5301 NW 2nd Ave Ph -D · Boca Raton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$156,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great fixer upper to make your own! Located on top floor with golf course view! Property will need new flooring, bathroom and kitchen remodel. Start with a blank slate!
Key facts
- $523 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1974
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $157k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $157k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.43%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,926
- Equity at exit
- $23,394
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $29,525
- Equity at exit
- $13,566
Cash invested: $43,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33487
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 330
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,487 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$823
- Tax from tax record
- −$245 /mo · $2,939/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$523
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$522
- Net cashflow
- $309
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,225
- Closing costs
- $4,707
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5301 NW 2nd Ave Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1300 | $2,640 | $2.03 | 5d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 5301 NW 2nd Ave Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1300 | $2,698 | $2.08 | 7d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 5301 NW 2nd Ave #1010 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,800 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 5301 NW 2nd Ave Apt 307 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,900 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 5501 NW 2nd Ave Unit 111 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5501 NW 2nd Ave Unit 111 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 8d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5501 NW 2nd Ave #2130 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,599 | $1.88 | 8d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5501 NW 2nd Ave Boca Raton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 925 | $1,625 | $1.76 | 5d | 3 | 0.08mi |
| 5340 NW 2nd Ave #226 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $3,500 | $2.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5700 NW 2nd Ave Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,162 | $1.92 | 21d | 4 | 0.10mi |
| 5700 NW 2nd Ave Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $2,350 | $2.09 | 17d | 3 | 0.10mi |
| 299 NW 52nd Ter Unit X Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 299 NW 52nd Ter Unit PHX Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 8d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5200 E Club Cir Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,224 | $1.85 | 24d | 2 | 0.16mi |
| 400 Club Cir Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,900 | $2.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 400 Club Cir #101 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,800 | $2.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 350 Club Cir #208 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,450 | $2.04 | 8d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5151 W Club Cir #206 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 5121 Sabal Gardens Ln #2 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1456 | $3,200 | $2.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 500 NW 53rd St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $3,000 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6000 NW 2nd Ave #437 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 564 NW 55th St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1385 | $3,200 | $2.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 5961 NW 2nd Ave Apt 108 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $2,400 | $2.29 | 8d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6161 NW 2nd Ave Unit 520 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,195 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6080 Dixie Hwy Rm 3 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4850 NE 5th Ave Boca Raton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,883 | $2.69 | 10d | 4 | 0.51mi |
| 541 NE 48th St Unit 203 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,750 | $2.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 518 NE 48th St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $3,250 | $2.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 518 NE 48th St Unit 518 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $3,250 | $2.41 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6461 NW 2nd Ave Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,148 | $1.65 | 24d | 2 | 0.58mi |
| 6461 NW 2nd Ave #501 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,200 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 530 NE 47th St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 670 | $2,019 | $3.01 | 3d | 4 | 0.60mi |
| 560 NE 46th St Unit 8 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 520 NE 44th St Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 665 Glouchester St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,095 | $2.62 | 5d | 2 | 0.74mi |
| 6500 NW 2nd Ave #512 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,800 | $2.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 769 Jeffery St Unit 2-103 Boca Raton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 776 | $2,700 | $3.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 300 NW 42nd St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $2,450 | $2.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1078 Jeffery St Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1024 | $2,900 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 140 NW 70th St #2040 Boca Raton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1018 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $523 · $6,276/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-01-12soldstatus $152,000
-
2026-01-08historical
-
2025-12-16$156,900
-
2025-11-24soldstatus $120,750
-
2003-08-06soldstatus $107,000
-
2001-04-03soldstatus $70,000
-
2000-05-26soldstatus $68,000
-
1991-04-05soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,939 · $245/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,939 · $245/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,789
- − Property taxes
- −$2,939
- − Insurance
- −$784
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,387
- − Management
- −$2,387
- − HOA
- −$6,276
- − Depreciation
- −$4,564
- Taxable income
- $1,715
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$412
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,291/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Boca Raton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #3070
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Boca Raton, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 250,102
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,717
- Household income
- $96,066
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 896.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -331.59%
- Current HPI
- 352.5852
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.58%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+141.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
- 2026-01-08 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-16 Listed $156,900 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $120,750 Public Records
- 2003-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 2001-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
- 1991-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,939 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…