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1190 Cheyenne Dr
C Composite 59.69
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$159,900

1190 Cheyenne Dr · Florissant, MO 63033
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 754 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1961 10,201 sqft lot $212/sqft · at area comps Est $165k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming single-family ranch located in an established Florissant neighborhood, offering a solid opportunity for buyers seeking value and potential. This home features a traditional layout with comfortable living spaces, functional flow, and natural light throughout. The exterior includes low-maintenance siding and a classic suburban curb appeal on a quiet residential street with paved public road access. Inside, the property offers a spacious living area, dedicated dining space, and an efficient kitchen footprint ready for modernization or personalization. Bedrooms are well-proportioned with adequate closet space, and the full bath provides a practical layout consistent with homes of this

Key facts

  • Spacious living area
  • Single family ranch
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

SINGLE FAMILY RANCHLOW MAINTENANCE SIDINGQUIET RESIDENTIAL STREETPAVED PUBLIC ROAD ACCESSSPACIOUS LIVING AREADEDICATED DINING SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 754 (public records)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (other provider/type)
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Composition roof; Built with other/unspecified materials; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; No exterior porches or patios listed; No fencing

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet, vinyl, and wood flooring; Central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $154 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (4.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $153k (4.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Robinwood Elementary (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #962 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 312 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer High (math 0% / reading 17%, grade F, #511 of 521 statewide, top 98%, 1,181 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $160k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $152,687 (4.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.13%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,463
List price
$159,900
Delta
-3.36%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1950 Washington St 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 792 (+5%) 6mo $20,000 $25 51
190 Lynn Meadows Ln 0.46mi 3/1.0 864 (+15%) 0mo $119,900 $139 50
16 Montclair Ct 0.49mi 3/2.0 864 (+15%) 4mo $100,000 $116 49
1210 Saint Richard Dr 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 791 (+5%) 2mo $115,000 $145 48
1120 Saint Anthony Ln 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 864 (+15%) 21mo $209,900 $243 46
105 Capri Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 864 (+15%) 7mo $144,900 $168 43
17 Montclair Ct 0.50mi 3/1.0 864 (+15%) 10mo $159,900 $185 40
850 Derhake Rd 0.38mi 3/1.0 864 (+15%) 18mo $160,000 $185 39
830 Derhake Rd 0.41mi 3/1.0 864 (+15%) 20mo $159,900 $185 36
745 Northmoor Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 864 (+15%) 17mo $159,900 $185 34
40 Clearview Dr 0.58mi 3/1.0 864 (+15%) 23mo $149,900 $173 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$104,134
Equity at exit
$144,051
10-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
8.07×
Total profit
$316,527
Equity at exit
$310,651

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63033

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,527 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,764/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$154

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,332
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $245 -5% $199 +0% $154 +5% $109 +10% $64
Rent -10% $33 -5% $94 +0% $154 +5% $214 +10% $275
Rate -1.0pp $235 -0.5pp $195 base $154 +0.5pp $113 +1.0pp $71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1095 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,461 $1.48 25d 1 0.32mi
1050 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,525 $1.55 45d 1 0.33mi
1670 Arundel Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,450 $1.43 25d 1 0.42mi
765 Bobbins Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,450 $1.31 45d 1 0.45mi
50 Lynn Meadows Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 25d 1 0.55mi
1502 Summer Run Dr #108 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.5 922 $1,200 $1.30 25d 1 0.66mi
297 Saint Eugene Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.68mi
20 Saint Benedict Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,525 $1.40 21d 1 0.80mi
1600 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1095 $1,250 $1.14 21d 1 0.85mi
1725 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,700 $1.54 0d 1 0.87mi
1465 W Duchesne Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 896 $1,500 $1.67 45d 1 0.91mi
1180 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 925 $1,225 $1.32 25d 1 1.02mi
24 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 45d 1 1.12mi
36 Connolly Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,149 $1.12 25d 1 1.17mi
11 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,345 $1.20 25d 1 1.20mi
1004 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 719 $1,375 $1.91 25d 1 1.22mi
1045 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 783 $1,250 $1.60 16d 1 1.25mi
221 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 958 $1,295 $1.35 21d 1 1.29mi
107 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,400 $1.36 25d 1 1.31mi
46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 932 $1,175 $1.26 45d 1 1.36mi
220 Du Bourg Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,150 $1.41 45d 1 1.40mi
241 Flora Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 703 $1,075 $1.53 25d 1 1.45mi
153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 21d 1 1.48mi
171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,395 $1.38 13d 1 1.48mi
24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,290 $1.52 9d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    listed $159,900 Active 1256-char remark
  2. 2016-07-29
    soldstatus $55,500
  3. 2016-07-27
    soldstatus $45,000
  4. 2003-12-10
    soldstatus $112,400
  5. 1987-09-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,764 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,764 · $147/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,322
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,764
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,466
− Management
−$1,466
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$781
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$187
After-tax cash flow
$2,037/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florissant, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
69,104
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
43,056
Household income
$66,776
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1429.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.78%
Current HPI
570.6
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+42.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $159,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
  • 2016-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2003-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $112,400 Public Records
  • 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,764 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…