263 Hamlin St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
$38,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all First Time Home Buyers, Investors, Rehabbers and Flippers! Here is an opportunity to bring your ideas to this 3 bedroom, 1 bath home! It is just waiting on you to put your touches on it and make it yours! Home is in move in condidtion, only thing needed is a little TLC. Home is sold As-Is, Sellers will not make any repairs.
Key facts
- 6,229 sq ft lot
- Built 1975
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
- Cap rate 35.0% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $741 of equity ($263 loan paydown + $478 appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 102.48%
- DSCR
- 5.56
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $97,980
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 Hamlin St | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,015 (-5%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $123 | 78 |
| 286 Gerry St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,023 (-4%) | 12mo | $40,000 | $39 | 71 |
| 419-23 Hobart St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-1%) | 24mo | $100,000 | $95 | 59 |
| 769 Hamlin St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (+1%) | 19mo | $110,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 796 Burr St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-5%) | 16mo | $92,800 | $92 | 42 |
| 621 Clinton St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,110 (+4%) | 22mo | $52,500 | $47 | 42 |
| 528 Mount St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (+4%) | 24mo | $95,000 | $86 | 38 |
| 714 Ralston St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 938 (-12%) | 13mo | $26,000 | $28 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.55×
- Total profit
- $59,083
- Equity at exit
- $13,484
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.57×
- Total profit
- $133,790
- Equity at exit
- $18,320
Cash invested: $10,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46406
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$199
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$48 /mo · $570/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $909
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,500
- Closing costs
- $1,140
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 743 Hanley St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 395 Porter St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1043 Mount St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6320 Rhode Island Ave Hammond, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,550 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6610 Rhode Island Ave Hammond, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,600 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2021-03-22historical
-
2021-03-05$38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,791
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,129
- − Property taxes
- −$570
- − Insurance
- −$190
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$1,105
- Taxable income
- $10,950
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,628
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- City population
- 63,701
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,513
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.26%
- Current HPI
- 147.0732
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2021-03-22 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-05 Listed $38,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…