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3717 Haines Rd
C- Composite 52.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$214,900

3717 Haines Rd · Hermantown, MN 55811
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1960 0.61 ac lot Est $223k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here is your opportunity to own a home in Hermantown. 3717 Haines Rd will feature 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and an extended long garage. The main level will have the 2 bedrooms, living room, kitchen and the bathroom. Basement of this house is a blanket canvas to have an additional living room for kids to play or landing spot for adults to enjoy. Do not miss the loft as this is a good opportunity for a little nook for storage or an office. This home is located near shopping centers, Keene Creek, bus lines and within minutes for any commute to Duluth or Hermantown. Home is situated on a deep lot and offers a place for kids to play or host backyard gatherings.

Key facts

  • Deep lot
  • Extended long garage
  • Loft for storage

Tags

EXTENDED LONG GARAGEADDITIONAL LIVING ROOMLOFT FOR STORAGENEAR SHOPPING CENTERSDEEP LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family detached residence; One-story
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.61 acre; Lot dimensions about 90 x 296

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Single-story home (1 story total)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating
  • Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (3.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.1% in Hermantown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#446 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hermantown Public School District (rural): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #73 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $207,348 (3.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.22%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,720
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3757 Haines Rd 0.19mi 2/1.0 1,064 (+11%) 12mo $230,000 $216 63
2929 Piedmont Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 990 (+3%) 11mo $230,000 $232 56
4726 Hermantown Rd 0.66mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,095 (+14%) 21mo $324,900 $297 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-17,973
Equity at exit
$32,042
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$16,044
Equity at exit
$18,581

Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55811

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
206
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,073 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,522/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$435
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,806
Max offer price $214,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,725
Closing costs
$6,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2302 Hillcrest Dr Duluth, MN 3.0 1.5 1072 $3,500 $3.26 43d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $214,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 662-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $214,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,522 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,522 · $210/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,882
− Mortgage interest
−$12,038
− Property taxes
−$2,522
− Insurance
−$1,074
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,991
− Management
−$1,991
− Depreciation
−$6,252
Taxable loss
−$985
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$236
After-tax cash flow
$2,773/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hermantown Public School District
NCES district ID
2713920
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$67,133
Composite
46.47/100
National rank
#2438
State rank
#73 of 301 in MN

Livability — Hermantown

Score
67/100
State rank
#446
US rank
#10529

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hermantown, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
28,218
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
28,118
Household income
$79,804
Rent vs Own
31.0% rent · 69.0% own
Severe rent burden
1019.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -252.84%
Current HPI
198.2613
Rent YoY
▲ 4.60%
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $214,900 LSAR

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,522 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…