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766 Ocean Ct NW #211
C- Composite 50.67
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,000

766 Ocean Ct NW #211 · Ocean Shores, WA 98569
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 490 sqft · Condo public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1977 $200/sqft · 9% below area Est $108k · 9% under $280/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience tranquil oceanside living in this freshly updated 1-bedroom, 3/4-bath condominium located in a quiet neighborhood in the heart of Ocean Shores. Situated on the second floor of a well-maintained building with friendly neighbors and attentive management, this unit offers both comfort and convenience. Recently remodeled, the condo features brand-new LVP flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, and updated fixtures including new appliances, cabinetry, sinks, vanity, mini fridge, and electric range. The bathroom includes a walk-in shower installed just a few years ago. Enjoy easy access to everything Ocean Shores has to offer, just a short walk to the beach, local restaurants, enter

Key facts

  • Recently remodeled
  • New appliances
  • New lvp flooring

Tags

QUIET NEIGHBORHOODWELL MAINTAINED BUILDINGRECENTLY REMODELEDNEW LVP FLOORINGNEW APPLIANCESWALK IN SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($555/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.1% in Ocean Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#424 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety C-.
  • North Beach School District (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #236 of 291 in WA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 653 active listings in the ZIP; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $98k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Recommended offer $95,060 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
6.86%
Cash-on-cash
2.02%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$107,521
List price
$98,000
Delta
-8.85%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-12,798
Equity at exit
$14,612
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-6,793
Equity at exit
$8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98569

Home prices YoY
-3.4%
Active inventory
653
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $453/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$280
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,104
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $102 -5% $74 +0% $46 +5% $19 +10% $-9
Rent -10% $-46 -5% $0 +0% $46 +5% $92 +10% $138
Rate -1.0pp $96 -0.5pp $71 base $46 +0.5pp $21 +1.0pp $-5

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$280 · $3,360/yr
Likely covers
electric
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $98,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $98,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $98,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $98,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $98,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,000 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $98,000 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    listed $98,000 Active
  18. 2016-01-15
    historical
  19. 2016-01-14
    soldstatus $38,000 Sold
  20. 2015-12-30
    status Pending
  21. 2015-09-16
    listed $40,000 Active
  22. 2006-01-31
    soldstatus $52,000
  23. 2006-01-31
    soldstatus $52,000
  24. 2005-12-05
    listed $52,000
  25. 2001-10-01
    soldstatus $30,000
  26. 1997-06-17
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$453 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$508/yr (+$42/mo · 112.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,955
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$453
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,116
− Management
−$1,116
− HOA
−$3,360
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable loss
−$921
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$221
After-tax cash flow
$776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Beach School District
NCES district ID
5305700
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$40,966
Composite
34.46/100
National rank
#10153
State rank
#236 of 291 in WA

Livability — Ocean Shores

Score
62/100
State rank
#424
US rank
#16852

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Shores, WA
County
Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
City population
7,187
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
Population (ZIP)
7,489
Household income
$58,378
Rent vs Own
17.0% rent · 83.0% own
Severe rent burden
172.0

Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,443 people
By 2030
63,255 · -4.8%
By 2040
56,466 · -15.0%
By 2050
50,516 · -24.0%
By 2075
39,296 · -40.9%
By 2100
31,142 · -53.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.33%
Current HPI
380.05
Rent YoY
Metro
Aberdeen, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+226.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $98,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-15 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-12-30 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-16 Listed $40,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2006-01-31 Sold (MLS) $52,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-12-05 Listed $52,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1997-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2017): $453 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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