164 Sycamore Dr · Honey Brook, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.7
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Honey Ridge, a vibrant new residential community now open in Honeybrook, Pennsylvania! This thoughtfully planned neighborhood features high-quality manufactured homes that combine affordability, style, and functionality. With beautifully designed 2- and 3-bedroom floor plans starting at just $135,000, Honey Ridge makes homeownership accessible for all ages seeking a modern, budget-friendly place to call home. Honey Ridge is more than just a neighborhood—it's a lifestyle. Residents enjoy contemporary, energy-efficient homes along with a host of community amenities, including on-site management, walking trail, two playgrounds, serenity garden and more.
Key facts
- Walking trail
- Community amenities
- Two playgrounds
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($978/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (6.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.5% in Honey Brook — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#537 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Twin Valley SD (rural): math 52% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #72 of 539 in PA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Twin Valley Ms (math 41% / reading 63%, grade C+, #103 of 512 statewide, top 21%, 920 students, 35% FRL); Twin Valley Hs (math 70% / reading 75%, grade B+, #37 of 437 statewide, top 8%, 1,023 students, 24% FRL).
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,513 units permitted in Chester County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chester County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.12%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,000
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -15.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 Arrowhead Ct | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,430 (+6%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $63 | 72 |
| 116 Erica Cir | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 3mo | $87,500 | $67 | 71 |
| 98 Erica Cir | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,307 (-3%) | 3mo | $111,000 | $85 | 69 |
| 36 Flintlock Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 15mo | $68,500 | $53 | 64 |
| 39 Patton Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 13mo | $112,500 | $90 | 52 |
| 40 Forrest Rd | 1.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (-4%) | 5mo | $167,000 | $130 | 50 |
| 1 Tulip Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-17%) | 9mo | $102,000 | $91 | 48 |
| 125 Erica Cir | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-14%) | 12mo | $84,900 | $74 | 45 |
| 2 Buck Ct | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+21%) | 10mo | $36,000 | $22 | 44 |
| 325 Grandview Cir | 0.80mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (-10%) | 13mo | $399,900 | $332 | 37 |
| 237 Dove Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+15%) | 11mo | $325,000 | $211 | 33 |
| 331 Grandview Cir | 0.87mi | 3/1.5 | 1,534 (+14%) | 13mo | $410,000 | $267 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-21,521
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-11,959
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active
- Median asking
- $165,000 ($123/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 50 d
- This list price
- 18% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +18.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 19344
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,547 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $82
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $196 | -5% $139 | +0% $82 | +5% $25 | +10% $-32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-41 | -5% $20 | +0% $82 | +5% $143 | +10% $204 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $165 | -0.5pp $123 | base $82 | +0.5pp $39 | +1.0pp $-5 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Cupola Rd Honey Brook, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,195 | $1.46 | 62d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1 Mark Rd Honey Brook, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 152 Icedale Rd Honey Brook, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 7d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 164 Sycamore Dr, Honey Brook Township, PA 19344
- Financial info
- List price $160,000
Exterior
- Utilities
- Natural gasCentral air conditioning
- Home design
- Single-family (spec plan: Redman 11 JV Honey Ridge)Active listing
- Construction
- Living area approximately 1344
- Exterior features
- Shake roof
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heatingCentral airCeiling fans
- Interior features
- DishwasherMicrowaveRefrigerator
Listing history 48 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $165,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $165,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $165,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $165,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $165,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $165,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $165,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $165,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $165,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $165,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $165,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $165,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $165,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $165,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-25pricedays on market $165,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $160,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $160,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 693-char remark
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2026-06-09$160,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,485
- − Management
- −$1,485
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$1,753
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,399/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home in Honey Ridge, Pennsylvania, is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen and well-maintained exterior. It offers a great opportunity for investors looking to increase its value through minor improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve the overall appearance and increase property value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient for potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more energy-efficient or high-end appliances can increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4224000
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,916
- Composite
- 51.88/100
- National rank
- #1655
- State rank
- #72 of 539 in PA
Livability — Honey Brook
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #537
- US rank
- #5035
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Chester · 546,756 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,910
- Household income
- $84,164
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 11% of renters
Population outlook (Chester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,756 people
- By 2030
- 559,441 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 576,377 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 580,602 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 581,575 · +6.4%
- By 2100
- 540,922 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · German/W. Germanic 16% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chester
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.5) · D 56.7% · R 42.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: 14.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.5 2020: D+17.0 2016: D+9.2 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.79%
- Current HPI
- 281.2501
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…