2382 Ory Dr · Brusly, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! **NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED**
Key facts
- 0.31 acre lot
- Built 1994
- Listed 212 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (11.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#115 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- West Baton Rouge Parish (suburban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #35 of 98 in LA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 144 units permitted in West Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- West Baton Rouge County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $240k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.19%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $285,657
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -15.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2209 Live Oak Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,681 (+9%) | 4mo | $269,900 | $161 | 78 |
| 2434 Orleans Quarters Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (+9%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $166 | 67 |
| 2250 Allene St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,683 (+9%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $131 | 64 |
| 2037 Live Oak Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,745 (+13%) | 9mo | $233,000 | $134 | 61 |
| 3250 Orleans Quarters Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,689 (+9%) | 0mo | $284,900 | $169 | 55 |
| 1671 Allene St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (-10%) | 18mo | $259,500 | $186 | 48 |
| 1643 Orleans Quarters Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,754 (+14%) | 16mo | $310,000 | $177 | 43 |
| 3230 Orleans Quarters Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,732 (+12%) | 22mo | $285,000 | $165 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-27,580
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-9,620
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70719
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Active inventory
- 32
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,135 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$149 /mo · $1,794/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $179
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 River Mill Dr Brusly, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $2,150 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4414 Olivia Dr Addis, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3476 Sweetwater Blvd Addis, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1095 | $1,886 | $1.72 | 14d | 31 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-04-01price $240,000 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *
-
2026-04-01price $240,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *
-
2026-01-05price $255,000 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *
-
2026-01-05price $255,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *
-
2025-11-18price $265,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *
-
2025-11-18$265,000 Active 339-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *
-
2025-11-18$257,000 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *
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2005-03-01soldstatus $99,646
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2005-02-25soldstatus
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2004-10-21$94,900
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2004-10-21$94,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,794 · $149/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,794 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,794
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,050
- − Management
- −$2,050
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$1,899
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$456
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201920
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -36.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,141
- Composite
- 29.26/100
- National rank
- #6562
- State rank
- #35 of 98 in LA
Livability — Brusly
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #11213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brusly, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,317
Population outlook (West Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,932 people
- By 2030
- 30,562 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 33,604 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 36,324 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 42,619 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 45,321 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 10% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · West Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.7) · D 43.4% · R 55.1% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -11.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.7 2020: R+10.5 2016: R+12.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.35%
- Current HPI
- 167.6235
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+152.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $240,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $255,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $255,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $265,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $257,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $265,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $99,646 Public Records
- 2005-02-25 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2004-10-21 Listed $94,900 GBRMLS
- 2004-10-21 Listed $94,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,794 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…