160 3 Big River Blvd E · Maple Falls, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious oversized lot in Division 3 offers a rare combination of privacy, open space, and flexibility within The Glen at Maple Falls. This updated park model features a versatile floor plan with a primary bedroom, bunk room, and an addition that provides additional sleeping and recreation space. Inside, the living room showcases vaulted tongue-and-groove ceilings, an electric fireplace, and generous seating space, creating an inviting atmosphere for relaxing or gathering. The kitchen is equipped with full-size stainless steel appliances, bar-height dining, and ample storage for extended stays. A full bathroom completes the interior. Outside, enjoy an oversized lot with plenty of room for o
Key facts
- Updated park model
- Ample parking
- Fire pit area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot number 160
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or conventional
- HOA & community: Located in The Glen at Maple Falls community; HOA fee $540 quarterly; HOA covers cable TV, internet, common area maintenance, road maintenance, snow removal, trash, and water; Community amenities: athletic court, club house, park, playground, trails, CCRs
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; 3 uncovered parking spaces
- Security: Gated community with security gate
- Utilities: Community water; Septic tank sewer; Electric and propane energy sources; PSE power; Xfinity cable and internet
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Mallard model 33X11; Has view
- Construction: Metal roof; Built in 1990 (effective year); Metal/vinyl construction
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Paved lot; Wooded vegetation; Community waterfront / private beach access; Level topography
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Engineered hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#544 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Mount Baker School District (rural): math 40% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #165 of 291 in WA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1,190 units permitted in Whatcom County in 2024 (327 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Whatcom County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.26%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,906
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- 53.62%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168 1 Fireside Lodge Cir | 0.41mi | 1/1.0 | 566 (-1%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $203 | 70 |
| 15 7 Big Tree Dr | 0.31mi | 1/1.0 | 577 (+0%) | 20mo | $139,000 | $241 | 68 |
| 234 Schinn Canyon Dr | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 | 540 (-6%) | 21mo | $100,000 | $185 | 68 |
| 133 3 Schinn Canyon Cir | 0.32mi | 1/1.0 | 520 (-9%) | 21mo | $32,000 | $62 | 52 |
| 130 3 Schinn Canyon Cir | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 500 (-13%) | 22mo | $67,000 | $134 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $7,198
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $38,656
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98244
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,673 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$180
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $388
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $464 | -5% $426 | +0% $388 | +5% $351 | +10% $313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $256 | -5% $322 | +0% $388 | +5% $454 | +10% $520 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $416 | base $388 | +0.5pp $360 | +1.0pp $331 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $180 · $2,160/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricestatusdays on market $109,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,073
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,606
- − Management
- −$1,606
- − HOA
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $3,245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$779
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This updated park model is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It has a good foundation, structure, and systems, and is move-in ready with a few cosmetic updates that could further increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers or renters.
- Both Add a small outdoor fire pit — Could increase both resale and rental value by providing a unique feature for outdoor relaxation.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Add a small outdoor fire pit — Could increase both resale and rental value by providing a unique feature for outdoor relaxation. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Baker School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305310
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,695
- Composite
- 42.37/100
- National rank
- #6931
- State rank
- #165 of 291 in WA
Livability — Maple Falls
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #544
- US rank
- #22984
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maple Falls, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,080
Population outlook (Whatcom County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 240,408 people
- By 2030
- 254,667 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 281,365 · +17.0%
- By 2050
- 307,592 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 375,576 · +56.2%
- By 2100
- 421,637 · +75.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Native American 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Lithuanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Whatcom
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.9) · D 60.8% · R 35.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.9 2020: D+23.9 2016: D+17.7 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.13%
- Current HPI
- 420.4673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $109,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…