🔨 Auction
32475 Sawmill Rd · Erhard, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LIVE AUCTION ON SAT. JUNE 13TH TRACT 1 - LONG LAKE HOME . Well-Kept Lake/Country Home Over-looking Long Lake . Property Features 3 Bedroom 3 Bath Home w/ Decks on Each Side . Home Features Hot Tub and Basement Bar/Entertainment Room . Tuck-under Garage/Workshop and Nice Double Detached Garage . Property Recently Updated with New Mound System . Great Country Acreage with Beautiful Views Overlooking the Lake TRACT 2 - BUILDABLE LONG LAKE LOT . Buildable 100ft x 300ft Lake Lot w/ Frontage and Overlooking Long Lake . Beautiful Views - Perfect for Building Your Dream Lake Home . Ideal for those Desiring Both - Home Property Overlooks the Lake Lot * Properties will be Sold Individually w/
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Long lake home
- New mound system
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 2.8 acres; Above-grade finished area and main-level finished area noted; Total living area approximately 2,810 square feet
- Financial info: Has additional parcels
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel driveway; Tuck-under garage; 4-car garage (26x32)
- Utilities: Private well water; Mound septic (compliant); Propane fuel
- Home design: Residential property; One story
- Construction: Block, concrete and frame construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built with finished areas above and below grade
- Exterior features: Deck; Lakefront property; Road between home and waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; Bar/wet bar; Den; Dining room; Living room; Sauna
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#742 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Fergus Falls Public School District (town): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #46 of 301 in MN (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cleveland Elementary (math 71% / reading 60%, grade B+, #123 of 857 statewide, top 15%, 369 students, 47% FRL); Kennedy Middle School (math 57% / reading 63%, grade B, #25 of 258 statewide, top 9%, 769 students, 43% FRL); Kennedy High School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C, #64 of 471 statewide, top 16%, 685 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 24% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 140 units permitted in Otter Tail County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 132007.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1251424.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4469350.24%
- DSCR
- 198861.94
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 237286.05×
- Total profit
- $66,440
- Equity at exit
- $1
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 512365.35×
- Total profit
- $143,462
- Equity at exit
- $1
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56534
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 10
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,320 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $1,043
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,043 | -5% $1,043 | +0% $1,043 | +5% $1,043 | +10% $1,043 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $939 | -5% $991 | +0% $1,043 | +5% $1,095 | +10% $1,147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,043 | -0.5pp $1,043 | base $1,043 | +0.5pp $1,043 | +1.0pp $1,043 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $1 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $1 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-14$1 Active 811-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$0
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,267
- − Management
- −$1,267
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $13,306
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,193
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fergus Falls Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711880
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,044
- Composite
- 50.89/100
- National rank
- #1790
- State rank
- #46 of 301 in MN
Livability — Erhard
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #742
- US rank
- #18133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,287
Population outlook (Otter Tail County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,183 people
- By 2030
- 58,267 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 57,999 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 57,183 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 57,638 · -0.9%
- By 2100
- 54,697 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 34% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otter Tail
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.2) · D 32.1% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -34.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.68%
- Current HPI
- 223.2758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,050 · -4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…