🏷️ Likely Rental
424 Barksdale St · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A beautiful classically cared for 2/1 carriage house, a perfect example of history preserved. Downstairs is storage, laundry (solely dedicated to the unit - W/ D included in the sale), and a place you could open up to be a one car garage (again, solely dedicated to this one unit). Up the stair to the living area, all hardwood, with a nicely updated bathroom, and two little living areas, and a cute kitchen. Currently this unit is rented for $1075 per month. Tenant occupied. TAXES: 2026 property taxes are estimated to be $589. PACKAGE SALE: This residential real estate package in downtown Jackson, Mississippi is being offered at $515,000.00. The package includes these MLS #s: 4139973, 41399
Key facts
- 1,742 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1937
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 40 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.80%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,400
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 193 E Bell St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,207 (+5%) | 12mo | $120,500 | $100 | 58 |
| 1017 Riverview Dr | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 1,208 (+5%) | 21mo | $56,000 | $46 | 50 |
| 2003 N Lamar St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,079 (-6%) | 9mo | $99,900 | $93 | 48 |
| 944 Poplar Blvd | 0.68mi | 2/0.5 | 1,028 (-11%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $209 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $5,615
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $39,746
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39202
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,065 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $313 | -5% $283 | +0% $254 | +5% $224 | +10% $195 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $170 | -5% $212 | +0% $254 | +5% $296 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $297 | -0.5pp $275 | base $254 | +0.5pp $232 | +1.0pp $209 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 N Congress St Unit D Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 814 N Congress St Unit 6 Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,175 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 814 N Congress St Unit 7 Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,175 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 731 N Jefferson St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $944 | $1.12 | 14d | 3 | 0.30mi |
| 950 North St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 910 Morningside St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 850 N Jefferson St Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,099 | $1.25 | 14d | 4 | 0.38mi |
| 948 Bellevue Pl Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $855 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 949 Morningside St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $965 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 810 Madison St Apt C Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $953 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 836 Riverview Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1043 Carlisle St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $905 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1202 E Fortification St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,150 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1313 Hazel St Unit 2 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 308 E Pearl St Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1396 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1505 N West St Unit 110 Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1505 N West St Unit 101 Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 102 N Mill St Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $1,310 | $1.91 | 14d | 5 | 0.83mi |
| 1140 Greymont Ave Apt A14 Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $955 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1140 Greymont Ave Unit C13 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1140 Greymont Ave Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,250 | $1.50 | 14d | 6 | 0.84mi |
| 1225 Bailey Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $750 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 209 Poindexter St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1075 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1710 Lyncrest Ave Jackson, MS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1204 First Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-02-25status Pending
-
2026-02-20$85,000 Active
-
2025-12-03historical $1,075
-
2025-11-27$1,075
-
2025-04-08historical $1,075
-
2025-04-01price $1,075
-
2025-03-14$1,250
-
2025-01-29status Pending
-
2025-01-29historical
-
2024-12-03status Active
-
2024-12-01historical
-
2024-07-10price $62,500
-
2024-07-10status Active
-
2024-07-01historical
-
2024-06-25price $66,000
-
2024-05-29price $70,000
-
2024-04-03$78,000 Active
-
2004-06-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,778
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,799
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$432
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,614/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,832
- Household income
- $38,554
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 628.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 41% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.29%
- Current HPI
- 145.4466
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.91%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+9.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-02-20 Listed $85,000 MLSU
- 2025-12-03 Rental Removed $1,075 MLSU
- 2025-11-27 Listed for Rent $1,075 MLSU
- 2025-04-08 Rental Removed $1,075 MLSU
- 2025-04-01 Price Changed $1,075 MLSU
- 2025-03-14 Listed for Rent $1,250 MLSU
- 2025-01-29 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-01-29 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-12-03 Relisted — MLSU
- 2024-12-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-07-10 Price Changed $62,500 MLSU
- 2024-07-10 Relisted — MLSU
- 2024-07-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-06-25 Price Changed $66,000 MLSU
- 2024-05-29 Price Changed $70,000 MLSU
- 2024-04-03 Listed $78,000 MLSU
- 2004-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…