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2507 Gass Ave
B+ Composite 75.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

2507 Gass Ave · Overland, MO 63114
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1964 7,548 sqft lot Est $167k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home is being sold as part of an estate and is offered AS IS. Great bones, hardwood floors, newer furnace 3 Bedrooms and 1 1/2 baths. Partially finished lower level with large brick fireplace. Check it out fast!!

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Hardwood floors
  • 7,548 sq ft lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNEWER FURNACELARGE BRICK FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with one covered space; Additional off-street parking (total parking for 1 listed)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric; Cable available; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Fiber cement exterior
  • Exterior features: Front and back yards; Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Basement with concrete floor and sump pump; Wood-burning fireplace in the basement; Central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 6.2% in Overland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#436 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Marion Elem. (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #907 of 1,115 statewide, top 81%, 475 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
12.88%
Cash-on-cash
23.53%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,608
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2509 Spencer Ave 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,063 (+14%) 4mo $179,000 $168 64
9509 Trescott Ave 0.54mi 2/2.0 (-1) 912 (-3%) 1mo $140,000 $154 62
9546 Theodosia Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 884 (-6%) 1mo $185,000 $209 54
2206 Wengler Ave 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-8%) 2mo $125,000 $145 48
10027 Lackland Rd 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (+8%) 3mo $179,000 $178 47
9518 Cote Brilliante Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-8%) 4mo $142,500 $165 43
10201 Midland Blvd 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,051 (+12%) 2mo $230,000 $219 43
9750 Flora Ave 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 816 (-13%) 3mo $199,900 $245 42
3108 Quiet Ln 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+13%) 2mo $140,000 $133 42
3112 Airway Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,032 (+10%) 6mo $79,900 $77 39
1940 Stedman Ct 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-13%) 3mo $159,000 $195 37
9816 Lullaby Ln 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-13%) 6mo $159,900 $196 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.5%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$14,679
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$45,929
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63114

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,376 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,666/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$467

Break-even live

Break-even rent $785
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2732 Annapolis Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 768 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 0.58mi
9618 De Porres Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 875 $1,200 $1.37 43d 1 0.60mi
9535 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,145 $1.43 23d 1 0.63mi
2201 Gaebler Ave Unit A Overland, MO 2.0 1.0 710 $1,250 $1.76 23d 1 0.73mi
9429 Baltimore Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 23d 1 0.75mi
3209 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 805 $1,150 $1.43 43d 1 0.79mi
3219 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,095 $1.38 22d 1 0.82mi
9905 Iveland Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,370 $1.68 3d 1 0.86mi
3209 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1122 $1,550 $1.38 23d 1 0.86mi
3208 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 656 $1,235 $1.88 10d 1 0.87mi
10205 Saint Daniel Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,450 $1.83 43d 1 0.91mi
3434 Sims Ave Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.5 988 $1,545 $1.56 43d 1 1.11mi
10116 Saint Katherine Ln Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,865 $1.90 17d 1 1.14mi
10214 Saint Anthony Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 734 $1,200 $1.63 43d 1 1.23mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt B St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 43d 1 1.23mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 43d 1 1.23mi
2452 Ashland Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1028 $1,350 $1.31 43d 1 1.36mi
3648 Edmundson Rd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 43d 1 1.41mi
3529 Saint Joachim Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 23d 1 1.46mi
3529 Saint Joachim Ln Unit NA St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 20d 1 1.46mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9733 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 3d 1 1.47mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9627 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-13
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,666 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,666 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,507
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,666
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,321
− Management
−$1,321
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$4,541
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,090
After-tax cash flow
$4,511/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ritenour
NCES district ID
2926640
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,410
Composite
17.04/100
National rank
#9125
State rank
#304 of 324 in MO

Livability — Overland

Score
61/100
State rank
#436
US rank
#17870

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Overland, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
33,969
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
33,969
Household income
$55,870
Rent vs Own
41.8% rent · 58.2% own
Severe rent burden
1595.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -276.62%
Current HPI
223.9305
Rent YoY
▲ 2.04%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,666 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…