2552 Allan Way · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this updated home in the Sherwood Forest area of Macon, GA. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features original hardwood floors, a fully remodeled bathroom, and fresh interior paint throughout. Recent updates include brand-new windows, a roof installed in 2021, and updated ductwork with regularly serviced HVAC. The fenced backyard offers added privacy and includes a shop for storage or workspace. A solid option for buyers looking for a home that may cost less than renting.
Key facts
- Brand-new windows
- Updated home
- Shop for storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 0.44-acre lot
- Financial info: No investor/multifamily financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Single-family house; Residential resale; Built in 1956; One story
- Construction: Brick and other construction materials; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Chain link fencing; Outbuilding on the property
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas central heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features; One-level layout; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (2.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (2.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.5% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Veterans Elementary School (math 3% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,154 of 1,228 statewide, top 94%, 697 students, 100% FRL); Ballard Hudson Middle School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 744 students, 100% FRL); Southwest High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 800 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 75% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,210/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1335% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $861 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.07%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $80,790
- List price
- $124,500
- Delta
- 54.10%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2552 Allan Way | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,062 (0%) | 0mo | $124,500 | $117 | 100 |
| 3607 Pineland Trl | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (-1%) | 7mo | $103,000 | $98 | 70 |
| 3913 Blair Ct | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,110 (+4%) | 3mo | $113,000 | $102 | 69 |
| 2704 Reynolds Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,036 (-2%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $68 | 67 |
| 2545 Greenwood Ter | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+14%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $103 | 65 |
| 2422 Adger Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (+4%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $113 | 63 |
| 2665 Chatsworth Ct | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,056 (-1%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $47 | 60 |
| 4255 Vinson Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+4%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $72 | 53 |
| 5756 Edwina Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-6%) | 5mo | $132,000 | $132 | 52 |
| 5161 Pinefield Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-10%) | 7mo | $84,000 | $88 | 46 |
| 5780 Edwina Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+13%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $104 | 40 |
| 2971 Springmeadow Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,204 (+13%) | 8mo | $153,900 | $128 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,446
- Equity at exit
- $18,563
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $19,520
- Equity at exit
- $10,764
Cash invested: $34,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,210 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$653
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $247 | -5% $212 | +0% $176 | +5% $141 | +10% $106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $81 | -5% $129 | +0% $176 | +5% $224 | +10% $272 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $239 | -0.5pp $208 | base $176 | +0.5pp $144 | +1.0pp $111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,125
- Closing costs
- $3,735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5487 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2459 Vivian Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $850 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2427 Vivian Dr Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4331 Ashland Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,025 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2477 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 15d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2418 Adger Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5711 Sterling Pl Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4069 Blair Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $850 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5708 Edwina Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,275 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5771 Satterfield Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,250 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2423 Thrasher Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $725 | $0.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4278 Vinson Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,550 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2641 Leone Dr N Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4386 Thrasher Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4300 Essex Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1246 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5161 Nisbet Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $975 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2665 Chatsworth Ct Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2961 Deeb Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4471 Elkan Ave Macon, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,495 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 4995 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $997 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2916 Walmar Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,275 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5962 Bloomfield Rd Macon, GA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $1,300 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4455 Fairfax Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,225 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3257 Ohara Dr S Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,125 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4685 Pinedale Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1000 Crystal Lake Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,063 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4406 Chambers Rd Apt E16 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $899 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4406 Chambers Rd Unit B-06 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $899 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-13historical Active Under Contract 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to this updated home in the Sherwood Forest area of Macon, GA. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features original hardwood floors, a fully remodeled bathroom, and fresh interior paint throughout. Recent updates include brand-new windows, a roof installed in 2021, and updated ductwork with regularly serviced HVAC. The fenced backyard offers added privacy and includes a shop for storage or workspace. A solid option for buyers looking for a home that may cost less than renting.
-
2026-05-13status Under Contract 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to this updated home in the Sherwood Forest area of Macon, GA. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features original hardwood floors, a fully remodeled bathroom, and fresh interior paint throughout. Recent updates include brand-new windows, a roof installed in 2021, and updated ductwork with regularly serviced HVAC. The fenced backyard offers added privacy and includes a shop for storage or workspace. A solid option for buyers looking for a home that may cost less than renting.
-
2026-04-23$124,500 Active 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to this updated home in the Sherwood Forest area of Macon, GA. This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features original hardwood floors, a fully remodeled bathroom, and fresh interior paint throughout. Recent updates include brand-new windows, a roof installed in 2021, and updated ductwork with regularly serviced HVAC. The fenced backyard offers added privacy and includes a shop for storage or workspace. A solid option for buyers looking for a home that may cost less than renting.
-
2026-04-22$124,500 New 482-char remark
-
1997-03-25soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $900 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$245/yr (+$20/mo · 27.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,974
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$3,622
- Taxable income
- $83
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$20
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,098/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+189.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $124,500 MGMLS
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $124,500 GAMLS
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — MGMLS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $124,500 MGMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $124,500 GAMLS
- 1997-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $900 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…