304 W 8th St · Brady, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$82,662
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated on a spacious corner lot, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick home offers charm, character, and incredible potential. Mature trees shade the front yard, adding curb appeal and a welcoming first impression, while the fenced backyard provides privacy and a versatile outdoor space perfect for relaxing, or entertaining. Step inside to a functional layout with an easy, natural flow. The kitchen opens directly to both the dining area and living room, creating a comfortable setup for everyday living and gatherings. The living room features built-in shelving, adding character along with practical storage and display space. The dining area sits just off the kitchen, making meals and hosting feel s
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Fenced backyard
- Built-in shelving
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.5% in Brady — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#270 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brady ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #238 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brady El (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #2,174 of 4,322 statewide, top 51%, 476 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brady ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in McCulloch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($572 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.42%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,260
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1308 S Cypress | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $128 | 66 |
| 606 Poplar Dr | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,475 (-4%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $119 | 51 |
| 1307 S China St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $139 | 51 |
| 900 W 4th St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (-10%) | 18mo | $49,900 | $36 | 49 |
| 1205 S Cypress | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,319 (-14%) | 18mo | $112,000 | $85 | 44 |
| 1508 S Wall | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+9%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $110 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $45,478
- Equity at exit
- $54,746
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.12×
- Total profit
- $118,451
- Equity at exit
- $101,774
Cash invested: $23,145 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76825
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,183 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$433
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,666
- Closing costs
- $2,480
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-18status Pending
-
2026-03-02$82,662 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,035 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,035 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,630
- − Property taxes
- −$2,035
- − Insurance
- −$413
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,136
- − Management
- −$1,136
- − Depreciation
- −$2,405
- Taxable income
- $2,445
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$587
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,981/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brady ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811110
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,179
- Composite
- 40.02/100
- National rank
- #3826
- State rank
- #238 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brady
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #6336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brady, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,595
Population outlook (McCulloch County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,509 people
- By 2030
- 8,544 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 8,555 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 8,486 · -0.3%
- By 2075
- 8,089 · -4.9%
- By 2100
- 6,599 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 21%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · McCulloch
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.4) · D 12.9% · R 86.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: -51.0pp · 2024: -73.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.4 2020: R+70.3 2016: R+67.0 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+51.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.53%
- Current HPI
- 161.5061
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $82,662 NTREIS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,035 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…