1190 Cheyenne Dr · Florissant, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming single-family ranch located in an established Florissant neighborhood, offering a solid opportunity for buyers seeking value and potential. This home features a traditional layout with comfortable living spaces, functional flow, and natural light throughout. The exterior includes low-maintenance siding and a classic suburban curb appeal on a quiet residential street with paved public road access. Inside, the property offers a spacious living area, dedicated dining space, and an efficient kitchen footprint ready for modernization or personalization. Bedrooms are well-proportioned with adequate closet space, and the full bath provides a practical layout consistent with homes of this
Key facts
- Spacious living area
- Single family ranch
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 754 (public records)
- Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (other provider/type)
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Residential property
- Construction: Composition roof; Built with other/unspecified materials; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; No exterior porches or patios listed; No fencing
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet, vinyl, and wood flooring; Central air
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (4.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Robinwood Elementary (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #962 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 312 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $160k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.13%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,463
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -3.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 Washington St | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 792 (+5%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $25 | 51 |
| 190 Lynn Meadows Ln | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 0mo | $119,900 | $139 | 50 |
| 16 Montclair Ct | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 864 (+15%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $116 | 49 |
| 1210 Saint Richard Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 791 (+5%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $145 | 48 |
| 1120 Saint Anthony Ln | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 864 (+15%) | 21mo | $209,900 | $243 | 46 |
| 105 Capri Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 7mo | $144,900 | $168 | 43 |
| 17 Montclair Ct | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 10mo | $159,900 | $185 | 40 |
| 850 Derhake Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $185 | 39 |
| 830 Derhake Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 20mo | $159,900 | $185 | 36 |
| 745 Northmoor Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 17mo | $159,900 | $185 | 34 |
| 40 Clearview Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+15%) | 23mo | $149,900 | $173 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $104,134
- Equity at exit
- $144,051
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.07×
- Total profit
- $316,527
- Equity at exit
- $310,651
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63033
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,527 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,764/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $154
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $245 | -5% $199 | +0% $154 | +5% $109 | +10% $64 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $33 | -5% $94 | +0% $154 | +5% $214 | +10% $275 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $235 | -0.5pp $195 | base $154 | +0.5pp $113 | +1.0pp $71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1095 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,461 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1050 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,525 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1670 Arundel Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,450 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 765 Bobbins Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,450 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 50 Lynn Meadows Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1502 Summer Run Dr #108 Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 922 | $1,200 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 297 Saint Eugene Ln Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 20 Saint Benedict Ln Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $1,525 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1600 Washington St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1095 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1725 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1107 | $1,700 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1465 W Duchesne Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1180 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,225 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 24 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 36 Connolly Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,149 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,345 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1004 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,375 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1045 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 783 | $1,250 | $1.60 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 221 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 107 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,175 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 220 Du Bourg Ln Florissant, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,150 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 241 Flora Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,075 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,290 | $1.52 | 9d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-01$159,900 Active 1256-char remark
-
2016-07-29soldstatus $55,500
-
2016-07-27soldstatus $45,000
-
2003-12-10soldstatus $112,400
-
1987-09-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,764 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,764 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,322
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,764
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,466
- − Management
- −$1,466
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$781
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$187
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,037/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ferguson-Florissant R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2912010
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,610
- Composite
- 11.96/100
- National rank
- #9666
- State rank
- #311 of 324 in MO
Livability — Florissant
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #5406
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florissant, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 69,104
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,056
- Household income
- $66,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1429.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.78%
- Current HPI
- 570.6
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+42.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
- 2016-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $112,400 Public Records
- 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2022): $1,764 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…