis 55+ Park Arabian Villa Nice smaller double wide with 2 bed, living room and dinning room. Home has central air/heat, inside washer and gas dryer hook-ups. If your looking for a affordable home in a mature adult only environment, then this is the home for you. Nice front deck as well as a large covered patio in the back.

  10. 2010-01-19
    price $17,800 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    MAKE YOUR OFFER!!! Clovis 55+ Park Arabian Villa Nice smaller double wide with 2 bed, living room and dinning room. Home has central air/heat, inside washer and gas dryer hook-ups. If your looking for a affordable home in a mature adult only environment, then this is the home for you. Nice front deck as well as a large covered patio in the back.

  11. 2010-01-19
    historical 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    MAKE YOUR OFFER!!! Clovis 55+ Park Arabian Villa Nice smaller double wide with 2 bed, living room and dinning room. Home has central air/heat, inside washer and gas dryer hook-ups. If your looking for a affordable home in a mature adult only environment, then this is the home for you. Nice front deck as well as a large covered patio in the back.

  12. 2009-08-07
    listed $13,000 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    MAKE YOUR OFFER!!! Clovis 55+ Park Arabian Villa Nice smaller double wide with 2 bed, living room and dinning room. Home has central air/heat, inside washer and gas dryer hook-ups. If your looking for a affordable home in a mature adult only environment, then this is the home for you. Nice front deck as well as a large covered patio in the back.

  13. 2002-02-08
    soldstatus $18,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Very nice double wide 2 bedroom, 1 bath, mobile in well located park. New roof and new tradewinds evaporative cooler. Awnings on both sides. Includes refrigerator and two metal storage sheds.

  14. 2002-01-18
    historical 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Very nice double wide 2 bedroom, 1 bath, mobile in well located park. New roof and new tradewinds evaporative cooler. Awnings on both sides. Includes refrigerator and two metal storage sheds.

  15. 2001-11-15
    listed $18,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    Very nice double wide 2 bedroom, 1 bath, mobile in well located park. New roof and new tradewinds evaporative cooler. Awnings on both sides. Includes refrigerator and two metal storage sheds.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$150 · $12/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$452 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$302/yr (+$25/mo · 201.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 58% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 57 unhealthy d/yr today · 60 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,760
− Mortgage interest
−$3,333
− Property taxes
−$150
− Insurance
−$298
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,581
− Management
−$1,581
− Depreciation
−$1,731
Taxable income
$11,087
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,661
After-tax cash flow
$8,758/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Unified
NCES district ID
0609030
Math proficiency
58% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$71,950
Composite
58.7/100
National rank
#2003
State rank
#152 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Clovis

Score
76/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#3307

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, CA
County
Fresno County · 834,801 people
City population
139,989
Metro
Fresno, CA
Population (ZIP)
37,755
Household income
$66,683
Rent vs Own
61.6% rent · 38.4% own
Severe rent burden
2487.0

Population outlook (Fresno County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,042,971 people
By 2030
1,072,198 · +2.8%
By 2040
1,122,408 · +7.6%
By 2050
1,157,251 · +11.0%
By 2075
1,182,575 · +13.4%
By 2100
1,105,899 · +6.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 12% Black 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fresno

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.5% · R 50.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.1pp · 2024: -4.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.4 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+3.9 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+2.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -352.97%
Current HPI
357.6089
Rent YoY
▲ 2.65%
Metro
Fresno, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $59,500 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Contingent FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Pending FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-04-04 Pending FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $59,500 FRESNOMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $65,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2010-01-29 Sold (MLS) $13,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2010-01-19 Delisted FRESNOMLS
  • 2010-01-19 Price Changed $17,800 FRESNOMLS
  • 2009-08-07 Listed $13,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2002-02-08 Sold (MLS) $18,000 FRESNOMLS
  • 2002-01-18 Delisted FRESNOMLS
  • 2001-11-15 Listed $18,000 FRESNOMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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