207 Redding Rd · Redding, CT
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very special 1920's 3/4 Bedroom Vintage Colonial. CHARM CHARM CHARM w/original fir floors throughout, heavy moldings, built-ins, french doors. Large Living Room w/fireplace, lovely SunRoom/Family Room with walls of 6 over 6 windows. Formal Dining Room w/raised panel wainscoting. Updated Kitchen w/white cabinets and marble countertops opens to expanded back terrace. Great light everywhere. Beautiful Master Bedroom w/stone fireplace. Versatile finished space on third floor. Private, level fenced-in yard in back with slate patio and barn with room for additional cars. SW Redding location - easy commute to RT 7, trains, shops. One hour NYC. LOW TAXES!
Key facts
- 0.48 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1921
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached and detached garage space (2 garages)
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Electric service
- Home design: Single-family home
- Construction: Frame construction; Wood siding; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating (oil-fired; oil tank in basement); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 10 total rooms; Two fireplaces; Full unfinished basement; Finished walk-up attic
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($95k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.20M).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Regional School District 09 (rural): math 75% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #7 of 192 in CT (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask is 127% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $536k; list at $1.20M implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.57%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $884,092
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Parsons Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,909 (-7%) | 11mo | $798,000 | $274 | 62 |
| 45 Wayside Ln | 0.47mi | 4/2.5 | 2,958 (-5%) | 8mo | $767,000 | $259 | 61 |
| 28 Wayside Ln | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 | 3,020 (-3%) | 12mo | $1,150,000 | $381 | 52 |
| 76 Farview Farm Rd | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 3,270 (+5%) | 8mo | $900,000 | $275 | 51 |
| 18 Goodsell Hill Rd | 0.33mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,669 (-15%) | 15mo | $1,094,000 | $410 | 38 |
| 7 Farview Farm Rd | 0.61mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,522 (+13%) | 22mo | $995,000 | $283 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $311,457
- Equity at exit
- $178,924
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $922,744
- Equity at exit
- $103,754
Cash invested: $336,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06896
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $20,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,293
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,009 /mo · $12,106/yr
- Insurance
- −$500
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,200
- Net cashflow
- $7,943
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $8,622 | -5% $8,282 | +0% $7,943 | +5% $7,603 | +10% $7,263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $6,363 | -5% $7,153 | +0% $7,943 | +5% $8,733 | +10% $9,523 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $8,547 | -0.5pp $8,248 | base $7,943 | +0.5pp $7,632 | +1.0pp $7,315 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $300,000
- Closing costs
- $36,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 142 Seventy Acre Rd Redding, CT | 4.0 | 4.5 | 3350 | $20,000 | $5.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $1,200,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,200,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,200,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,200,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,200,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,200,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10status $1,200,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$1,200,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $12,106 · $1,009/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,893 · $1,574/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,787/yr (+$566/mo · 56.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $240,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,219
- − Property taxes
- −$12,106
- − Insurance
- −$6,666
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$19,200
- − Management
- −$19,200
- − Depreciation
- −$34,909
- Taxable income
- $80,700
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$19,368
- After-tax cash flow
- $75,944/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Regional School District 09
- NCES district ID
- 0903780
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 90% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $120,713
- Composite
- 77.14/100
- National rank
- #169
- State rank
- #7 of 192 in CT
Livability — Redding
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,719
Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 685,031
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -236.94%
- Current HPI
- 163.4307
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+394.8% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $1,200,000 Smart MLS
- 2017-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $535,600 Public Records
- 2017-06-26 Sold (MLS) $535,600 Smart MLS
- 2017-05-24 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2016-10-03 Listed $529,000 Smart MLS
- 2004-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $599,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-28 Sold (MLS) $599,000 Smart MLS
- 2004-08-24 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2004-08-24 Listed $625,000 Smart MLS
- 2004-04-26 Listed $669,000 Smart MLS
- 2000-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $389,900 Public Records
- 2000-05-31 Sold (MLS) $389,900 Smart MLS
- 2000-04-13 Listed $389,900 Smart MLS
- 1997-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $289,000 Public Records
- 1997-08-29 Sold (MLS) $289,000 Smart MLS
- 1996-05-16 Listed $289,000 Smart MLS
- 1992-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $242,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2023): $12,106 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…