3717 Haines Rd · Hermantown, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here is your opportunity to own a home in Hermantown. 3717 Haines Rd will feature 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom and an extended long garage. The main level will have the 2 bedrooms, living room, kitchen and the bathroom. Basement of this house is a blanket canvas to have an additional living room for kids to play or landing spot for adults to enjoy. Do not miss the loft as this is a good opportunity for a little nook for storage or an office. This home is located near shopping centers, Keene Creek, bus lines and within minutes for any commute to Duluth or Hermantown. Home is situated on a deep lot and offers a place for kids to play or host backyard gatherings.
Key facts
- Deep lot
- Extended long garage
- Loft for storage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family detached residence; One-story
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.61 acre; Lot dimensions about 90 x 296
Interior
- Bedrooms: Single-story home (1 story total)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating
- Interior features: Master bedroom on the main level; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (3.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.1% in Hermantown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#446 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Hermantown Public School District (rural): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #73 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.22%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,720
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3757 Haines Rd | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+11%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $216 | 63 |
| 2929 Piedmont Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 990 (+3%) | 11mo | $230,000 | $232 | 56 |
| 4726 Hermantown Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,095 (+14%) | 21mo | $324,900 | $297 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-17,973
- Equity at exit
- $32,042
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $16,044
- Equity at exit
- $18,581
Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55811
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,073 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,522/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,725
- Closing costs
- $6,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2302 Hillcrest Dr Duluth, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1072 | $3,500 | $3.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-10status $214,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $214,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $214,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 662-char remark
-
2026-06-07$214,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,522 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,522 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,038
- − Property taxes
- −$2,522
- − Insurance
- −$1,074
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,991
- − Management
- −$1,991
- − Depreciation
- −$6,252
- Taxable loss
- −$985
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$236
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hermantown Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2713920
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,133
- Composite
- 46.47/100
- National rank
- #2438
- State rank
- #73 of 301 in MN
Livability — Hermantown
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #446
- US rank
- #10529
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hermantown, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 28,218
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,118
- Household income
- $79,804
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1019.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -252.84%
- Current HPI
- 198.2613
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $214,900 LSAR
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,522 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…