7393 N Lima Rd · Poland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1929 all the charm, character, leaded glass bookcases, original doors and trim in prestine condition. This is an Adorable 2 bedroom 1 full bath with walk in shower. A fixer upper that has so much potential. You can feel the love and warmth as soon as you walk in. Hard wood floors under all the carpet. A second story that is now unfinished attic space with wood floors can be finished into anything you can dream up whether it be a master suite, studio, living area/play room the oppurtunites are endless with that space. A beautiful covered front porch to sit and drink your morning coffee or relax with a drink on a warm summer night. A large newer detached 2 car garage. You wont want to miss th
Key facts
- Hard wood floors
- Covered front porch
- 0.27 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Front porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Wall cooling units
- Interior features: Full basement; Living room; Dining room; Front porch; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.4% in Poland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#72 in OH, #1,108 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Poland Local (suburban): math 70% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #94 of 656 in OH (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $160k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.00%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,066
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -13.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7329 Clovermeade Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,291 (+3%) | 8mo | $286,000 | $222 | 79 |
| 7435 Forest Hill Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (+4%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $195 | 77 |
| 7295 Clovermeade Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,302 (+4%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $219 | 76 |
| 7288 Clovermeade Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+1%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $194 | 74 |
| 7219 N Lima Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (-6%) | 9mo | $183,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 7277 Clovermeade Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,136 (-9%) | 10mo | $162,000 | $143 | 66 |
| 7562 Forest Hill Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,186 (-5%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $194 | 65 |
| 7108 Indian Trl | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (+6%) | 6mo | $282,500 | $213 | 63 |
| 7673 N Lima Rd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-8%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $182 | 62 |
| 2725 Highland Ave | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-8%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $187 | 50 |
| 8082 N Lima Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,166 (-7%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $210 | 47 |
| 20 Nesbitt St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,419 (+13%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $152 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,524
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $23,576
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44514
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,752 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,721/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2670 Center Rd Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18status $159,900 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Contingent 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Contingent 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Contingent 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Contingent 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Contingent 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Contingent 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Contingent 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Contingent 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Contingent 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $159,900 Contingent 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Contingent 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Contingent 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Contingent 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Contingent 17 DOM
-
2026-05-18historical Contingent 714-char remark
-
2026-05-13$159,900 Active 714-char remark
-
1993-11-29soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,721 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,108 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 22.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,030
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,721
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,682
- − Management
- −$1,682
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $1,536
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$369
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,662/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poland Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904834
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,236
- Composite
- 64.21/100
- National rank
- #564
- State rank
- #94 of 656 in OH
Livability — Poland
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #1108
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mahoning County · 84,956 people
- City population
- 23,917
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,917
- Household income
- $79,808
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 411.0
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.78%
- Current HPI
- 210.5511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+299.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-13 Listed $159,900 MLSNOW
- 1993-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,721 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…