202 5th St · Sherrard, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Sherrard Tiger fans, this is the opportunity you've been waiting on! Brand new roof on the house & garage this year! This four bedroom home has tons of potential & is ready for you to bring your vision! There is two full bathrooms, one bedroom on the main level & three upstairs. You have a great yard with shed & a detached two car garage. Turn the walk up attic into additional living space! This home was well loved for generations, the property is apart of an estate & selling strictly as is, where is. Buyers to have any inspections for their knowledge only. Appliances in home to remain. Main level washer & dryer connections. All measurements & infor
Key facts
- Walk up attic
- Great yard
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type listed as detached single; 2 stories
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with space for 2 cars; Total parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story layout; Home is over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Brick/mortar foundation; Approximately 2,175 finished living area (total finished/unfinshed 2,884; unfinished basement approx. 709)
- Exterior features: Deck; Screened porch; Level lot with dimensions 125 x 132 x 125 x 132
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with pantry-closet (approx. 12 x 12); Range
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Master bedroom on the main level (18 x 14); Three additional bedrooms on the second level (9 x 13; 9 x 10; 9 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 9 total rooms; Full, unfinished attic; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (approx. 10 x 9); Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#604 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sherrard CUSD 200 (rural): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #240 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Sherrard Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #392 of 2,056 statewide, top 21%, 237 students, 0% FRL); Matherville Intermediate School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 190 students, 0% FRL); Sherrard High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #218 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 451 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.30%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $43,288
- Equity at exit
- $63,277
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.80×
- Total profit
- $115,938
- Equity at exit
- $110,476
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61281
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,377 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,510/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
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2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $109,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 671-char remark
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2026-06-07$109,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,510 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,510 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,510
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,322
- − Management
- −$1,322
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $1,552
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$372
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherrard CUSD 200
- NCES district ID
- 1736180
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,194
- Composite
- 26.77/100
- National rank
- #7129
- State rank
- #240 of 620 in IL
Livability — Sherrard
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #604
- US rank
- #12488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sherrard, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,610
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,595 people
- By 2030
- 13,846 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 12,335 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 10,893 · -25.4%
- By 2075
- 8,238 · -43.6%
- By 2100
- 6,111 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Iranian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.4% · R 62.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.9pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+20.7 2012: D+7.4 2008: D+11.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Current HPI
- 201.0103
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $109,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2024): $2,510 · +282.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…