102 Pearl St · Cambridge City, IN
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$29,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1969
- Listed 394 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $29k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $29k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#387 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Western Wayne Schools (town): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #215 of 301 in IN (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $267 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 395 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 395 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 83.67%
- DSCR
- 4.72
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,723
- List price
- $29,000
- Delta
- -77.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 505 N Lincoln Dr | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 1,266 (+1%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $126 | 81 |
| 207 Orchard St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-4%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $108 | 68 |
| 208 W Front St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 1,360 (+9%) | 10mo | $55,000 | $40 | 46 |
| 13 S 4th St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,142 (-8%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $123 | 41 |
| 308 W Parkway Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-1%) | 24mo | $20,000 | $16 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 75.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.67×
- Total profit
- $29,839
- Equity at exit
- $7,111
- IRR
- 77.7%
- Equity multiple
- 9.60×
- Total profit
- $69,807
- Equity at exit
- $7,562
Cash invested: $8,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47327
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,042 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$152
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $516 | -5% $508 | +0% $500 | +5% $492 | +10% $483 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $417 | -5% $459 | +0% $500 | +5% $541 | +10% $582 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $514 | -0.5pp $507 | base $500 | +0.5pp $492 | +1.0pp $485 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,250
- Closing costs
- $870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $29,000 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,000 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,000 Active 393 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,000 Active 392 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,000 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $29,000 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $29,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,000 Active 383 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $29,000 Active 380 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,000 Active 379 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $29,000 Active 375 DOM
-
2026-01-06status Active
-
2025-05-14$29,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,114 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,114 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,624
- − Property taxes
- −$1,114
- − Insurance
- −$942
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,000
- − Management
- −$1,000
- − Depreciation
- −$844
- Taxable income
- $5,979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,435
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,562/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western Wayne Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1813050
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,067
- Composite
- 27.68/100
- National rank
- #6913
- State rank
- #215 of 301 in IN
Livability — Cambridge City
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #387
- US rank
- #14324
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cambridge City, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,384
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,316 people
- By 2030
- 60,893 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 55,386 · -12.5%
- By 2050
- 49,946 · -21.1%
- By 2075
- 37,900 · -40.1%
- By 2100
- 26,562 · -58.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Polish 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.5) · D 32.9% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -32.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.5 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+30.1 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.92%
- Current HPI
- 243.63
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-06 Relisted — ECIAOR
- 2025-05-14 Listed $29,000 ECIAOR
Property tax history
+87.6%/yrLatest (2024): $1,114 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…