Triplex
3548 Ely Ave #3 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,025,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Private balcony
- Spacious rear yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.02M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $420/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $977k (4.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $933k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,766/mo this rent would consume 178% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $31k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($933k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $624k; list at $1.02M implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.26%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $972,340
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3512 Grace Ave | 0.09mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 3,150 (-1%) | 9mo | $960,000 | $305 | 69 |
| 1338 E 224th St #3 | 0.13mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,968 (-7%) | 14mo | $815,000 | $275 | 54 |
| 4063 Ely Ave | 0.68mi | 6/2.0 | 3,119 (-2%) | 9mo | $895,000 | $287 | 49 |
| 3941 Laconia Ave | 0.45mi | 7/5.0 (+1) | 3,387 (+6%) | 2mo | $1,180,000 | $348 | 47 |
| 1119 E 224th St | 0.38mi | 7/5.0 (+1) | 3,000 (-6%) | 17mo | $850,000 | $283 | 38 |
| 1012 E 225th St | 0.54mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,760 (-13%) | 2mo | $850,000 | $308 | 38 |
| 3613 Marolla Pl | 0.39mi | 6/2.0 | 2,800 (-12%) | 19mo | $800,000 | $286 | 38 |
| 947 E 229th St | 0.67mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,730 (-14%) | 6mo | $850,000 | $311 | 27 |
| 3106 Eastchester Rd | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,717 (-15%) | 9mo | $920,000 | $339 | 17 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-86,170
- Equity at exit
- $152,831
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $27,220
- Equity at exit
- $88,623
Cash invested: $287,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10466
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 26.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,766 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,375
- Tax from tax record
- −$654 /mo · $7,851/yr
- Insurance
- −$427
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,051
- Net cashflow
- $1,259
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | — | $9,765 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $3,255 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $3,255 |
| #3 | 2 | — | $3,255 |
| Total (3 units) | $9,766 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $256,250
- Closing costs
- $30,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2025-10-30status Pending
-
2025-06-24$1,025,000 Active
-
2014-03-15price $624,000 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.
-
2013-07-03soldstatus $624,000
-
2013-06-13soldstatus $624,000 Sold 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.
-
2013-03-14historical Pending 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.
-
2013-03-14price $625,000 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.
-
2012-03-09$625,000 Active 481-char remark
Show marketing remark (481 chars)
Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,851 · $654/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,587 · $1,049/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,736/yr (+$395/mo · 60.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $117,192
- − Mortgage interest
- −$57,416
- − Property taxes
- −$7,851
- − Insurance
- −$5,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,375
- − Management
- −$9,375
- − Depreciation
- −$29,818
- Taxable loss
- −$1,768
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,528/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,116
- Household income
- $65,969
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4791.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.77%
- Current HPI
- 349.542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+64.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-30 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-24 Listed $1,025,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-15 Price Changed $624,000 HGMLS
- 2013-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $624,000 Public Records
- 2013-06-13 Sold (MLS) $624,000 HGMLS
- 2013-03-14 Contingent — HGMLS
- 2013-03-14 Price Changed $625,000 HGMLS
- 2012-03-09 Listed $625,000 HGMLS
Property tax history
+24.9%/yrLatest (2025): $7,851 · +38.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…