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9611 Otsego St
C- Composite 52.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$15,000

9611 Otsego St · Detroit, MI 48204
16 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,980 sqft · Townhouse public records · 90 Days on market
Built 1923 5,663 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to invest in the city of Detroit. This brick Quadplex is located in Detroit's Nardin Park neighborhood and zoned R2. Property needs full rehab. Buyer must submit a proposal to purchase. This should include detailed plans for rehab & financing plan w/ Proof Of Funds OR Pre- Approval letter on a new construction loan. Please note that the DLBA is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatement on the purchase and development financing. BATVAI. See attached documents for DLBA requirements and offer submission information. other Detroit

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Built 1923
  • Listed 90 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 16-bed/4.0-bath townhouse listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $14k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 102.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,630/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($104 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $14,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
10.87%
Cap rate
102.09%
Cash-on-cash
342.12%
DSCR
16.22
GRM
0.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
21.11×
Total profit
$84,450
Equity at exit
$13,513
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
45.94×
Total profit
$188,750
Equity at exit
$29,142

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
0.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,630 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax from tax record
$5 /mo · $63/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$1,197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $114
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 22%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-03-23
    status Pending 955-char remark
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Great opportunity to invest in the city of Detroit. This brick Quadplex is located in Detroit's Nardin Park neighborhood and zoned R2. Property needs full rehab. Buyer must submit a proposal to purchase. This should include detailed plans for rehab & financing plan w/ Proof Of Funds OR Pre- Approval letter on a new construction loan. Please note that the DLBA is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatement on the purchase and development financing. BATVAI. See attached documents for DLBA requirements and offer submission information. other Detroit

  2. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Great opportunity to invest in the city of Detroit. This brick Quadplex is located in Detroit's Nardin Park neighborhood and zoned R2. Property needs full rehab. Buyer must submit a proposal to purchase. This should include detailed plans for rehab & financing plan w/ Proof Of Funds OR Pre- Approval letter on a new construction loan. Please note that the DLBA is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatement on the purchase and development financing. BATVAI. See attached documents for DLBA requirements and offer submission information. other Detroit

  3. 2025-12-23
    listed $15,000 Active 955-char remark
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Great opportunity to invest in the city of Detroit. This brick Quadplex is located in Detroit's Nardin Park neighborhood and zoned R2. Property needs full rehab. Buyer must submit a proposal to purchase. This should include detailed plans for rehab & financing plan w/ Proof Of Funds OR Pre- Approval letter on a new construction loan. Please note that the DLBA is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatement on the purchase and development financing. BATVAI. See attached documents for DLBA requirements and offer submission information. other Detroit

  4. 2025-12-23
    listed $15,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (955 chars)

    Great opportunity to invest in the city of Detroit. This brick Quadplex is located in Detroit's Nardin Park neighborhood and zoned R2. Property needs full rehab. Buyer must submit a proposal to purchase. This should include detailed plans for rehab & financing plan w/ Proof Of Funds OR Pre- Approval letter on a new construction loan. Please note that the DLBA is entitled to a tax capture for the 5 tax years subsequent to transferring ownership of the property. The tax capture may be incompatible with tax abatement that are otherwise available to the selected purchaser. DLBA will review requests to waive its tax capture rights and may require a payment in lieu of taxes to approve such requests. The payment will be determined upon reviewing the development proforma and effect of any tax abatement on the purchase and development financing. BATVAI. See attached documents for DLBA requirements and offer submission information. other Detroit

  5. 2025-06-15
    historical
  6. 2025-06-15
    historical
  7. 2025-02-08
    price $55,000
  8. 2025-02-07
    price $55,000
  9. 2024-07-09
    listed $60,000 Active
  10. 2024-07-09
    listed $60,000 Active
  11. 2024-07-09
    historical
  12. 2024-07-09
    historical
  13. 2011-04-30
    historical
  14. 2010-12-03
    listed $15,000
  15. 2006-09-21
    soldstatus $85,000
  16. 2006-01-30
    soldstatus $85,000
  17. 2006-01-20
    historical
  18. 2005-11-09
    listed $90,000
  19. 2002-07-16
    historical
  20. 2002-01-16
    listed $79,900
  21. 2002-01-16
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$63 · $5/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$147 · $12/mo
Expected delta
+$84/yr (+$7/mo · 133.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,558
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$63
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,565
− Management
−$1,565
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$15,014
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,603
After-tax cash flow
$10,766/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-81.2% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-08 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-02-07 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-09 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-07-09 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-09 Coming Soon REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-09 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-04-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-12-03 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2006-01-30 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-01-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-11-09 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-07-16 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-01-16 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2002-01-16 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-14.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $63 · -25.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…