803 River Point Dr · Naples, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
$645,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Remodeled in 2022, with floor to ceiling windows, new floors, new downstairs bathroom, and plantation shutters. This two story condominium is a townhouse style property, with designated undercover parking, directly in front of first floor entrance. First floor has one bedroom and one bath, with a spiral staircase leading to main living area on second floor. Second floor is also accessible by staircase and elevator, that are right next to the unit. Second floor has fully equipped updated kitchen, living room, master and guest bedroom, with a full bath. Both floors have floor to ceiling windows overlooking marina. Living room has a 70& quot; 4K LED Samsung Smart TV. Unit comes partially f
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Community pool
- Spiral staircase
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1985
- Construction: Living area approximately 1265
- Exterior features: Located in the Old Naples subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $645k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $478 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $645k).
- Recommended offer: $626k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 616 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,788/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($131k/yr) (locally 333% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $181k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($626k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.01%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.08% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $182,138
- Equity at exit
- $330,177
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.48×
- Total profit
- $628,606
- Equity at exit
- $542,562
Cash invested: $180,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34102
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 616
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,788 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,382
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$806 /mo · $9,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$269
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,425
- Net cashflow
- $478
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $924 | -5% $701 | +0% $478 | +5% $255 | +10% $32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-58 | -5% $210 | +0% $478 | +5% $746 | +10% $1,014 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $803 | -0.5pp $642 | base $478 | +0.5pp $311 | +1.0pp $141 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $161,250
- Closing costs
- $19,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1395 Curlew Ave Unit 4-3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $7,000 | $7.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1435 Curlew Ave #1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,850 | $2.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1435 Curlew Ave #1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,850 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1501 Curlew Ave Naples, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $2,000 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1100 8th Ave S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $9,000 | $7.39 | 15d | 5 | 0.23mi |
| 1353 Pelican Ave Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1203 | $8,500 | $7.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1600 Curlew Ave Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1817 | $20,000 | $11.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1589 Osprey Ave Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $3,950 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1589 Osprey Ave Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $3,750 | $2.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 451 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1421 | $11,000 | $7.74 | 24d | 2 | 0.32mi |
| 1666 Osprey Ave #203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $7,000 | $5.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1120 Little Neck Ct Unit E40 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,999 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 450 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1324 | $12,000 | $9.06 | 24d | 6 | 0.33mi |
| 410 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1242 | $9,750 | $7.85 | 24d | 6 | 0.36mi |
| 307 Goodlette-Frank Rd S Unit B506 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $6,800 | $5.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1165 Clam Ct #7 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1449 | $2,900 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 900 8th Ave S #105 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $5,000 | $4.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 401 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $9,000 | $6.58 | 24d | 3 | 0.37mi |
| 985 Sandpiper St Unit 1I-204 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $4,850 | $2.74 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1200 Cherrystone Ct Unit A203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $4,950 | $3.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1495 Blue Point Ave Unit C Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1529 | $12,000 | $7.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1186 Cherrystone Ct Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1163 | $1,995 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1400 Blue Point Ave #104 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,900 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1555 Blue Point Ave Unit 3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,745 | $1.70 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1030 3rd Ave S Naples, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2101 | $18,000 | $8.57 | 24d | 4 | 0.46mi |
| 1155 Sandpiper St Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $4,050 | $3.81 | 24d | 2 | 0.47mi |
| 1155 Sandpiper St Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $3,950 | $3.72 | 22d | 3 | 0.47mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 901 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $4,560 | $4.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 923 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $4,490 | $3.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 818 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $4,415 | $3.87 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1501 Chesapeake Ave Unit 1296210P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $4,110 | $2.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 802 10th Ave S #802 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $10,000 | $6.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1035 3rd Ave S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $8,538 | $6.73 | 24d | 2 | 0.50mi |
| 1035 3rd Ave S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $8,388 | $6.61 | 22d | 2 | 0.50mi |
| 1376 Chesapeake Ave #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $2,300 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1135 3rd Ave S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1638 | $15,750 | $9.62 | 24d | 2 | 0.50mi |
| 1135 3rd Ave S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1679 | $11,500 | $6.85 | 22d | 3 | 0.50mi |
| 1535 Chesapeake Ave Unit A2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 964 8th St S Unit B-2 Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1707 | $10,500 | $6.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1950 Mayfair St Naples, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1514 | $11,999 | $7.92 | 15d | 109 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $645,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $645,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $645,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $645,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $645,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $645,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $645,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $645,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $645,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$645,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $81,451
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,130
- − Property taxes
- −$9,675
- − Insurance
- −$8,344
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,516
- − Management
- −$6,516
- − Depreciation
- −$18,764
- Taxable loss
- −$4,494
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,078
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos
This remodeled townhouse in Naples, FL, is in good condition with recent updates and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good investment opportunity with minor cosmetic improvements that could further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers and renters.
- Both Upgrading the flooring in the living room — Modernizes the space and improves the overall look, increasing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring in the living room — Modernizes the space and improves the overall look, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Naples
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #1903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Naples, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 344,941
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,179
- Household income
- $130,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 333.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 6%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Current HPI
- 328.2755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.75%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $645,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…