54 Lisa Dr · Bear, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.
Key facts
- Built 2000
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $691 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.7% in Bear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#8 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Christina School District (suburban): math 22% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #18 of 26 in DE (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.92%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $363,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Lisa Dr | 0.00mi | 3/3.5 | 1,825 (+1%) | 5mo | $359,900 | $197 | 89 |
| 147 Darling St | 0.06mi | 3/3.0 | 1,800 (0%) | 7mo | $343,132 | $191 | 89 |
| 180 Darling St | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,725 (-4%) | 4mo | $330,000 | $191 | 87 |
| 9 Lisa Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,850 (+3%) | 6mo | $375,000 | $203 | 85 |
| 184 Darling St | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,681 (-7%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $211 | 82 |
| 128 Darling St | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,650 (-8%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $188 | 81 |
| 46 Lisa Dr | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,975 (+10%) | 7mo | $330,000 | $167 | 73 |
| 218 Anita Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 2,025 (+12%) | 2mo | $415,000 | $205 | 49 |
| 103 W Newtown Pl | 0.51mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,985 (+10%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $164 | 49 |
| 212 Anita Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 2,025 (+12%) | 7mo | $410,000 | $202 | 44 |
| 27 E Newtown Pl | 0.61mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,575 (-12%) | 3mo | $319,999 | $203 | 44 |
| 5 W Christina Pl | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 | 1,550 (-14%) | 7mo | $340,000 | $219 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $13,735
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $60,929
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19702
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,389 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$206 /mo · $2,470/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $691
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182 Darling St Newark, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1345 | $2,450 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 138 Creekside Ct Newark, DE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 100 N Barrett Ln Newark, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,550 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 35 Honeysuckle Dr Newark, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,400 | $1.92 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1 Iris Pl Newark, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $2,400 | $1.57 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 13 Honeysuckle Dr Newark, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 104 Sandburg Pl Newark, DE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,889 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4 Arnold Pl Newark, DE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $2,500 | $2.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-03-19status Pending
-
2026-03-19$175,000 Active
-
2019-11-22soldstatus $216,000 Closed 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.
-
2019-10-02status Pending 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.
-
2019-09-28price $215,000 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.
-
2019-09-13$220,000 Active 731-char remark
Show marketing remark (731 chars)
Beautiful Move-in Ready Townhouse - 1800 sq ft with finished basement now available in the desirable community of River Walk. 3 Bed/2.5 Bath and perfect for a first time home buyer. This home features a spacious living room with cathedral ceilings, a basement family room, and an open eat-in kitchen. Upstairs the master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, master bath and large walk-in closet. There are two additional bedrooms and another full bath to finish off this floor. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. There are a laundry area and additional storage space also located in the basement. This is a great home ready for a new owner. Close to shopping, restaurants and RT. 1.
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2010-05-17soldstatus $199,900
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2010-05-13soldstatus $199,900 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.
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2010-05-13soldstatus $199,900
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.
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2010-04-13historical 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.
-
2010-03-04$199,900 750-char remark
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.
-
2010-03-04$199,900
Show marketing remark (750 chars)
This home is a great find in River Walk! Upon entering you will notice the entire home has been RECENTLY painted in neutral colors and BRAND NEW carpet welcomes you. This is a must see 3BR, 2.5 BA home. The large eat-in kitchen features an island with plenty of counter top space. Enjoy the outdoors on the walkout deck from the kitchen into a nice sized backyard. The master bedroom features a vaulted ceiling, walk-in closet and master bath. The basement is finished and offers ample space for storage. Hurry and write before April 30th to take advantage of the $8,000 extended and expanded first time home buyer stimulus tax credit. Purchase with confidence with seller offering a 1 year home warranty through First American Home Warranty Company.
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2004-12-22soldstatus $182,900
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2004-12-17soldstatus $182,900
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2004-11-17historical
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2004-11-12$182,900
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2000-08-01soldstatus $116,095
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2000-07-28historical
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2000-06-30$116,095
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1999-11-05soldstatus $213,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,470 · $206/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,667
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,470
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,293
- − Management
- −$2,293
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $5,842
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,402
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,887/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christina School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000200
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,838
- Composite
- 24.93/100
- National rank
- #7567
- State rank
- #18 of 26 in DE
Livability — Bear
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #5158
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 42,984
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,683
- Household income
- $92,446
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1421.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 14% Asian 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.79%
- Current HPI
- 248.8414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.19%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-18.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-22 Sold (MLS) $216,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-09-28 Price Changed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-09-13 Listed $220,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $199,900 Public Records
- 2010-05-13 Sold (MLS) $199,900 TREND
- 2010-05-13 Sold (MLS) $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-04-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-04 Listed $199,900 TREND
- 2010-03-04 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $182,900 Public Records
- 2004-12-17 Sold (MLS) $182,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-11-17 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2004-11-12 Listed $182,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-08-01 Sold (MLS) $116,095 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-07-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-06-30 Listed $116,095 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $213,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2024): $2,470 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…