2100 N Trekell Rd Rd #351 · Casa Grande, AZ 85122

$45,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,011 sqft · Manufactured · 219 Days on market

Built 1973 Est $41k · 9% over ↓ 18% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• ARV discount +3.6/15.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Arizona room
• Updated flooring
• Spacious living room

Tags

• SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM
• LAUNDRY ROOM ADDITION
• UPDATED FLOORING
• ARIZONA ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Land lease ($554 monthly); Community pool; Gated community; Community heated/spa; Community laundry; No association fees included

Exterior

• Parking: 1 covered space; 1 carport space
• Utilities: Private water company; Public sewer
• Home design: Manufactured/Mobile home; Leasehold ownership
• Construction: Metal siding and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Foam roof
• Exterior features: Screened-in patio(s); Storage; Gravel/stone front and back

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Up to 4 possible bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has cooling (type: Other)
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath
• Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
• Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 33.6% vs local median 4.1% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools F.
• Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 628 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.76% ✓
• Cap rate: 33.62%
• Cash-on-cash: 97.59%
• DSCR: 5.34
• GRM: 2.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $41,451
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2100 N Trekell Rd #20	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,040 (+3%)	0mo	$40,000	$38	90
2100 N Trekell Rd #280	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,008 (-0%)	15mo	$62,500	$62	87
2100 N Trekell Rd #363	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	980 (-3%)	3mo	$40,000	$41	87
2100 N Trekell Rd #194	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,000 (-1%)	9mo	$39,000	$39	86
2100 N Trekell Rd #330	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	980 (-3%)	7mo	$16,500	$17	84
2100 N Trekell Rd #50	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	980 (-3%)	8mo	$35,500	$36	83
2100 N Trekell Rd #265	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,024 (+1%)	14mo	$55,000	$54	81
2100 Trekell Rd #283	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,056 (+4%)	8mo	$65,000	$62	81
2100 N Trekell Rd #59	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,056 (+4%)	13mo	$74,000	$70	77
2100 N Trekell Rd #347	0.00mi	2/1.0 (-1)	896 (-11%)	2mo	$28,000	$31	71
2140 N Cajeme Ave	0.15mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,105 (+9%)	4mo	$53,900	$49	69
2100 N Trekell Rd #204	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,152 (+14%)	4mo	$39,500	$34	68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 5.82×
• Total profit: $60,764
• Equity at exit: $6,710

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 12.81×
• Total profit: $148,780
• Equity at exit: $3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85122

• Home prices YoY: -22.4%
• Rents YoY: 4.6%
• Active inventory: 628
• Price-to-rent: 2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,691 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$56 /mo · $675/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$355
• Net cashflow: $1,025

Break-even live

Break-even rent $394

Max offer price $45,000

Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,250
• Closing costs: $1,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 20 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1139 E Yucca St Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	3.0	1300	$1,800	$1.38	24d	1	0.23mi
2060 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	1.0–2.0	670	$1,300	$1.94	24d	4	0.26mi
1936 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1033	$1,723	$1.67	1d	29	0.50mi
1926 N Avenida de Palmas Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	2.0	1106	$1,199	$1.08	21d	3	0.66mi
1185 E Avila Ave Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1378	$1,550	$1.12	24d	1	0.69mi
1292 E Rodeo Rd Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1005	$1,500	$1.49	5d	1	0.72mi
700 E Rodeo Rd Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	1.0–2.0	828	$1,436	$1.73	2d	25	0.89mi
1161 E O'Neil Dr Casa Grande, AZ	2.0–4.0	2.0	1144	$1,498	$1.31	2d	12	1.02mi
1858 N Center Ave Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	2.0	1146	$1,500	$1.31	24d	1	1.21mi
1636 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1411	$1,999	$1.42	5d	1	1.21mi
1650 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1411	$1,695	$1.20	24d	1	1.24mi
1620 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1090	$2,640	$2.42	1d	1	1.28mi
1620 E Silver Reef Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1202	$1,575	$1.31	24d	1	1.30mi
2094 N Sweetwater Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1266	$1,700	$1.34	24d	1	1.34mi
1641 N Kadota Ave Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	750	$1,100	$1.47	1d	3	1.39mi
1644 E Jahns St Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1402	$1,795	$1.28	12d	1	1.39mi
1450 E Cottonwood Ln Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	821	$1,995	$2.43	1d	18	1.40mi
1715 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ	2.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1221	$1,710	$1.40	2d	22	1.44mi
290 W Viola St Unit 4 Casa Grande, AZ	2.0	1.0	800	$1,250	$1.56	14d	1	1.45mi
1560 E Demain Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1304	$1,595	$1.22	24d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $45,000 Active 219 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $45,000 Active 218 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $45,000 Active 217 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $45,000 Active 216 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $45,000 Active 214 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $45,000 Active 213 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $45,000 Active 210 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $45,000 Active 209 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $45,000 Active 208 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $45,000 Active 205 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 204 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 203 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 202 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 201 DOM
15. 2026-05-17
    status Active
16. 2026-05-16
    historical
17. 2026-03-30
    price $45,000
18. 2025-10-29
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,289
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,521
• − Property taxes: −$675
• − Insurance: −$225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,623
• − Management: −$1,623
• − Depreciation: −$1,309
• Taxable income: $12,313
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,955
• After-tax cash flow: $9,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
• NCES district ID: 0401740
• Math proficiency: 14% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $45,373
• Composite: 15.38/100
• National rank: #9319
• State rank: #193 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Casa Grande

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #220
• US rank: #21534

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Casa Grande, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 69,701
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 61,624
• Household income: $68,443
• Rent vs Own: 28.6% rent · 71.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1250.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 40%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada
• Languages at home: 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.32%
• Current HPI: 233.148
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.60%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

-18.2% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-17 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2026-05-16 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2026-03-30 Price Changed $45,000 ARMLS
• 2025-10-29 Listed $55,000 ARMLS