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915 Maupin Ave
B Composite 70.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,500

915 Maupin Ave · New Haven, MO 63068
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,330 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 143 Days on market
Built 1920 6,403 sqft lot $34/sqft · 71% below area ↓ 28% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Amazing 4 bed, 1.5 bath home with approx 2190sf and 2-car garage. Very traditional home at an unbelievable price. You will find large rooms and high ceilings! Main level has kitchen, bedroom, family room and dining room, which arguably could be a potential 6-bedroom home!! Upper level has 4 bedrooms and a full bath with claw ft tub. Large covered porch and 2 car detached garage make it even better. Very unique home at a great price to come and make it your own! Put in some sweat equity or even a rehab loan will work. An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass. This property is also being marketed via auction at www.xome.com

Key facts

  • 6,403 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#72 in MO, #4,817 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • New Haven (rural): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #49 of 324 in MO (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 614 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (100 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $543 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $66k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,080 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.71%
Cap rate
13.47%
Cash-on-cash
25.63%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$255,734
List price
$78,500
Delta
-69.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
705 Olivia Ct 0.35mi 4/3.0 2,191 (-6%) 6mo $289,900 $132 65
202 Macarthur St 0.51mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,470 (+6%) 3mo $271,000 $110 57
116 Mary Hammack St St 0.38mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,150 (-8%) 10mo $209,900 $98 54
114 Macarthur St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,144 (-8%) 10mo $209,900 $98 54
510 Olive St 0.56mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,170 (-7%) 10mo $225,000 $104 49
114 Arizona St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,249 (-4%) 20mo $349,000 $155 43
204 Macarthur St 0.53mi 4/3.0 2,558 (+10%) 15mo $284,900 $111 42
212 Melrose St 0.72mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,555 (+10%) 17mo $395,500 $155 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.3%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$17,233
Equity at exit
$11,705
10-year hold
IRR
27.6%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$53,717
Equity at exit
$6,787

Cash invested: $21,980 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63068

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,343 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$412
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,770/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $749
Max offer price $78,500
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,625
Closing costs
$2,355
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,500 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,500 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,500 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,500 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $78,500 Active 138 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $78,500 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,500 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,500 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,500 Active 132 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,500 Active 131 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $78,500 Active 128 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,500 Active 127 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,500 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,500 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    price $82,500 655-char remark
    Show marketing remark (655 chars)

    Amazing 4 bed, 1.5 bath home with approx 2190sf and 2-car garage. Very traditional home at an unbelievable price. You will find large rooms and high ceilings! Main level has kitchen, bedroom, family room and dining room, which arguably could be a potential 6-bedroom home!! Upper level has 4 bedrooms and a full bath with claw ft tub. Large covered porch and 2 car detached garage make it even better. Very unique home at a great price to come and make it your own! Put in some sweat equity or even a rehab loan will work. An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass. This property is also being marketed via auction at www.xome.com

  16. 2026-03-31
    price $85,700 655-char remark
    Show marketing remark (655 chars)

    Amazing 4 bed, 1.5 bath home with approx 2190sf and 2-car garage. Very traditional home at an unbelievable price. You will find large rooms and high ceilings! Main level has kitchen, bedroom, family room and dining room, which arguably could be a potential 6-bedroom home!! Upper level has 4 bedrooms and a full bath with claw ft tub. Large covered porch and 2 car detached garage make it even better. Very unique home at a great price to come and make it your own! Put in some sweat equity or even a rehab loan will work. An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass. This property is also being marketed via auction at www.xome.com

  17. 2026-02-26
    price $90,200 655-char remark
    Show marketing remark (655 chars)

    Amazing 4 bed, 1.5 bath home with approx 2190sf and 2-car garage. Very traditional home at an unbelievable price. You will find large rooms and high ceilings! Main level has kitchen, bedroom, family room and dining room, which arguably could be a potential 6-bedroom home!! Upper level has 4 bedrooms and a full bath with claw ft tub. Large covered porch and 2 car detached garage make it even better. Very unique home at a great price to come and make it your own! Put in some sweat equity or even a rehab loan will work. An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass. This property is also being marketed via auction at www.xome.com

  18. 2026-01-26
    listed $94,900 Active 655-char remark
    Show marketing remark (655 chars)

