67 Begin Ter · Sabattus, ME
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Cash flow +5.7/30.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
$245,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home will include a 5/12 residential roof pitch, finished drywall, a sunny open kitchen with wood cabinets, large kitchen island, transom windows, walk in pantry and stainless kitchen appliances, Upgraded high efficiency gas furance and energy start certified home, plus many other upgrades and attached 18 x 26 garage with 10' garage door. All to be built on a large corner lot in a peaceful and mature land lease community. Lot rent is $580.00 each month and includes water/ sewer. Contact Michelle to set up an appointment to learn more and customize this amazing floorplan.
Key facts
- Large kitchen island
- Sunny open kitchen
- Walk in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $246k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-504 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (36.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (51.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (51.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- RSU 04 (rural): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #110 of 112 in ME (top 98%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Carrie Ricker School (math 66% / reading 68%, grade B+, #275 of 294 statewide, top 94%, 194 students, 42% FRL); Oak Hill Middle School (math 67% / reading 73%, grade A, #83 of 85 statewide, top 98%, 390 students, 45% FRL); Oak Hill High School (math 84% / reading 95%, grade A+, #49 of 108 statewide, top 50%, 404 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 358 units permitted in Androscoggin County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Androscoggin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($231k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 52% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.48% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.80%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 17.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $235,000
- List price
- $245,500
- Delta
- 4.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182 Webster Corner Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+12%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $241 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $101,468
- Equity at exit
- $221,166
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.71×
- Total profit
- $323,769
- Equity at exit
- $476,953
Cash invested: $68,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04280
- Home prices YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 17.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,185 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,287
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $601/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $-504
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-365 | -5% $-434 | +0% $-504 | +5% $-573 | +10% $-643 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-598 | -5% $-551 | +0% $-504 | +5% $-457 | +10% $-410 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-380 | -0.5pp $-442 | base $-504 | +0.5pp $-568 | +1.0pp $-632 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,375
- Closing costs
- $7,365
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-22days on market $245,500 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $245,500 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $245,500 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $245,500 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $245,500 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $245,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $245,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $245,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $245,500 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $245,500 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $245,500 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $245,500 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $245,500 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $245,500 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $245,500 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $245,500 Active 47 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $245,500 Active 46 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $245,500 Active 45 DOM
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2026-04-15$245,500 Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
This home will include a 5/12 residential roof pitch, finished drywall, a sunny open kitchen with wood cabinets, large kitchen island, transom windows, walk in pantry and stainless kitchen appliances, Upgraded high efficiency gas furance and energy start certified home, plus many other upgrades and attached 18 x 26 garage with 10' garage door. All to be built on a large corner lot in a peaceful and mature land lease community. Lot rent is $580.00 each month and includes water/ sewer. Contact Michelle to set up an appointment to learn more and customize this amazing floorplan.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $601 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,970 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,369/yr (+$114/mo · 227.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,215
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,752
- − Property taxes
- −$601
- − Insurance
- −$1,228
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,137
- − Management
- −$1,137
- − Depreciation
- −$7,142
- Taxable loss
- −$10,781
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,588
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 04
- NCES district ID
- 2314783
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▲ 47.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▲ 26.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,293
- Composite
- 59.64/100
- National rank
- #906
- State rank
- #110 of 112 in ME
Livability — Sabattus
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,886
Population outlook (Androscoggin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,965 people
- By 2030
- 101,004 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 93,218 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 84,222 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 63,391 · -39.0%
- By 2100
- 43,273 · -58.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Asian 5% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 16% Russian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Androscoggin
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.9% · R 52.0% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 15.2pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+2.8 2016: R+9.4 2012: D+12.8 2008: D+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 15.11%
- Current HPI
- 369.2807
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Listed $245,500 Zillow
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $601 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…