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2552 Allan Way
D+ Composite 49.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,500

2552 Allan Way · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,062 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1956 0.44 ac lot $117/sqft · 54% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this updated home in the Sherwood Forest area of Macon, GA. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features original hardwood floors, a fully remodeled bathroom, and fresh interior paint throughout. Recent updates include brand-new windows, a roof installed in 2021, and updated ductwork with regularly serviced HVAC. The fenced backyard offers added privacy and includes a shop for storage or workspace. A solid option for buyers looking for a home that may cost less than renting.

Key facts

  • Brand-new windows
  • Updated home
  • Shop for storage

Tags

UPDATED HOMEORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSFULLY REMODELED BATHROOMBRAND-NEW WINDOWSFENCED BACKYARDSHOP FOR STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 0.44-acre lot
  • Financial info: No investor/multifamily financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Security: No specific security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential resale; Built in 1956; One story
  • Construction: Brick and other construction materials; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Chain link fencing; Outbuilding on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas central heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features; One-level layout; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (2.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (2.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.5% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Veterans Elementary School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,154 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 697 students, 100% FRL); Ballard Hudson Middle School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 744 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,210/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $861 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,043 (2.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.99%
Cash-on-cash
6.07%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$80,790
List price
$124,500
Delta
54.10%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2552 Allan Way 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,062 (0%) 0mo $124,500 $117 100
3607 Pineland Trl 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,053 (-1%) 7mo $103,000 $98 70
3913 Blair Ct 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,110 (+4%) 3mo $113,000 $102 69
2704 Reynolds Dr 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,036 (-2%) 7mo $70,000 $68 67
2545 Greenwood Ter 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,212 (+14%) 3mo $125,000 $103 65
2422 Adger Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+4%) 3mo $125,000 $113 63
2665 Chatsworth Ct 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,056 (-1%) 4mo $50,000 $47 60
4255 Vinson Ave 0.62mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,108 (+4%) 7mo $80,000 $72 53
5756 Edwina Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,000 (-6%) 5mo $132,000 $132 52
5161 Pinefield Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 950 (-10%) 7mo $84,000 $88 46
5780 Edwina Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+13%) 6mo $125,000 $104 40
2971 Springmeadow Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,204 (+13%) 8mo $153,900 $128 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,446
Equity at exit
$18,563
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$19,520
Equity at exit
$10,764

Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
209
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,210 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$653
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$176

Break-even live

Break-even rent $987
Max offer price $124,500
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $247 -5% $212 +0% $176 +5% $141 +10% $106
Rent -10% $81 -5% $129 +0% $176 +5% $224 +10% $272
Rate -1.0pp $239 -0.5pp $208 base $176 +0.5pp $144 +1.0pp $111

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,125
Closing costs
$3,735
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5487 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,200 $1.14 23d 1 0.23mi
2459 Vivian Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 792 $850 $1.07 15d 1 0.48mi
2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1056 $1,150 $1.09 45d 1 0.53mi
4331 Ashland Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,025 $1.19 45d 1 0.58mi
2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 15d 1 0.60mi
2418 Adger Rd Macon, GA 4.0 1.0 1365 $1,500 $1.10 45d 1 0.60mi
5711 Sterling Pl Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 23d 1 0.61mi
4069 Blair Ct Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $850 $0.98 45d 1 0.61mi
5708 Edwina Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 925 $1,275 $1.38 45d 1 0.63mi
5771 Satterfield Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 888 $1,250 $1.41 45d 1 0.64mi
2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1056 $725 $0.69 45d 1 0.66mi
4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1104 $1,550 $1.40 23d 1 0.67mi
2641 Leone Dr N Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 45d 1 0.69mi
4386 Thrasher Cir Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,400 $1.25 45d 1 0.71mi
4300 Essex Rd Macon, GA 4.0 1.5 1246 $1,450 $1.16 23d 1 0.71mi
5161 Nisbet Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1040 $975 $0.94 45d 1 0.71mi
2665 Chatsworth Ct Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,175 $1.11 45d 1 0.76mi
2961 Deeb Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 45d 1 0.78mi
4471 Elkan Ave Macon, GA 4.0 2.0 1128 $1,495 $1.33 45d 1 0.82mi
4995 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 900 $997 $1.11 23d 1 0.83mi
2916 Walmar Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,275 $0.98 45d 1 0.86mi
5962 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA 4.0 1.5 1159 $1,300 $1.12 15d 1 0.92mi
4455 Fairfax Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1352 $1,225 $0.91 45d 1 0.94mi
3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1352 $1,125 $0.83 23d 1 1.05mi
4685 Pinedale Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1404 $1,450 $1.03 15d 1 1.07mi
1000 Crystal Lake Cir Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1312 $1,063 $0.81 45d 1 1.19mi
4406 Chambers Rd Apt E16 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 925 $899 $0.97 23d 1 1.21mi
4406 Chambers Rd Unit B-06 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 925 $899 $0.97 45d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    historical Active Under Contract 482-char remark
    Show marketing remark (482 chars)

    Welcome to this updated home in the Sherwood Forest area of Macon, GA. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features original hardwood floors, a fully remodeled bathroom, and fresh interior paint throughout. Recent updates include brand-new windows, a roof installed in 2021, and updated ductwork with regularly serviced HVAC. The fenced backyard offers added privacy and includes a shop for storage or workspace. A solid option for buyers looking for a home that may cost less than renting.

  2. 2026-05-13
    status Under Contract 482-char remark
    Show marketing remark (482 chars)

    Welcome to this updated home in the Sherwood Forest area of Macon, GA. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features original hardwood floors, a fully remodeled bathroom, and fresh interior paint throughout. Recent updates include brand-new windows, a roof installed in 2021, and updated ductwork with regularly serviced HVAC. The fenced backyard offers added privacy and includes a shop for storage or workspace. A solid option for buyers looking for a home that may cost less than renting.

  3. 2026-04-23
    listed $124,500 Active 482-char remark
    Show marketing remark (482 chars)

    Welcome to this updated home in the Sherwood Forest area of Macon, GA. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features original hardwood floors, a fully remodeled bathroom, and fresh interior paint throughout. Recent updates include brand-new windows, a roof installed in 2021, and updated ductwork with regularly serviced HVAC. The fenced backyard offers added privacy and includes a shop for storage or workspace. A solid option for buyers looking for a home that may cost less than renting.

  4. 2026-04-22
    listed $124,500 New 482-char remark
  5. 1997-03-25
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$900 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,145 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$245/yr (+$20/mo · 27.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,525
− Mortgage interest
−$6,974
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$622
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,162
− Management
−$1,162
− Depreciation
−$3,622
Taxable income
$83
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$20
After-tax cash flow
$2,098/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+189.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $124,500 MGMLS
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $124,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent MGMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $124,500 MGMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $124,500 GAMLS
  • 1997-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $900 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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