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207 Redding Rd
B- Composite 65.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,200,000

207 Redding Rd · Redding, CT 06896
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,124 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1921 0.48 ac lot Est $884k · 36% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very special 1920's 3/4 Bedroom Vintage Colonial. CHARM CHARM CHARM w/original fir floors throughout, heavy moldings, built-ins, french doors. Large Living Room w/fireplace, lovely SunRoom/Family Room with walls of 6 over 6 windows. Formal Dining Room w/raised panel wainscoting. Updated Kitchen w/white cabinets and marble countertops opens to expanded back terrace. Great light everywhere. Beautiful Master Bedroom w/stone fireplace. Versatile finished space on third floor. Private, level fenced-in yard in back with slate patio and barn with room for additional cars. SW Redding location - easy commute to RT 7, trains, shops. One hour NYC. LOW TAXES!

Key facts

  • 0.48 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1921

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached and detached garage space (2 garages)
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Wood siding; Block foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heating (oil-fired; oil tank in basement); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 10 total rooms; Two fireplaces; Full unfinished basement; Finished walk-up attic
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($95k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.20M).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Regional School District 09 (rural): math 75% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #7 of 192 in CT (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask is 127% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $536k; list at $1.20M implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,200,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
14.29%
Cash-on-cash
28.57%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$884,092
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Parsons Ln 0.21mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,909 (-7%) 11mo $798,000 $274 62
45 Wayside Ln 0.47mi 4/2.5 2,958 (-5%) 8mo $767,000 $259 61
28 Wayside Ln 0.63mi 4/3.0 3,020 (-3%) 12mo $1,150,000 $381 52
76 Farview Farm Rd 0.70mi 4/2.5 3,270 (+5%) 8mo $900,000 $275 51
18 Goodsell Hill Rd 0.33mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,669 (-15%) 15mo $1,094,000 $410 38
7 Farview Farm Rd 0.61mi 5/3.0 (+1) 3,522 (+13%) 22mo $995,000 $283 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
1.93×
Total profit
$311,457
Equity at exit
$178,924
10-year hold
IRR
30.6%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$922,744
Equity at exit
$103,754

Cash invested: $336,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06896

Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$20,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,293
Tax from tax record
$1,009 /mo · $12,106/yr
Insurance
$500
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,200
Net cashflow
$7,943

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,946
Max offer price $1,200,000
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $8,622 -5% $8,282 +0% $7,943 +5% $7,603 +10% $7,263
Rent -10% $6,363 -5% $7,153 +0% $7,943 +5% $8,733 +10% $9,523
Rate -1.0pp $8,547 -0.5pp $8,248 base $7,943 +0.5pp $7,632 +1.0pp $7,315

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$300,000
Closing costs
$36,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
142 Seventy Acre Rd Redding, CT 4.0 4.5 3350 $20,000 $5.97 4d 1 0.83mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,200,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    status $1,200,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $1,200,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$12,106 · $1,009/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$18,893 · $1,574/mo
Expected delta
+$6,787/yr (+$566/mo · 56.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$240,000
− Mortgage interest
−$67,219
− Property taxes
−$12,106
− Insurance
−$6,666
− Repairs & maintenance
−$19,200
− Management
−$19,200
− Depreciation
−$34,909
Taxable income
$80,700
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$19,368
After-tax cash flow
$75,944/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Regional School District 09
NCES district ID
0903780
Math proficiency
75% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
90% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$120,713
Composite
77.14/100
National rank
#169
State rank
#7 of 192 in CT

Livability — Redding

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,719

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -236.94%
Current HPI
163.4307
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+394.8% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Coming Soon $1,200,000 Smart MLS
  • 2017-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $535,600 Public Records
  • 2017-06-26 Sold (MLS) $535,600 Smart MLS
  • 2017-05-24 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2016-10-03 Listed $529,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $599,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-28 Sold (MLS) $599,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-08-24 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2004-08-24 Listed $625,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-04-26 Listed $669,000 Smart MLS
  • 2000-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $389,900 Public Records
  • 2000-05-31 Sold (MLS) $389,900 Smart MLS
  • 2000-04-13 Listed $389,900 Smart MLS
  • 1997-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $289,000 Public Records
  • 1997-08-29 Sold (MLS) $289,000 Smart MLS
  • 1996-05-16 Listed $289,000 Smart MLS
  • 1992-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $242,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $12,106 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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