1788 Warren Jamestown Blvd · Jamestown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper alert! This 3 bedroom 1 bath is situated in Kiantone on 4 lots. The home has had many recent updates to mechanicals and is ready for a new owner to finish it off. Offered at an attractive price for a quick sale. Being sold as is. Cash deal or potential owner financing with 50% down
Key facts
- First-floor bedroom
- Flexible layout
- Generous lot size
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.1% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
- Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 70.84%
- DSCR
- 4.15
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,368
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Allendale Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,160 (-1%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $134 | 78 |
| 104 Brad St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,120 (-5%) | 10mo | $89,900 | $80 | 68 |
| 513 Prospect St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,176 (0%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $85 | 60 |
| 91 Linwood Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 | 1,086 (-8%) | 1mo | $14,500 | $13 | 58 |
| 503 Hazzard St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,246 (+6%) | 10mo | $116,000 | $93 | 54 |
| 18 Ivy St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,224 (+4%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $98 | 51 |
| 111 Springdale | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-14%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $74 | 50 |
| 161 Ivy St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (-12%) | 6mo | $188,500 | $181 | 48 |
| 33 Gwendolin Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,335 (+14%) | 11mo | $165,360 | $124 | 42 |
| 22 Linwood Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,337 (+14%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $67 | 32 |
| 319 Hazzard St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,334 (+13%) | 12mo | $87,235 | $65 | 29 |
| 203 Myrtle St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,330 (+13%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $143 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.19×
- Total profit
- $31,162
- Equity at exit
- $5,204
- IRR
- 74.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.65×
- Total profit
- $74,751
- Equity at exit
- $3,018
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14701
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,153 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,641/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $694 | -5% $587 | +0% $577 | +5% $567 | +10% $557 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $486 | -5% $531 | +0% $577 | +5% $622 | +10% $668 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $594 | -0.5pp $586 | base $577 | +0.5pp $568 | +1.0pp $559 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Maple St Jamestown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $34,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $34,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $39,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $39,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-02-16price $39,900
-
2026-01-28$49,900 Active
-
2024-11-21soldstatus $30,000 Closed 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Fixer upper alert! This 3 bedroom 1 bath is situated in Kiantone on 4 lots. The home has had many recent updates to mechanicals and is ready for a new owner to finish it off. Offered at an attractive price for a quick sale. Being sold as is. Cash deal or potential owner financing with 50% down
-
2024-09-10status Pending 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Fixer upper alert! This 3 bedroom 1 bath is situated in Kiantone on 4 lots. The home has had many recent updates to mechanicals and is ready for a new owner to finish it off. Offered at an attractive price for a quick sale. Being sold as is. Cash deal or potential owner financing with 50% down
-
2024-09-05$37,500 Active 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Fixer upper alert! This 3 bedroom 1 bath is situated in Kiantone on 4 lots. The home has had many recent updates to mechanicals and is ready for a new owner to finish it off. Offered at an attractive price for a quick sale. Being sold as is. Cash deal or potential owner financing with 50% down
-
2018-12-02soldstatus $5,500 Closed Sale or Rented 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-10-02status Pending Sale 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-10-02status Active 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-09-19historical 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-09-14price $9,900 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-08-27price $15,000 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-07-24price $22,500 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-06-18price $24,900 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-05-21price $29,900 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-04-18price $34,900 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
-
2018-03-19$40,000 Active 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (157 chars)
Cozy 2 bedroom house on the outskirts of town yet near all amenities! Home is being sold as-is Cash only sale! Call today for more info and a private showing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,641 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,641 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$1,641
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,107
- − Management
- −$1,107
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $6,841
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,642
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,281/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615630
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,240
- Composite
- 30.69/100
- National rank
- #6176
- State rank
- #553 of 590 in NY
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #8213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
- City population
- 38,461
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,461
- Household income
- $49,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.93%
- Current HPI
- 259.402
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-0.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-01-28 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-11-21 Sold (MLS) $30,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-09-10 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-09-05 Listed $37,500 UNYREIS
- 2018-12-02 Sold (MLS) $5,500 UNYREIS
- 2018-10-02 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2018-10-02 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2018-09-19 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2018-09-14 Price Changed $9,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-08-27 Price Changed $15,000 UNYREIS
- 2018-07-24 Price Changed $22,500 UNYREIS
- 2018-06-18 Price Changed $24,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-05-21 Price Changed $29,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-04-18 Price Changed $34,900 UNYREIS
- 2018-03-19 Listed $40,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,641 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…