1333 3rd St · Lutcher, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Located near Lutcher High School, it offers convenience along with a spacious yard and solid layout. The property includes an additional area that could easily be converted into a third bedroom, office, or flex space. There's also a 1-car garage for parking or extra storage. This home does need significant repairs and updates, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a property to their liking.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Office
- Flex space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#98 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- St. James Parish (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #30 of 98 in LA (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Paulina Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #224 of 646 statewide, top 37%, 774 students, 61% FRL); Lutcher High School (math 35% / reading 48%, grade F, #71 of 265 statewide, top 27%, 1,043 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in St. James Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- St. James County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $76k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.18%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,691
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -51.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1871 George Street St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,653 (+2%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $125 | 72 |
| 2220 S Central Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-1%) | 2mo | $198,000 | $124 | 69 |
| 1179 Desoto Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,449 (-11%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $159 | 60 |
| 1617 3rd St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,648 (+2%) | 11mo | $194,900 | $118 | 58 |
| 333 N Millet Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,569 (-3%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $120 | 58 |
| 254 Pecan Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,565 (-4%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $83 | 54 |
| 1355 3rd St | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,418 (-13%) | 23mo | $170,000 | $120 | 53 |
| 342 N Airline Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (-5%) | 18mo | $229,000 | $149 | 46 |
| 311 N Millet Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,826 (+13%) | 1mo | $224,900 | $123 | 44 |
| 2123 Miles St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,785 (+10%) | 8mo | $296,000 | $166 | 38 |
| 124 N Ezidore Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (+13%) | 18mo | $190,000 | $103 | 34 |
| 2169 S Albert St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,435 (-12%) | 23mo | $145,000 | $101 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $30,201
- Equity at exit
- $44,991
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.26×
- Total profit
- $81,275
- Equity at exit
- $73,480
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70071
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,069 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$108 /mo · $1,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $283 | -5% $257 | +0% $232 | +5% $207 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $148 | -5% $190 | +0% $232 | +5% $274 | +10% $317 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $277 | -0.5pp $255 | base $232 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $186 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $89,000 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Located near Lutcher High School, it offers convenience along with a spacious yard and solid layout. The property includes an additional area that could easily be converted into a third bedroom, office, or flex space. There’s also a 1-car garage for parking or extra storage. This home does need significant repairs and updates, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a property to their liking.
-
2026-05-19price $89,000 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Located near Lutcher High School, it offers convenience along with a spacious yard and solid layout. The property includes an additional area that could easily be converted into a third bedroom, office, or flex space. There’s also a 1-car garage for parking or extra storage. This home does need significant repairs and updates, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a property to their liking.
-
2026-04-14$99,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Located near Lutcher High School, it offers convenience along with a spacious yard and solid layout. The property includes an additional area that could easily be converted into a third bedroom, office, or flex space. There’s also a 1-car garage for parking or extra storage. This home does need significant repairs and updates, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a property to their liking.
-
2026-04-14$99,000 Active 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Located near Lutcher High School, it offers convenience along with a spacious yard and solid layout. The property includes an additional area that could easily be converted into a third bedroom, office, or flex space. There’s also a 1-car garage for parking or extra storage. This home does need significant repairs and updates, making it ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to customize a property to their liking.
-
2005-05-05soldstatus $76,000
-
2004-06-24soldstatus $76,000
-
2003-11-13$79,900
-
2003-11-13$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,300 · $108/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,300 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,300
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,026
- − Management
- −$1,026
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $1,454
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$349
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,438/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. James Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201500
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -38.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,020
- Composite
- 31.24/100
- National rank
- #6031
- State rank
- #30 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lutcher
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #9911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lutcher, LA
- City population
- 3,123
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,123
Population outlook (St. James County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,741 people
- By 2030
- 20,140 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 18,560 · -10.5%
- By 2050
- 16,673 · -19.6%
- By 2075
- 12,535 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 8,610 · -58.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 14% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. James
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 50.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.4pp · 2024: -0.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+4.4 2016: D+8.0 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+12.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.97%
- Current HPI
- 118.976
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+11.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $89,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $89,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-14 Listed $99,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-14 Listed $99,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-24 Sold (MLS) $76,000 GSREIN
- 2003-11-13 Listed $79,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2003-11-13 Listed $79,900 GSREIN
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,300 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…