🏷️ Likely Rental
112 N Conococheague St · Williamsport, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property. Taxes are $1682 a year, rents for $1650 a month plus utilities. Tenants are month to month. Tenants absolutely love it and want to stay. Call Alice for details and to schedule a showing.
Key facts
- 3,168 sq ft lot
- Built 1876
- Listed 71 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#183 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $160k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1876 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1876 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.40%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,848
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -35.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10510 Honeyfield Rd | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (-8%) | 6mo | $137,000 | $132 | 67 |
| 12 S Vermont St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-14%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $260 | 61 |
| 20 Springfield Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,218 (+9%) | 7mo | $315,000 | $259 | 51 |
| 129 Sunset Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-14%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $313 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,620
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $25,437
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21795
- Home prices YoY
- -8.6%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,706 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,103/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $441 | -5% $396 | +0% $351 | +5% $305 | +10% $260 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $216 | -5% $283 | +0% $351 | +5% $418 | +10% $485 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $431 | -0.5pp $391 | base $351 | +0.5pp $309 | +1.0pp $267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15729 Fenton Ave Williamsport, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 415 Baker Hill Ln Williamsport, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1200 | $1,322 | $1.10 | 21d | 2 | 0.46mi |
| 12 Oaktree Ln Williamsport, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,450 | $1.56 | 14d | 9 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 54 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-04-08historical
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Great investment property. Taxes are $1682 a year, rents for $1650 a month plus utilities. Tenants are month to month. Tenants absolutely love it and want to stay. Call Alice for details and to schedule a showing.
-
2026-04-08$159,900 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Great investment property. Taxes are $1682 a year, rents for $1650 a month plus utilities. Tenants are month to month. Tenants absolutely love it and want to stay. Call Alice for details and to schedule a showing.
-
2026-03-06$159,900 Active
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2025-06-16historical $1,650
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2025-04-29price $1,650
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2025-04-15$1,500
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2023-03-27historical
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2022-11-24historical
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2007-06-05soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,103 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,423 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$320/yr (+$27/mo · 29.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,471
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,103
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,638
- − Management
- −$1,638
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $1,685
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$404
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washingtion County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400660
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,784
- Composite
- 22.87/100
- National rank
- #8007
- State rank
- #13 of 24 in MD
Livability — Williamsport
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #183
- US rank
- #8162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamsport, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,942
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 151,614 people
- By 2030
- 151,455 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 150,097 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 148,193 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 146,581 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 138,025 · -9.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.08%
- Current HPI
- 233.8292
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+146.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-06-16 Rental Removed $1,650 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $1,650 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-15 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2023-03-27 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2022-11-24 Rental Removed — RENT.
- 2007-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,103 · +17.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…