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803 River Point Dr
B- Composite 65.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0

$645,000

803 River Point Dr · Naples, FL 34102
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,265 sqft · SingleFamily · 35 Days on market
Built 1985 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Remodeled in 2022, with floor to ceiling windows, new floors, new downstairs bathroom, and plantation shutters. This two story condominium is a townhouse style property, with designated undercover parking, directly in front of first floor entrance. First floor has one bedroom and one bath, with a spiral staircase leading to main living area on second floor. Second floor is also accessible by staircase and elevator, that are right next to the unit. Second floor has fully equipped updated kitchen, living room, master and guest bedroom, with a full bath. Both floors have floor to ceiling windows overlooking marina. Living room has a 70& quot; 4K LED Samsung Smart TV. Unit comes partially f

Key facts

  • Hot tub
  • Community pool
  • Spiral staircase

Tags

FLOOR TO CEILING WINDOWSDESIGNATED UNDERCOVER PARKINGSPIRAL STAIRCASEFULLY EQUIPPED UPDATED KITCHENCOMMUNITY POOLHOT TUB

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1985
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1265
  • Exterior features: Located in the Old Naples subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $645k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $645k).
  • Recommended offer: $626k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 616 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,788/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($131k/yr) (locally 333% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $181k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($626k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $625,650 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.01%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.08% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$182,138
Equity at exit
$330,177
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
4.48×
Total profit
$628,606
Equity at exit
$542,562

Cash invested: $180,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34102

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Rents YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
616
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,788 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,382
Tax est. 1.5%
$806 /mo · $9,675/yr
Insurance
$269
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,425
Net cashflow
$478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,182
Max offer price $645,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $924 -5% $701 +0% $478 +5% $255 +10% $32
Rent -10% $-58 -5% $210 +0% $478 +5% $746 +10% $1,014
Rate -1.0pp $803 -0.5pp $642 base $478 +0.5pp $311 +1.0pp $141

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$161,250
Closing costs
$19,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1395 Curlew Ave Unit 4-3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 975 $7,000 $7.18 24d 1 0.10mi
1435 Curlew Ave #1 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 975 $2,850 $2.92 22d 1 0.13mi
1435 Curlew Ave #1 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 975 $2,850 $2.92 24d 1 0.13mi
1501 Curlew Ave Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 1180 $2,000 $1.69 24d 1 0.17mi
1100 8th Ave S Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1218 $9,000 $7.39 15d 5 0.23mi
1353 Pelican Ave Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1203 $8,500 $7.07 24d 1 0.25mi
1600 Curlew Ave Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1817 $20,000 $11.01 24d 1 0.27mi
1589 Osprey Ave Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1868 $3,950 $2.11 24d 1 0.28mi
1589 Osprey Ave Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1868 $3,750 $2.01 15d 1 0.28mi
451 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 1421 $11,000 $7.74 24d 2 0.32mi
1666 Osprey Ave #203 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $7,000 $5.83 24d 1 0.32mi
1120 Little Neck Ct Unit E40 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,999 $2.14 24d 1 0.32mi
450 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1324 $12,000 $9.06 24d 6 0.33mi
410 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1242 $9,750 $7.85 24d 6 0.36mi
307 Goodlette-Frank Rd S Unit B506 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $6,800 $5.83 24d 1 0.36mi
1165 Clam Ct #7 Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1449 $2,900 $2.00 24d 1 0.36mi
900 8th Ave S #105 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1142 $5,000 $4.38 24d 1 0.37mi
401 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1367 $9,000 $6.58 24d 3 0.37mi
985 Sandpiper St Unit 1I-204 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1769 $4,850 $2.74 24d 1 0.38mi
1200 Cherrystone Ct Unit A203 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1276 $4,950 $3.88 24d 1 0.39mi
1495 Blue Point Ave Unit C Naples, FL 2.0 2.5 1529 $12,000 $7.85 24d 1 0.40mi
1186 Cherrystone Ct Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1163 $1,995 $1.72 24d 1 0.41mi
1400 Blue Point Ave #104 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1550 $2,900 $1.87 24d 1 0.42mi
1555 Blue Point Ave Unit 3 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,745 $1.70 15d 1 0.43mi
1030 3rd Ave S Naples, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.5 2101 $18,000 $8.57 24d 4 0.46mi
1155 Sandpiper St Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $4,050 $3.81 24d 2 0.47mi
1155 Sandpiper St Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $3,950 $3.72 22d 3 0.47mi
1950 Mayfair ST Unit 901 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1025 $4,560 $4.45 15d 1 0.48mi
1950 Mayfair ST Unit 923 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1142 $4,490 $3.93 15d 1 0.48mi
1950 Mayfair ST Unit 818 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1142 $4,415 $3.87 15d 1 0.48mi
1501 Chesapeake Ave Unit 1296210P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1377 $4,110 $2.98 15d 1 0.48mi
802 10th Ave S #802 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1480 $10,000 $6.76 24d 1 0.48mi
1035 3rd Ave S Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1268 $8,538 $6.73 24d 2 0.50mi
1035 3rd Ave S Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1268 $8,388 $6.61 22d 2 0.50mi
1376 Chesapeake Ave #2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1218 $2,300 $1.89 24d 1 0.50mi
1135 3rd Ave S Naples, FL 2.0 2.0–2.5 1638 $15,750 $9.62 24d 2 0.50mi
1135 3rd Ave S Naples, FL 2.0 2.0–2.5 1679 $11,500 $6.85 22d 3 0.50mi
1535 Chesapeake Ave Unit A2 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $2,000 $1.85 24d 1 0.50mi
964 8th St S Unit B-2 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1707 $10,500 $6.15 24d 1 0.50mi
1950 Mayfair St Naples, FL 3.0 1.0–3.5 1514 $11,999 $7.92 15d 109 0.51mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $645,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $645,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $645,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $645,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $645,000 Active 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $645,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $645,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $645,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $645,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-05-12
    listed $645,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$81,451
− Mortgage interest
−$36,130
− Property taxes
−$9,675
− Insurance
−$8,344
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,516
− Management
−$6,516
− Depreciation
−$18,764
Taxable loss
−$4,494
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,078
After-tax cash flow
$6,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This remodeled townhouse in Naples, FL, is in good condition with recent updates and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with minor cosmetic improvements that could further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the living room — Modernizes the space and improves the overall look, increasing both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the living room — Modernizes the space and improves the overall look, increasing both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Naples

Score
80/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#1903

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Naples, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
City population
344,941
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
11,179
Household income
$130,929
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
333.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 6%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.08%
Current HPI
328.2755
Rent YoY
▲ 8.75%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $645,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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