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54 Lisa Dr
B- Composite 67.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

54 Lisa Dr · Bear, DE 19702
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,800 sqft · Townhouse public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2000 2,178 sqft lot ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.

Key facts

  • Built 2000

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $691 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.7% in Bear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#8 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Christina School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #18 of 26 in DE (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.03%
Cash-on-cash
16.92%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$363,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
52 Lisa Dr 0.00mi 3/3.5 1,825 (+1%) 5mo $359,900 $197 89
147 Darling St 0.06mi 3/3.0 1,800 (0%) 7mo $343,132 $191 89
180 Darling St 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,725 (-4%) 4mo $330,000 $191 87
9 Lisa Dr 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,850 (+3%) 6mo $375,000 $203 85
184 Darling St 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,681 (-7%) 4mo $355,000 $211 82
128 Darling St 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,650 (-8%) 4mo $310,000 $188 81
46 Lisa Dr 0.02mi 3/1.5 1,975 (+10%) 7mo $330,000 $167 73
218 Anita Ct 0.62mi 3/2.5 2,025 (+12%) 2mo $415,000 $205 49
103 W Newtown Pl 0.51mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,985 (+10%) 7mo $325,000 $164 49
212 Anita Ct 0.63mi 3/2.5 2,025 (+12%) 7mo $410,000 $202 44
27 E Newtown Pl 0.61mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,575 (-12%) 3mo $319,999 $203 44
5 W Christina Pl 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,550 (-14%) 7mo $340,000 $219 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$13,735
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$60,929
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19702

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,389 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,470/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$502
Net cashflow
$691

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,514
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
182 Darling St Newark, DE 3.0 2.5 1345 $2,450 $1.82 43d 1 0.05mi
138 Creekside Ct Newark, DE 2.0 2.5 1225 $2,200 $1.80 43d 1 0.51mi
100 N Barrett Ln Newark, DE 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,550 $1.70 1d 1 0.73mi
35 Honeysuckle Dr Newark, DE 3.0 1.5 1250 $2,400 $1.92 17d 1 0.97mi
1 Iris Pl Newark, DE 3.0 2.0 1525 $2,400 $1.57 16d 1 1.03mi
13 Honeysuckle Dr Newark, DE 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,300 $1.77 43d 1 1.06mi
104 Sandburg Pl Newark, DE 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,889 $1.38 43d 1 1.17mi
4 Arnold Pl Newark, DE 2.0 2.5 1225 $2,500 $2.04 43d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-03-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-19
    listed $175,000 Active
  3. 2019-11-22
    soldstatus $216,000 Closed 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.

  4. 2019-10-02
    status Pending 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.

  5. 2019-09-28
    price $215,000 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.

  6. 2019-09-13
    listed $220,000 Active 731-char remark
    Show marketing remark (731 chars)

    Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.

  7. 2010-05-17
    soldstatus $199,900
  8. 2010-05-13
    soldstatus $199,900 750-char remark
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.

  9. 2010-05-13
    soldstatus $199,900
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.

  10. 2010-04-13
    historical 750-char remark
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.

  11. 2010-03-04
    listed $199,900 750-char remark
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.

  12. 2010-03-04
    listed $199,900
    Show marketing remark (750 chars)

    This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.

  13. 2004-12-22
    soldstatus $182,900
  14. 2004-12-17
    soldstatus $182,900
  15. 2004-11-17
    historical
  16. 2004-11-12
    listed $182,900
  17. 2000-08-01
    soldstatus $116,095
  18. 2000-07-28
    historical
  19. 2000-06-30
    listed $116,095
  20. 1999-11-05
    soldstatus $213,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,470 · $206/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,667
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,470
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,293
− Management
−$2,293
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$5,842
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,402
After-tax cash flow
$6,887/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Christina School District
NCES district ID
1000200
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,838
Composite
24.93/100
National rank
#7567
State rank
#18 of 26 in DE

Livability — Bear

Score
73/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#5158

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
New Castle County · 483,412 people
City population
42,984
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
55,683
Household income
$92,446
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1421.0

Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
594,686 people
By 2030
609,164 · +2.4%
By 2040
632,154 · +6.3%
By 2050
649,068 · +9.1%
By 2075
687,771 · +15.7%
By 2100
694,961 · +16.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 12% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · New Castle

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.79%
Current HPI
248.8414
Rent YoY
▲ 2.19%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-18.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-22 Sold (MLS) $216,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-02 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-09-28 Price Changed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-09-13 Listed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $199,900 Public Records
  • 2010-05-13 Sold (MLS) $199,900 TREND
  • 2010-05-13 Sold (MLS) $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-04-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-03-04 Listed $199,900 TREND
  • 2010-03-04 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $182,900 Public Records
  • 2004-12-17 Sold (MLS) $182,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-11-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-11-12 Listed $182,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-08-01 Sold (MLS) $116,095 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-07-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-06-30 Listed $116,095 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $213,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,470 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…