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202 5th St
B- Composite 67.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,000

202 5th St · Sherrard, IL 61281
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,884 sqft · SingleFamily · 13 Days on market
Built 1923 0.35 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Sherrard Tiger fans, this is the opportunity you've been waiting on! Brand new roof on the house & garage this year! This four bedroom home has tons of potential & is ready for you to bring your vision! There is two full bathrooms, one bedroom on the main level & three upstairs. You have a great yard with shed & a detached two car garage. Turn the walk up attic into additional living space! This home was well loved for generations, the property is apart of an estate & selling strictly as is, where is. Buyers to have any inspections for their knowledge only. Appliances in home to remain. Main level washer & dryer connections. All measurements & infor

Key facts

  • Walk up attic
  • Great yard
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFGREAT YARDDETACHED GARAGEWALK UP ATTIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type listed as detached single; 2 stories
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with space for 2 cars; Total parking for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story layout; Home is over 100 years old; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Approximately 2,175 finished living area (total finished/unfinshed 2,884; unfinished basement approx. 709)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Screened porch; Level lot with dimensions 125 x 132 x 125 x 132

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with pantry-closet (approx. 12 x 12); Range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the main level (18 x 14); Three additional bedrooms on the second level (9 x 13; 9 x 10; 9 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Full, unfinished attic; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 10 x 9); Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#604 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sherrard CUSD 200 (rural): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #240 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Sherrard Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #392 of 2,056 statewide, top 21%, 237 students, 0% FRL); Matherville Intermediate School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 190 students, 0% FRL); Sherrard High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 451 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Mercer County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.30%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$43,288
Equity at exit
$63,277
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
4.80×
Total profit
$115,938
Equity at exit
$110,476

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61281

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,377 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,510/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,046
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,000 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 671-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    listed $109,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,510 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,510 · $209/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,528
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$2,510
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,322
− Management
−$1,322
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$1,552
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$372
After-tax cash flow
$2,770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sherrard CUSD 200
NCES district ID
1736180
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$60,194
Composite
26.77/100
National rank
#7129
State rank
#240 of 620 in IL

Livability — Sherrard

Score
65/100
State rank
#604
US rank
#12488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sherrard, IL
Population (ZIP)
2,610

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,595 people
By 2030
13,846 · -5.1%
By 2040
12,335 · -15.5%
By 2050
10,893 · -25.4%
By 2075
8,238 · -43.6%
By 2100
6,111 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 5% Iranian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.4% · R 62.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-39.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.9pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+20.7 2012: D+7.4 2008: D+11.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.23%
Current HPI
201.0103
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $109,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,510 · +282.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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