11365 Johnson Aly · Bayou La Batre, AL 36544

$25,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 139 sqft · Other public records · 36 Days on market

Built 1979 0.50 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This investment opportunity is ready for a new owner. Located in a country setting and sitting on half an acre, this property offers a peaceful feel with plenty of natural surroundings and privacy. This home is ready for a full renovation and gives the next owner a chance to bring their own vision to life. It could be a great option for a buyer looking for a project, future resale opportunity, rental potential, or a property to make their own over time. With the right updates and care, this property has plenty of room to add value. If you have been looking for a project with space, privacy, and potential, this one is a for sure must see!

Key facts

• Rental potential
• Space
• Privacy

Tags

• FULL RENOVATION
• RENTAL POTENTIAL
• ADD VALUE
• SPACE
• PRIVACY

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No designated parking
• Utilities: Public sewer; Other electric and utility services
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Concrete construction; Built in 1979; Slab foundation
• Exterior features: No notable exterior features; No fencing; No pool or spa; Property has a view; No waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Other kitchen features
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Other flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Other interior features; No fireplace; Basement not present
• Laundry & utility: Other utilities/appliances

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $25k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $655 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
• Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 37.7% vs local median 4.5% in Bayou La Batre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 53/100 on livability (#493 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Dixon Elementary School (math 14% / reading 48%, grade F, #360 of 627 statewide, top 58%, 503 students, 76% FRL); Alma Bryant High School (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #184 of 305 statewide, top 61%, 1,617 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 68% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $24,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.14% ✓
• Cap rate: 37.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 112.25%
• DSCR: 5.99
• GRM: 2.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 6.38×
• Total profit: $37,662
• Equity at exit: $3,728

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 13.36×
• Total profit: $86,536
• Equity at exit: $2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36544

• Home prices YoY: -17.6%
• Active inventory: 84
• Price-to-rent: 2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,036 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$131
• Tax from tax record: −$22 /mo · $268/yr
• Insurance: −$10
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$218
• Net cashflow: $655

Break-even live

Break-even rent $207

Max offer price $25,000

Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $669	-5% $662	+0% $655	+5% $648	+10% $641
Rent	-10% $573	-5% $614	+0% $655	+5% $696	+10% $737
Rate	-1.0pp $667	-0.5pp $661	base $655	+0.5pp $648	+1.0pp $642

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $6,250
• Closing costs: $750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $25,000 Active 36 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $25,000 Active 33 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   price $25,000 Active 32 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $30,000 Active 32 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $30,000 Active 31 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $30,000 Active 30 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $30,000 Active 28 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $30,000 Active 27 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $30,000 Active 25 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    remarks 645-char remark
11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $30,000 Active 24 DOM
12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $30,000 Active 23 DOM
13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 22 DOM
14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $30,000 Active 19 DOM
15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $30,000 Active 18 DOM
16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 17 DOM
17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 16 DOM
18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 15 DOM
19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $30,000 Active 14 DOM
20. 2026-05-16
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $268 · $22/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $268 · $22/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,435
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,400
• − Property taxes: −$268
• − Insurance: −$125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$995
• − Management: −$995
• − Depreciation: −$727
• Taxable income: $7,925
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,902
• After-tax cash flow: $5,955/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mobile County
• NCES district ID: 0102370
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,455
• Composite: 22.9/100
• National rank: #8002
• State rank: #81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bayou La Batre

• Score: 53/100
• State rank: #493
• US rank: #24654

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing B Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• City population: 1,462
• Population (ZIP): 10,800

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 415,303 people
• By 2030: 411,755 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 399,670 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 382,616 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 337,353 · -18.8%
• By 2100: 283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (79%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 79% Asian 8% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Vietnam, Canada
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Vietnamese 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

• 2024 margin: R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -44.84%
• Current HPI: 210.5625
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-16 Listed $30,000 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

+17.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $268 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.