1701 E Leon St · Gatesville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 46.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Soecial! Total Remodel. Large Floorplan. Big backyard. Original hardwood floors. Walking distance to the HEB and Main Street.
Key facts
- Big backyard
- Large floorplan
- Total remodel
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $60k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.8% vs local median 3.9% in Gatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#702 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Gatesville ISD (town): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #409 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 386 units permitted in Coryell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 46% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.24%
- DSCR
- 3.15
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,168
- List price
- $62,000
- Delta
- -72.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1306 Pleasant St | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,733 (-6%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $153 | 68 |
| 1710 Saunders St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,706 (-8%) | 5mo | $232,500 | $136 | 68 |
| 1602 Saunders St | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (-13%) | 1mo | $196,000 | $122 | 67 |
| 506 S 6th St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,988 (+8%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $38 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $34,488
- Equity at exit
- $9,244
- IRR
- 51.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.05×
- Total profit
- $87,622
- Equity at exit
- $5,361
Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76528
- Home prices YoY
- -24.2%
- Active inventory
- 222
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,559 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,193/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $698
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,500
- Closing costs
- $1,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Stillhouse Rd Gatesville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,380 | $0.79 | 13d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1315 Greens Private Dr Gatesville, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,350 | $0.84 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $62,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $62,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $62,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $62,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $62,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $62,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $62,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $62,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $62,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $62,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $62,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $62,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $62,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $62,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $62,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $62,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-17historical Active Option Contract 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Investor Soecial! Total Remodel. Large Floorplan. Big backyard. Original hardwood floors. Walking distance to the HEB and Main Street.
-
2026-04-03$68,000 Active 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Investor Soecial! Total Remodel. Large Floorplan. Big backyard. Original hardwood floors. Walking distance to the HEB and Main Street.
-
2026-02-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,193 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,193 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 46% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,707
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,473
- − Property taxes
- −$2,193
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,497
- − Management
- −$1,497
- − Depreciation
- −$1,804
- Taxable income
- $7,935
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,904
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,470/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gatesville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820500
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,114
- Composite
- 34.21/100
- National rank
- #5264
- State rank
- #409 of 826 in TX
Livability — Gatesville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #702
- US rank
- #13121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gatesville, TX
- County
- Coryell County · 61,053 people
- City population
- 18,935
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,935
- Household income
- $70,558
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 243.0
Population outlook (Coryell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,485 people
- By 2030
- 75,627 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 74,898 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 74,221 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 72,688 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 66,862 · -11.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coryell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.18%
- Current HPI
- 206.6876
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Killeen-Temple, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $68,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,193 · -6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…