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2725 E Fir St #105
D Composite 44.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -3.9

$47,500

2725 E Fir St #105 · Mount Vernon, WA 98273
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,728 sqft · Manufactured public records
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Built 1980 Average condition $27/sqft · 59% below area ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious and comfortable 3BR/2BA manufactured home offering two living areas and two dining spaces, providing flexibility for everyday living or entertaining. The oversized kitchen features generous storage and double ovens. One living room includes a fireplace with fan, while the second offers plenty of room for larger furniture or hobbies. Ramped, no-step entry and a large primary suite add convenience. Located on a corner lot with RV parking, covered carport, and an additional covered front patio. Two storage sheds, including one with workshop space. Well-proportioned layout with great potential, located in Park Village, a welcoming 55+ community.

Key facts

  • Two dining spaces
  • Oversized kitchen
  • Two living areas

Tags

TWO LIVING AREASTWO DINING SPACESOVERSIZED KITCHENDOUBLE OVENSFIREPLACE WITH FANRAMPED NO-STEP ENTRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $48k).
  • Cap rate 38.1% vs local median 2.4% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#106 in WA, #2,120 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
  • Mount Vernon School District (urban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #189 of 291 in WA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Madison Elementary (512 students, 63% FRL); Mount Baker Middle School (628 students, 73% FRL); Mount Vernon High School (1,977 students, 67% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 117d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 561 units permitted in Skagit County in 2024 (270 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Skagit County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (45%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $47,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.22%
Cap rate
38.05%
Cash-on-cash
113.42%
DSCR
6.05
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$116,500
List price
$47,500
Delta
-59.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2725 E Fir #74 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,754 (+2%) 13mo $120,000 $68 86
2725 E Fir #98 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,578 (-9%) 10mo $78,500 $50 76
2725 E Fir #99 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,524 (-12%) 12mo $82,000 $54 65
2901 Schuller Pl 0.15mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,504 (-13%) 5mo $480,000 $319 62
1801 N 32nd Pl 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-6%) 18mo $450,000 $278 49
1400 N 30th St #129 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,536 (-11%) 19mo $155,000 $101 47
1810 N 32nd Pl 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-6%) 22mo $462,000 $285 44
1800 N 32nd Pl 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-12%) 20mo $450,000 $298 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.34×
Total profit
$71,054
Equity at exit
$7,082
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.00×
Total profit
$159,651
Equity at exit
$4,107

Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
6 active · 5 under contract
Months of supply
12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$87,500 ($59/sqft)
Median days on market
19 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+15.0% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 98273

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
316
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,007 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$249
Tax est. 1.5%
$59 /mo · $712/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$1,257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $416
Max offer price $47,500
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,290 -5% $1,273 +0% $1,257 +5% $1,241 +10% $1,224
Rent -10% $1,099 -5% $1,178 +0% $1,257 +5% $1,336 +10% $1,416
Rate -1.0pp $1,281 -0.5pp $1,269 base $1,257 +0.5pp $1,245 +1.0pp $1,232

