270 W Seminole Dr · South Venice, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,456
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Virtually Staged. Auction Property. Auction Property. This property will be sold at an Online Auction June 26 ~ July 2, Register at the auction site, bidding opens on June 26th. There are no liens or encumbrances and there will title insurance and a standard closing with 45 days to close. In Ground Pool home, Pool size 15 x26 feet. Well maintained home, 2 Bed/1 Bath/1 Car garage attached. , In South Venice. newer shingle roof, 3 years old roof, HVAC 4 years old, Well and Septic utilities. This house will be sold at Auction Online Only, ANY price in this listing or advertisement is for reference only THE SELLING PRICE WILL BE DETERMINED AT AUCTION. Optional South Venice HOA membership allows
Key facts
- 8,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Pool
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA/association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One-story; Faces south; Completed condition; Zoning: RSF3
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on a 0.18-acre lot
- Exterior features: Private in-ground pool with deck; Rain gutters; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Exterior storage; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Terrazzo
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Thermostat; Skylight(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $697 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $123k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#549 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Venice Elementary School (math 80% / reading 77%, grade A, #141 of 2,144 statewide, top 7%, 608 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 43% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 63% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Sarasota average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1247 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $854 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $111k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.19%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $19,849
- Equity at exit
- $18,408
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $56,706
- Equity at exit
- $10,674
Cash invested: $34,568 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34293
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 1247
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,028 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$647
- Tax from tax record
- −$207 /mo · $2,478/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $697
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,864
- Closing costs
- $3,704
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18price $123,456 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $234,567 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $234,567 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $234,567 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $234,567 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,456 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $123,456 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$234,567 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,478 · $207/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,478 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,478
- − Insurance
- −$617
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,947
- − Management
- −$1,947
- − Depreciation
- −$3,591
- Taxable income
- $6,841
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,642
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,720/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Venice
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #10377
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Venice, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,278
- Household income
- $90,038
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 548.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -355.64%
- Current HPI
- 270.5242
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+517.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $234,567 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2008-01-24 Listed $173,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 1993-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $50,900 Public Records
- 1979-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,478 · +168.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…