766 Ocean Ct NW #211 · Ocean Shores, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience tranquil oceanside living in this freshly updated 1-bedroom, 3/4-bath condominium located in a quiet neighborhood in the heart of Ocean Shores. Situated on the second floor of a well-maintained building with friendly neighbors and attentive management, this unit offers both comfort and convenience. Recently remodeled, the condo features brand-new LVP flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, and updated fixtures including new appliances, cabinetry, sinks, vanity, mini fridge, and electric range. The bathroom includes a walk-in shower installed just a few years ago. Enjoy easy access to everything Ocean Shores has to offer, just a short walk to the beach, local restaurants, enter
Key facts
- Recently remodeled
- New appliances
- New lvp flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($555/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $95k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.1% in Ocean Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#424 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, health & safety C-.
- North Beach School District (rural): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #236 of 291 in WA (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 653 active listings in the ZIP; 297 units permitted in Grays Harbor County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grays Harbor County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $98k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.02%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $107,521
- List price
- $98,000
- Delta
- -8.85%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-12,798
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-6,793
- Equity at exit
- $8,473
Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98569
- Home prices YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 653
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$514
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $453/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$280
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $46
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $102 | -5% $74 | +0% $46 | +5% $19 | +10% $-9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-46 | -5% $0 | +0% $46 | +5% $92 | +10% $138 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $96 | -0.5pp $71 | base $46 | +0.5pp $21 | +1.0pp $-5 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,500
- Closing costs
- $2,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $280 · $3,360/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-19days on market $98,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $98,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $98,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $98,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $98,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $98,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $98,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $98,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $98,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $98,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $98,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $98,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $98,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $98,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $98,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $98,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-04-20$98,000 Active
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2016-01-15historical
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2016-01-14soldstatus $38,000 Sold
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2015-12-30status Pending
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2015-09-16$40,000 Active
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2006-01-31soldstatus $52,000
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2006-01-31soldstatus $52,000
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2005-12-05$52,000
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2001-10-01soldstatus $30,000
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1997-06-17soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $453 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $960 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$508/yr (+$42/mo · 112.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,490
- − Property taxes
- −$453
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − HOA
- −$3,360
- − Depreciation
- −$2,851
- Taxable loss
- −$921
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$221
- After-tax cash flow
- $776/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Beach School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305700
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,966
- Composite
- 34.46/100
- National rank
- #10153
- State rank
- #236 of 291 in WA
Livability — Ocean Shores
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #424
- US rank
- #16852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean Shores, WA
- County
- Grays Harbor County · 44,693 people
- City population
- 7,187
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,489
- Household income
- $58,378
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 172.0
Population outlook (Grays Harbor County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,443 people
- By 2030
- 63,255 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 56,466 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 50,516 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,296 · -40.9%
- By 2100
- 31,142 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Native American 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Grays Harbor
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.0) · D 45.6% · R 51.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -6.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.0 2020: R+6.6 2016: R+7.1 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.33%
- Current HPI
- 380.05
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Aberdeen, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+226.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $98,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-15 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-12-30 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-16 Listed $40,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2006-01-31 Sold (MLS) $52,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-12-05 Listed $52,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2017): $453 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…