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203315 E County Road 53
C+ Composite 60.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$129,000

203315 E County Road 53 · Sharon, OK 73857
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1995 4.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you are looking for country living and seclusion this is the home for you. Located in SW Woodward County this 3 bedroom 2 bath home on 4.5 acres is awaiting a new owner. The home has a nice kitchen/dining area and a inviting living room with a woodstove. The west side of the home has a nice covered porch and the east side has patio area. The home also has a metal roof to withstand those occasional hail storms. In addition there is a storage shed, well house, and a large concrete slab. The owner recently replaced the flooring in several rooms giving it a fresh new feel and appearance. The home and acreage are located off County Road 53, however you can travel paved roads all the way to Wo

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Well house
  • Metal roof

Tags

COVERED PORCHPATIO AREAMETAL ROOFSTORAGE SHEDWELL HOUSELARGE CONCRETE SLAB

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 4.5 acres; Zoned Agricultural

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story; Faces west
  • Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storm door(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas heating; Propane heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Pantry; Living room wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (3.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#399 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
  • Sharon-Mutual (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #144 of 513 in OK (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Woodward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
  • Woodward County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $129k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $124,745 (3.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.28%
Cash-on-cash
7.10%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$45,940
Equity at exit
$75,921
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
4.48×
Total profit
$125,842
Equity at exit
$133,420

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73857

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $498/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $977
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $287 -5% $250 +0% $214 +5% $177 +10% $141
Rent -10% $115 -5% $164 +0% $214 +5% $263 +10% $312
Rate -1.0pp $279 -0.5pp $247 base $214 +0.5pp $180 +1.0pp $146

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $129,000 Active
  17. 2025-10-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2025-07-25
    price $119,000
  19. 2025-04-30
    listed $129,000 Active
  20. 2024-06-28
    soldstatus $50,000
  21. 2023-10-23
    soldstatus $76,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$498 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,161 · $97/mo
Expected delta
+$663/yr (+$55/mo · 133.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,969
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$498
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,198
− Management
−$1,198
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$453
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$109
After-tax cash flow
$2,456/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sharon-Mutual
NCES district ID
4021030
Math proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$59,439
Composite
33.88/100
National rank
#10359
State rank
#144 of 513 in OK

Livability — Sharon

Score
59/100
State rank
#399
US rank
#20343

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing C- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,031

Population outlook (Woodward County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,787 people
By 2030
26,517 · +7.0%
By 2040
30,299 · +22.2%
By 2050
34,449 · +39.0%
By 2075
46,083 · +85.9%
By 2100
54,639 · +120.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Woodward

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.2% · R 85.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.8pp toward R · 2008: -65.2pp · 2024: -72.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.0 2020: R+72.0 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+68.0 2008: R+65.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.36%
Current HPI
250.9422
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $129,000 NWOAR
  • 2025-10-24 Contingent NWOAR
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $119,000 NWOAR
  • 2025-04-30 Listed $129,000 NWOAR
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2023-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $498 · +75.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…