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160 3 Big River Blvd E
C+ Composite 62.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

160 3 Big River Blvd E · Maple Falls, WA 98244
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 574 sqft · Manufactured · 14 Days on market
Built 1990 Good condition 6,098 sqft lot $190/sqft · 50% above area Est $73k · 50% over $180/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious oversized lot in Division 3 offers a rare combination of privacy, open space, and flexibility within The Glen at Maple Falls. This updated park model features a versatile floor plan with a primary bedroom, bunk room, and an addition that provides additional sleeping and recreation space. Inside, the living room showcases vaulted tongue-and-groove ceilings, an electric fireplace, and generous seating space, creating an inviting atmosphere for relaxing or gathering. The kitchen is equipped with full-size stainless steel appliances, bar-height dining, and ample storage for extended stays. A full bathroom completes the interior. Outside, enjoy an oversized lot with plenty of room for o

Key facts

  • Updated park model
  • Ample parking
  • Fire pit area

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTUPDATED PARK MODELELECTRIC FIREPLACEFIRE PIT AREAAMPLE PARKINGGATED ENTRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot number 160
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or conventional
  • HOA & community: Located in The Glen at Maple Falls community; HOA fee $540 quarterly; HOA covers cable TV, internet, common area maintenance, road maintenance, snow removal, trash, and water; Community amenities: athletic court, club house, park, playground, trails, CCRs

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; 3 uncovered parking spaces
  • Security: Gated community with security gate
  • Utilities: Community water; Septic tank sewer; Electric and propane energy sources; PSE power; Xfinity cable and internet
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Mallard model 33X11; Has view
  • Construction: Metal roof; Built in 1990 (effective year); Metal/vinyl construction
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Paved lot; Wooded vegetation; Community waterfront / private beach access; Level topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Engineered hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Electric fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#544 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mount Baker School District (rural): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #165 of 291 in WA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1,190 units permitted in Whatcom County in 2024 (327 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Whatcom County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $109,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
10.57%
Cash-on-cash
15.26%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,906
List price
$109,000
Delta
53.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
168 1 Fireside Lodge Cir 0.41mi 1/1.0 566 (-1%) 10mo $115,000 $203 70
15 7 Big Tree Dr 0.31mi 1/1.0 577 (+0%) 20mo $139,000 $241 68
234 Schinn Canyon Dr 0.10mi 1/1.0 540 (-6%) 21mo $100,000 $185 68
133 3 Schinn Canyon Cir 0.32mi 1/1.0 520 (-9%) 21mo $32,000 $62 52
130 3 Schinn Canyon Cir 0.25mi 2/1.0 (+1) 500 (-13%) 22mo $67,000 $134 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$7,198
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$38,656
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98244

Home prices YoY
-15.7%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,673 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax est. 1.5%
$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$180
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $464 -5% $426 +0% $388 +5% $351 +10% $313
Rent -10% $256 -5% $322 +0% $388 +5% $454 +10% $520
Rate -1.0pp $443 -0.5pp $416 base $388 +0.5pp $360 +1.0pp $331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$180 · $2,160/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $109,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,073
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$1,635
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,606
− Management
−$1,606
− HOA
−$2,160
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$3,245
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$779
After-tax cash flow
$3,880/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This updated park model is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good foundation, structure, and systems, and is move-in ready with a few cosmetic updates that could further increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a small outdoor fire pit — Could increase both resale and rental value by providing a unique feature for outdoor relaxation.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers or renters.
  • Both Add a small outdoor fire pit — Could increase both resale and rental value by providing a unique feature for outdoor relaxation.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Baker School District
NCES district ID
5305310
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$53,695
Composite
42.37/100
National rank
#6931
State rank
#165 of 291 in WA

Livability — Maple Falls

Score
56/100
State rank
#544
US rank
#22984

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment F Housing F Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Maple Falls, WA
Population (ZIP)
3,080

Population outlook (Whatcom County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
240,408 people
By 2030
254,667 · +5.9%
By 2040
281,365 · +17.0%
By 2050
307,592 · +27.9%
By 2075
375,576 · +56.2%
By 2100
421,637 · +75.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Native American 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Whatcom

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.9) · D 60.8% · R 35.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 24.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.9 2020: D+23.9 2016: D+17.7 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.13%
Current HPI
420.4673
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $109,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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