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3548 Ely Ave #3 Triplex
D+ Composite 49.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,025,000

3548 Ely Ave #3 · New York, NY 10466
6 bd · 0.0 ba · 3,188 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 2008 2,529 sqft lot Est $972k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.

Key facts

  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Private balcony
  • Spacious rear yard

Tags

SEMI-DETACHED HOMEQUIET CUL-DE-SACSPACIOUS SIDE YARDSPACIOUS REAR YARDPRIVATE BALCONYFULL OPEN BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.02M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $420/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $977k (4.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $933k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,766/mo this rent would consume 178% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4791% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $31k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($933k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $624k; list at $1.02M implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $932,750 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.26%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$972,340
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3512 Grace Ave 0.09mi 7/3.0 (+1) 3,150 (-1%) 9mo $960,000 $305 69
1338 E 224th St #3 0.13mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,968 (-7%) 14mo $815,000 $275 54
4063 Ely Ave 0.68mi 6/2.0 3,119 (-2%) 9mo $895,000 $287 49
3941 Laconia Ave 0.45mi 7/5.0 (+1) 3,387 (+6%) 2mo $1,180,000 $348 47
1119 E 224th St 0.38mi 7/5.0 (+1) 3,000 (-6%) 17mo $850,000 $283 38
1012 E 225th St 0.54mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,760 (-13%) 2mo $850,000 $308 38
3613 Marolla Pl 0.39mi 6/2.0 2,800 (-12%) 19mo $800,000 $286 38
947 E 229th St 0.67mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,730 (-14%) 6mo $850,000 $311 27
3106 Eastchester Rd 0.71mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,717 (-15%) 9mo $920,000 $339 17

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-86,170
Equity at exit
$152,831
10-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$27,220
Equity at exit
$88,623

Cash invested: $287,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10466

Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
26.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,766 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,375
Tax from tax record
$654 /mo · $7,851/yr
Insurance
$427
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,051
Net cashflow
$1,259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $8,173
Max offer price $1,025,000
Occupancy floor 82%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $9,766

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$256,250
Closing costs
$30,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2025-10-30
    status Pending
  2. 2025-06-24
    listed $1,025,000 Active
  3. 2014-03-15
    price $624,000 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.

  4. 2013-07-03
    soldstatus $624,000
  5. 2013-06-13
    soldstatus $624,000 Sold 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.

  6. 2013-03-14
    historical Pending 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.

  7. 2013-03-14
    price $625,000 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.

  8. 2012-03-09
    listed $625,000 Active 481-char remark
    Show marketing remark (481 chars)

    Brand new 3 family home on new cul-de-sac. This semi-detached home boasts spacious side and rear yards. The layout is; Three bedrooms, 2 bath with balcony on the 2nd flr, Three bedrooms, 2 bath, on the 1st flr, one bedroom one bath walk-in and full open basement with boiler/utility room and rear access to the yard. Real Estate taxes just $332.00 per year thanks to 421 A Tax Abatement. There is ceramic tile in all kitchens and baths and gleaming wood floors in all 3 apartments.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,851 · $654/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,587 · $1,049/mo
Expected delta
+$4,736/yr (+$395/mo · 60.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$117,192
− Mortgage interest
−$57,416
− Property taxes
−$7,851
− Insurance
−$5,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$9,375
− Management
−$9,375
− Depreciation
−$29,818
Taxable loss
−$1,768
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$424
After-tax cash flow
$15,528/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
71,116
Household income
$65,969
Rent vs Own
60.1% rent · 39.9% own
Severe rent burden
4791.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% White 2% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 12%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada, Jamaica, United Kingdom
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -314.77%
Current HPI
349.542
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-30 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $1,025,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-03-15 Price Changed $624,000 HGMLS
  • 2013-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $624,000 Public Records
  • 2013-06-13 Sold (MLS) $624,000 HGMLS
  • 2013-03-14 Contingent HGMLS
  • 2013-03-14 Price Changed $625,000 HGMLS
  • 2012-03-09 Listed $625,000 HGMLS

Property tax history

+24.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,851 · +38.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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