203315 E County Road 53 · Sharon, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If you are looking for country living and seclusion this is the home for you. Located in SW Woodward County this 3 bedroom 2 bath home on 4.5 acres is awaiting a new owner. The home has a nice kitchen/dining area and a inviting living room with a woodstove. The west side of the home has a nice covered porch and the east side has patio area. The home also has a metal roof to withstand those occasional hail storms. In addition there is a storage shed, well house, and a large concrete slab. The owner recently replaced the flooring in several rooms giving it a fresh new feel and appearance. The home and acreage are located off County Road 53, however you can travel paved roads all the way to Wo
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Well house
- Metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 4.5 acres; Zoned Agricultural
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story; Faces west
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storm door(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pantry; Living room wood-burning fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $125k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#399 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Sharon-Mutual (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #144 of 513 in OK (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Woodward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- Woodward County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $129k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.10%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $45,940
- Equity at exit
- $75,921
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.48×
- Total profit
- $125,842
- Equity at exit
- $133,420
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73857
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $498/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $287 | -5% $250 | +0% $214 | +5% $177 | +10% $141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $115 | -5% $164 | +0% $214 | +5% $263 | +10% $312 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $279 | -0.5pp $247 | base $214 | +0.5pp $180 | +1.0pp $146 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$129,000 Active
-
2025-10-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-07-25price $119,000
-
2025-04-30$129,000 Active
-
2024-06-28soldstatus $50,000
-
2023-10-23soldstatus $76,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $498 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,161 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$663/yr (+$55/mo · 133.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,969
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$498
- − Insurance
- −$645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,198
- − Management
- −$1,198
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $453
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sharon-Mutual
- NCES district ID
- 4021030
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,439
- Composite
- 33.88/100
- National rank
- #10359
- State rank
- #144 of 513 in OK
Livability — Sharon
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #399
- US rank
- #20343
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,031
Population outlook (Woodward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,787 people
- By 2030
- 26,517 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 30,299 · +22.2%
- By 2050
- 34,449 · +39.0%
- By 2075
- 46,083 · +85.9%
- By 2100
- 54,639 · +120.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodward
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.2% · R 85.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.8pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -72.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.0 2020: R+72.0 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+68.0 2008: R+65.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.36%
- Current HPI
- 250.9422
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+68.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $129,000 NWOAR
- 2025-10-24 Contingent — NWOAR
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $119,000 NWOAR
- 2025-04-30 Listed $129,000 NWOAR
- 2024-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2023-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $498 · +75.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…