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B Composite 72.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$38,000

263 Hamlin St · Gary, IN 46406
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,065 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1975 6,229 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all First Time Home Buyers, Investors, Rehabbers and Flippers! Here is an opportunity to bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home! It is just waiting on you to put your touches on it and make it yours! Home is in move in condidtion, only thing needed is a little TLC. Home is sold As-Is, Sellers will not make any repairs.

Key facts

  • 6,229 sq ft lot
  • Built 1975

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
  • Cap rate 35.0% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $741 of equity ($263 loan paydown + $478 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $38,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.90%
Cap rate
34.99%
Cash-on-cash
102.48%
DSCR
5.56
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$97,980
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
308 Hamlin St 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,015 (-5%) 11mo $125,000 $123 78
286 Gerry St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,023 (-4%) 12mo $40,000 $39 71
419-23 Hobart St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,050 (-1%) 24mo $100,000 $95 59
769 Hamlin St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,073 (+1%) 19mo $110,000 $103 55
796 Burr St 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-5%) 16mo $92,800 $92 42
621 Clinton St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,110 (+4%) 22mo $52,500 $47 42
528 Mount St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,102 (+4%) 24mo $95,000 $86 38
714 Ralston St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 938 (-12%) 13mo $26,000 $28 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.55×
Total profit
$59,083
Equity at exit
$13,484
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.57×
Total profit
$133,790
Equity at exit
$18,320

Cash invested: $10,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46406

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,483 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$199
Tax est. 1.5%
$48 /mo · $570/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$909

Break-even live

Break-even rent $332
Max offer price $38,000
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,500
Closing costs
$1,140
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
743 Hanley St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 1d 1 0.81mi
395 Porter St Gary, IN 4.0 2.0 1472 $1,700 $1.15 6d 1 0.90mi
1043 Mount St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 1d 1 1.16mi
6320 Rhode Island Ave Hammond, IN 3.0 1.0 916 $1,550 $1.69 3d 1 1.32mi
6610 Rhode Island Ave Hammond, IN 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,600 $1.56 7d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2021-03-22
    historical
  2. 2021-03-05
    listed $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,791
− Mortgage interest
−$2,129
− Property taxes
−$570
− Insurance
−$190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,423
− Management
−$1,423
− Depreciation
−$1,105
Taxable income
$10,950
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,628
After-tax cash flow
$8,275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
City population
63,701
Population (ZIP)
8,513

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.26%
Current HPI
147.0732
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2021-03-22 Listing Removed NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-05 Listed $38,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…