#44 Loo Bridge Ln Unit 14b · Windham, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$319,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW PRICE! Turn Key! Pride of Ownership shows in this Windham Ridge 2 bedroom 2.5 bath, come and be part of the Windham Family in this sweet year round community. 1st level has Primary ensuite, and guest room with its own bath. 2nd level opens up to a spacious great room with open concept, bright and sunny. Fully equipped kitchen, A wood burning fireplace for those chilly days, vaulted ceilings and large sliders to let in the sun and peaceful country views with wood deck to enjoy all and take in the sun and relax outdoors. this level also has a third bedroom with a bath, to be used when needed . all very well taken care, , sold with basic furnishings and full kitchen. . Located minutes to skiing, golfing, hiking, biking and all that Windham has to offer, with great restaurants, brewery and movie Theatre and much more. Reasonable Taxes and HOA.
Key facts
- Large sliders
- Wood deck
- Primary ensuite
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $319k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-136 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (6.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (17.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.4% in Windham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#964 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, cost of living D+.
- Windham-Ashland-Jewett Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #517 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
- Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.83%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $289,113
- List price
- $319,000
- Delta
- 10.34%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79 Windham Ridge Rd Unit 17A | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 | 1,211 (0%) | 9mo | $269,000 | $222 | 88 |
| 73 Windham Ridge Rd Unit 16h | 0.07mi | 2/2.5 | 1,058 (-13%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $293 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $65,905
- Equity at exit
- $181,860
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $206,400
- Equity at exit
- $314,768
Cash invested: $89,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12496
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 141
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,618 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,673
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$399 /mo · $4,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$550
- Net cashflow
- $-136
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,750
- Closing costs
- $9,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $319,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $319,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $319,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $319,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-26price $319,000 857-char remark
Show marketing remark (857 chars)
NEW PRICE! Turn Key! Pride of Ownership shows in this Windham Ridge 2 bedroom 2.5 bath, come and be part of the Windham Family in this sweet year round community. 1st level has Primary ensuite, and guest room with its own bath. 2nd level opens up to a spacious great room with open concept, bright and sunny. Fully equipped kitchen, A wood burning fireplace for those chilly days, vaulted ceilings and large sliders to let in the sun and peaceful country views with wood deck to enjoy all and take in the sun and relax outdoors. this level also has a third bedroom with a bath, to be used when needed . all very well taken care, , sold with basic furnishings and full kitchen. . Located minutes to skiing, golfing, hiking, biking and all that Windham has to offer, with great restaurants, brewery and movie Theatre and much more. Reasonable Taxes and HOA.
-
2026-03-19$339,000 Active 857-char remark
Show marketing remark (857 chars)
NEW PRICE! Turn Key! Pride of Ownership shows in this Windham Ridge 2 bedroom 2.5 bath, come and be part of the Windham Family in this sweet year round community. 1st level has Primary ensuite, and guest room with its own bath. 2nd level opens up to a spacious great room with open concept, bright and sunny. Fully equipped kitchen, A wood burning fireplace for those chilly days, vaulted ceilings and large sliders to let in the sun and peaceful country views with wood deck to enjoy all and take in the sun and relax outdoors. this level also has a third bedroom with a bath, to be used when needed . all very well taken care, , sold with basic furnishings and full kitchen. . Located minutes to skiing, golfing, hiking, biking and all that Windham has to offer, with great restaurants, brewery and movie Theatre and much more. Reasonable Taxes and HOA.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,416
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,869
- − Property taxes
- −$4,785
- − Insurance
- −$1,595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,513
- − Management
- −$2,513
- − Depreciation
- −$9,280
- Taxable loss
- −$7,139
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,713
- After-tax cash flow
- $78/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This townhouse is in good condition with no major repairs needed. It has a good exterior and interior condition, and the landscaping and curb appeal are also in good condition. The home is turn-key and ready for new owners.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and make it look more attractive to potential buyers.
- Rental Clean the gutters — Clean gutters can prevent water damage and improve the home's overall appearance, which can attract more renters.
- Both Inspect and replace any damaged windows — Replacing damaged windows can improve the home's energy efficiency, reduce heating and cooling costs, and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and make it look more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Clean the gutters — Clean gutters can prevent water damage and improve the home's overall appearance, which can attract more renters. ↑
- Both Inspect and replace any damaged windows — Replacing damaged windows can improve the home's energy efficiency, reduce heating and cooling costs, and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Windham-Ashland-Jewett Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631590
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,942
- Composite
- 42.57/100
- National rank
- #6842
- State rank
- #517 of 755 in NY
Livability — Windham
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #964
- US rank
- #18888
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,241
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,963 people
- By 2030
- 43,126 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 38,756 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 34,913 · -22.4%
- By 2075
- 28,156 · -37.4%
- By 2100
- 22,296 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 5% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Current HPI
- 425.2138
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $319,000 HVCRMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $339,000 HVCRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…