    Amazing 4 bed, 1.5 bath home with approx 2190sf and 2-car garage. Very traditional home at an unbelievable price. You will find large rooms and high ceilings! Main level has kitchen, bedroom, family room and dining room, which arguably could be a potential 6-bedroom home!! Upper level has 4 bedrooms and a full bath with claw ft tub. Large covered porch and 2 car detached garage make it even better. Very unique home at a great price to come and make it your own! Put in some sweat equity or even a rehab loan will work. An AGENT MUST BE PRESENT FOR ALL SHOWINGS. Do not Trespass. This property is also being marketed via auction at www.xome.com

  19. 2018-02-22
    soldstatus
  20. 2018-02-16
    status Pending 599-char remark
    Show marketing remark (599 chars)

    Do you like the look of an older home but want all the conveniences of new? This beauty has it all! Recently remodeled throughout - new paint, new flooring, new kitchen and bath cabinets and countertops, new appliances, and much more! Original woodwork and detail remains. Pocket doors, original decorative windows in the living and dining rooms, plus original staircase woodwork. 4bdrm/1.5 baths with additional office or playroom space. Off street parking and oversize 2 car garage plus new privacy fence. This home should fit any loan program too! Offers responded to within 24-48 hours.

  21. 2018-02-15
    soldstatus Closed 599-char remark
    Show marketing remark (599 chars)

    Do you like the look of an older home but want all the conveniences of new? This beauty has it all! Recently remodeled throughout - new paint, new flooring, new kitchen and bath cabinets and countertops, new appliances, and much more! Original woodwork and detail remains. Pocket doors, original decorative windows in the living and dining rooms, plus original staircase woodwork. 4bdrm/1.5 baths with additional office or playroom space. Off street parking and oversize 2 car garage plus new privacy fence. This home should fit any loan program too! Offers responded to within 24-48 hours.

  22. 2018-01-05
    historical Contingent (No Kickout) 599-char remark
    Show marketing remark (599 chars)

    Do you like the look of an older home but want all the conveniences of new? This beauty has it all! Recently remodeled throughout - new paint, new flooring, new kitchen and bath cabinets and countertops, new appliances, and much more! Original woodwork and detail remains. Pocket doors, original decorative windows in the living and dining rooms, plus original staircase woodwork. 4bdrm/1.5 baths with additional office or playroom space. Off street parking and oversize 2 car garage plus new privacy fence. This home should fit any loan program too! Offers responded to within 24-48 hours.

  23. 2017-11-22
    listed $104,900 Active 599-char remark
    Show marketing remark (599 chars)

    Do you like the look of an older home but want all the conveniences of new? This beauty has it all! Recently remodeled throughout - new paint, new flooring, new kitchen and bath cabinets and countertops, new appliances, and much more! Original woodwork and detail remains. Pocket doors, original decorative windows in the living and dining rooms, plus original staircase woodwork. 4bdrm/1.5 baths with additional office or playroom space. Off street parking and oversize 2 car garage plus new privacy fence. This home should fit any loan program too! Offers responded to within 24-48 hours.

  24. 2017-06-19
    price $52,500
  25. 2017-05-18
    price $59,900
  26. 2017-04-17
    price $65,500
  27. 2017-02-03
    price $68,900
  28. 2017-01-05
    price $72,500
  29. 2016-08-30
    soldstatus $65,850
  30. 2008-07-31
    soldstatus $84,390
  31. 2007-08-10
    soldstatus $114,771

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,770 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,770 · $147/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,122
− Mortgage interest
−$4,397
− Property taxes
−$1,770
− Insurance
−$392
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,290
− Management
−$1,290
− Depreciation
−$2,284
Taxable income
$4,699
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,128
After-tax cash flow
$4,506/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Haven
NCES district ID
2921960
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,147
Composite
41.54/100
National rank
#3446
State rank
#49 of 324 in MO

Livability — New Haven

Score
74/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#4817

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Haven, MO
Population (ZIP)
6,581

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
103,600 people
By 2030
103,298 · -0.3%
By 2040
100,607 · -2.9%
By 2050
94,280 · -9.0%
By 2075
77,103 · -25.6%
By 2100
54,405 · -47.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.5% · R 72.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+27.9 2008: R+12.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.94%
Current HPI
173.7531
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-28.1% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $82,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $85,700 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $90,200 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $94,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-02-16 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-15 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-05 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-11-22 Listed $104,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-19 Price Changed $52,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-05-18 Price Changed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-17 Price Changed $65,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-03 Price Changed $68,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-05 Price Changed $72,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $65,850 Public Records
  • 2008-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $84,390 Public Records
  • 2007-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $114,771 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,770 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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