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,875
Closing costs
$1,425
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1521 N 26th St Mount Vernon, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0 807 $2,145 $2.66 0d 10 0.32mi
1017 N Viewmont Dr Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 3.5 1608 $2,850 $1.77 6d 1 0.56mi
119 N 29th Pl Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 1.0 1098 $2,700 $2.46 139d 1 0.62mi
2400 Carpenter St Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 1.0 1558 $2,450 $1.57 5d 1 0.76mi
3521 Becky Pl Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.5 1915 $3,200 $1.67 2d 1 0.87mi
2815 E Section St Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 2.0 2100 $2,100 $1.00 139d 1 1.10mi
3129 Arbor St Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.0 1244 $2,600 $2.09 117d 1 1.16mi
3301 Park Ln Unit E Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 2.0 1374 $2,350 $1.71 5d 1 1.21mi
1306 Digby Pl Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.5 1940 $3,500 $1.80 6d 1 1.23mi
202 Dallas St Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.5 1582 $1,375 $0.87 117d 1 1.32mi
2430 W Meadow Blvd Mount Vernon, WA 3.0 2.5 1400 $3,000 $2.14 139d 1 1.33mi
1002 S 12th St Mount Vernon, WA 2.0 1.0 1052 $2,575 $2.45 117d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-22
    days on market $47,500 Active
  2. 2026-09-17
    days on market $47,500 Active 234 DOM
  3. 2026-09-16
    days on market $47,500 Active 233 DOM
  4. 2026-09-15
    days on market $47,500 Active 232 DOM
  5. 2026-09-14
    days on market $47,500 Active 231 DOM
  6. 2026-09-13
    days on market $47,500 Active 230 DOM
  7. 2026-09-12
    days on market $47,500 Active 229 DOM
  8. 2026-09-11
    days on market $47,500 Active 228 DOM
  9. 2026-09-05
    days on market $47,500 Active 222 DOM
  10. 2026-09-04
    days on market $47,500 Active 221 DOM
  11. 2026-09-03
    days on market $47,500 Active 220 DOM
  12. 2026-08-31
    days on market $47,500 Active 217 DOM
  13. 2026-08-30
    days on market $47,500 Active 216 DOM
  14. 2026-08-29
    days on market $47,500 Active 215 DOM
  15. 2026-08-28
    days on market $47,500 Active 214 DOM
  16. 2026-08-27
    days on market $47,500 Active 213 DOM
  17. 2026-08-25
    days on market $47,500 Active 211 DOM
  18. 2026-08-24
    days on market $47,500 Active 210 DOM
  19. 2026-08-23
    days on market $47,500 Active 209 DOM
  20. 2026-08-22
    days on market $47,500 Active 208 DOM
  21. 2026-08-21
    days on market $47,500 Active 207 DOM
  22. 2026-08-20
    days on market $47,500 Active 206 DOM
  23. 2026-08-19
    days on market $47,500 Active 205 DOM
  24. 2026-08-18
    days on market $47,500 Active 204 DOM
  25. 2026-08-17
    days on market $47,500 Active 203 DOM
  26. 2026-08-16
    days on market $47,500 Active 202 DOM
  27. 2026-08-15
    days on market $47,500 Active 201 DOM
  28. 2026-08-15
    days on market $47,500 Active 200 DOM
  29. 2026-08-13
    days on market $47,500 Active 199 DOM
  30. 2026-08-12
    days on market $47,500 Active 198 DOM
  31. 2026-08-11
    days on market $47,500 Active 197 DOM
  32. 2026-08-10
    days on market $47,500 Active 196 DOM
  33. 2026-08-09
    days on market $47,500 Active 195 DOM
  34. 2026-08-08
    days on market $47,500 Active 194 DOM
  35. 2026-08-07
    days on market $47,500 Active 193 DOM
  36. 2026-08-06
    days on market $47,500 Active 192 DOM
  37. 2026-08-05
    days on market $47,500 Active 191 DOM
  38. 2026-08-04
    days on market $47,500 Active 190 DOM
  39. 2026-08-03
    days on market $47,500 Active 189 DOM
  40. 2026-07-31
    days on market $47,500 Active 186 DOM
  41. 2026-07-30
    days on market $47,500 Active 185 DOM
  42. 2026-07-29
    days on market $47,500 Active 184 DOM
  43. 2026-07-27
    days on market $47,500 Active 182 DOM
  44. 2026-07-25
    days on market $47,500 Active 180 DOM
  45. 2026-07-24
    days on market $47,500 Active 179 DOM
  46. 2026-07-23
    days on market $47,500 Active 178 DOM
  47. 2026-07-22
    days on market $47,500 Active 177 DOM
  48. 2026-07-21
    days on market $47,500 Active 176 DOM
  49. 2026-07-18
    days on market $47,500 Active 173 DOM
  50. 2026-07-16
    days on market $47,500 Active 171 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥81°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,081
− Mortgage interest
−$2,661
− Property taxes
−$712
− Insurance
−$238
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,926
− Management
−$1,926
− Depreciation
−$1,382
Taxable income
$15,236
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,657
After-tax cash flow
$11,428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,640–$25,920 screening

A well-maintained, average-condition manufactured home with potential for cosmetic upgrades to enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint — Some discoloration on exterior
  • Minor Flooring — Carpet wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and value
  • Both Update kitchen appliances — Modernizes and increases value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Zoned Schools

Elementary Harriet Rowley Middle Mount Baker Middle School High Mount Vernon High School

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Vernon School District
NCES district ID
5305400
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$50,829
Composite
40.14/100
National rank
#7848
State rank
#189 of 291 in WA
B Composite livability gradescore 79/100

Livability — Mount Vernon

Score
79/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#2120

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Vernon, WA
County
Skagit County · 131,498 people
City population
48,861
Metro
Mount Vernon-Anacortes, WA
Population (ZIP)
30,001
Household income
$76,717
Rent vs Own
38.6% rent · 61.4% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Skagit County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
131,498 people
By 2030
135,556 · +3.1%
By 2040
141,717 · +7.8%
By 2050
145,714 · +10.8%
By 2075
152,201 · +15.7%
By 2100
147,980 · +12.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 25% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Skagit

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.9) · D 52.9% · R 44.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 9.6pp · 2024: 8.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.9 2020: D+7.5 2016: D+3.2 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+9.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-31.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $60,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-27 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $80,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $87,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $20 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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