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625 N 9th St
D+ Composite 45.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

625 N 9th St · Murphysboro, IL 62966
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1943 10,800 sqft lot Est $58k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute cottage with lots of space. Great garage and utility room Perfect starter home or rental. washer, dryer,stove, refrigerator, microwave are included

Key facts

  • Updated appliances
  • New kitchen
  • New bathroom

Tags

NEW KITCHENNEW BATHROOMNEW FLOORINGNEW WATER HEATERNEW GARAGE DOORUPDATED APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (garage approx. 24 x 24, alley access available)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Built in 1943; Single-story elements plus upper, lower and additional levels noted
  • Construction: Not new construction; Building area listed as 900
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot with gravel and paved road access; Alley access to rear garage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (one on the main level, one on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms; Other flooring in laundry room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air
  • Interior features: Cable available; High-speed internet
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room (main level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.2% in Murphysboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,265 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Murphysboro CUSD 186 (town): math 9% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #585 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Murphysboro Middle School (math 4% / reading 6%, grade F, #636 of 665 statewide, top 98%, 444 students, 0% FRL); Murphysboro High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 598 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,950 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.56%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$57,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
923 N 9th St 0.25mi 2/1.0 (+1) 896 (-0%) 4mo $4,000 $4 79
1315 Gartside St 0.14mi 2/1.5 (+1) 960 (+7%) 11mo $72,600 $76 66
1315 Gartside St 0.14mi 2/1.5 (+1) 960 (+7%) 11mo $72,600 $76 66
1520 Gartside St 0.31mi 2/1.0 (+1) 980 (+9%) 1mo $100,000 $102 65
1116 N 11th St S 0.38mi 2/1.0 (+1) 952 (+6%) 14mo $17,000 $18 56
1116 N 11th St S 0.38mi 2/1.0 (+1) 952 (+6%) 14mo $17,000 $18 56
1905 Hamilton St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (+1) 885 (-2%) 15mo $56,900 $64 55
220 S 14th St 0.62mi 2/2.0 (+1) 850 (-6%) 2mo $30,000 $35 51
924 N 20th St 0.61mi 1/1.0 840 (-7%) 13mo $64,500 $77 50
924 N 20th St 0.61mi 1/1.0 840 (-7%) 13mo $64,500 $77 50
2010 Elm St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+13%) 9mo $45,000 $44 31
2010 Elm St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+13%) 9mo $45,000 $44 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-3,440
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$7,292
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62966

Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$825 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,584/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$123

Break-even live

Break-even rent $669
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $163 -5% $143 +0% $123 +5% $104 +10% $84
Rent -10% $58 -5% $91 +0% $123 +5% $156 +10% $189
Rate -1.0pp $159 -0.5pp $141 base $123 +0.5pp $105 +1.0pp $87

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
502 Lucier St Murphysboro, IL 2.0 1.0 988 $825 $0.84 44d 1 0.37mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $70,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $70,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $70,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 669-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $70,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,584 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,587 · $132/mo
Expected delta
+$2/yr ($0/mo · 0.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,900
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,584
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$792
− Management
−$792
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$424
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$102
After-tax cash flow
$1,380/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Murphysboro CUSD 186
NCES district ID
1727610
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$36,963
Composite
7.97/100
National rank
#9925
State rank
#585 of 620 in IL

Livability — Murphysboro

Score
54/100
State rank
#1265
US rank
#23786

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Murphysboro, IL
City population
13,995
Population (ZIP)
13,995

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.39%
Current HPI
95.9393
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-04-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-04-30 Sold (MLS) $30,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-04 Listed $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-04 Listed $32,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+14.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,584 · +88.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…