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2382 Ory Dr
C- Composite 52.6
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

2382 Ory Dr · Brusly, LA 70719
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,546 sqft · SingleFamily · 212 Days on market
Built 1994 0.31 ac lot $155/sqft · 16% below area Est $286k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

"Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! **NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED**

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • Built 1994
  • Listed 212 days

Tags

NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (11.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#115 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • West Baton Rouge Parish (suburban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #35 of 98 in LA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 144 units permitted in West Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • West Baton Rouge County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $240k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $211,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.19%
Cash-on-cash
3.19%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$285,657
List price
$240,000
Delta
-15.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2209 Live Oak Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,681 (+9%) 4mo $269,900 $161 78
2434 Orleans Quarters Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,689 (+9%) 3mo $280,000 $166 67
2250 Allene St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,683 (+9%) 11mo $220,000 $131 64
2037 Live Oak Dr 0.17mi 3/2.5 1,745 (+13%) 9mo $233,000 $134 61
3250 Orleans Quarters Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,689 (+9%) 0mo $284,900 $169 55
1671 Allene St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,394 (-10%) 18mo $259,500 $186 48
1643 Orleans Quarters Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,754 (+14%) 16mo $310,000 $177 43
3230 Orleans Quarters Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,732 (+12%) 22mo $285,000 $165 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-27,580
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-9,620
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70719

Home prices YoY
-31.6%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,135 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$149 /mo · $1,794/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$448
Net cashflow
$179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,909
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
205 River Mill Dr Brusly, LA 3.0 2.0 1393 $2,150 $1.54 14d 1 1.10mi
4414 Olivia Dr Addis, LA 3.0 2.0 1642 $2,300 $1.40 23d 1 1.44mi
3476 Sweetwater Blvd Addis, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1095 $1,886 $1.72 14d 31 1.47mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 212 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 211 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 210 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 209 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $240,000 Active 207 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 206 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,000 Active 204 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 203 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 202 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 201 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 197 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 196 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 195 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 194 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 193 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    price $240,000 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    "Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *

  17. 2026-04-01
    price $240,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    "Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *

  18. 2026-01-05
    price $255,000 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    "Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *

  19. 2026-01-05
    price $255,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    "Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *

  20. 2025-11-18
    price $265,000 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    "Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *

  21. 2025-11-18
    listed $265,000 Active 339-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    "Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *

  22. 2025-11-18
    listed $257,000 Active 346-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    "Price Improvement" Check out this listing in the heart of Brusly! This beautifully maintained 3BR/2BA could be yours. This home offers the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience. Freshly painted and move in ready. Seller will contribute towards closing cost. Schedule your showing today!! * * NO FLOOD INSURANCE REQUIRED * *

  23. 2005-03-01
    soldstatus $99,646
  24. 2005-02-25
    soldstatus
  25. 2004-10-21
    listed $94,900
  26. 2004-10-21
    listed $94,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,794 · $149/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,794 · $149/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,619
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$1,794
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,050
− Management
−$2,050
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$1,899
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$456
After-tax cash flow
$2,598/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2201920
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -36.00%
Median HH income
$52,141
Composite
29.26/100
National rank
#6562
State rank
#35 of 98 in LA

Livability — Brusly

Score
66/100
State rank
#115
US rank
#11213

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brusly, LA
Population (ZIP)
4,317

Population outlook (West Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,932 people
By 2030
30,562 · +5.6%
By 2040
33,604 · +16.1%
By 2050
36,324 · +25.5%
By 2075
42,619 · +47.3%
By 2100
45,321 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · West Baton Rouge

2024 margin
R (+11.7) · D 43.4% · R 55.1% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.9pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -11.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.7 2020: R+10.5 2016: R+12.2 2012: R+9.6 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.35%
Current HPI
167.6235
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+152.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $240,000 GBRMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $255,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $255,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $265,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $257,000 GBRMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $265,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2005-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $99,646 Public Records
  • 2005-02-25 Sold (MLS) GBRMLS
  • 2004-10-21 Listed $94,900 GBRMLS
  • 2004-10-21 Listed $94,900 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,794 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…